New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Predicție

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 19

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Philadelphia Union

Away

Predicție AI New York City FC sau egal

46%

27%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 46% pentru victoria lui New York City FC, 27% pentru Philadelphia Union și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 17 Aug 2026, 00:12.

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Timeline

Bénie Traoré Penalty

4' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 16'

Nathan Harriel Yellow Card

Luighi Hanri Yellow Card

43' ▮

▮ 44'

Jovan Lukić Yellow Card

Luighi Hanri Penalty

45+2' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⚽ 2–1 48'

Danley Jean Jacques assist: Cavan Sullivan

▮ 51'

Milan Iloski Yellow Card

Jonathan Shore ⇄ Máximo Carrizo

60' ⇄

Keaton Parks ⇄ Kevin O'Toole

60' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Jovan Lukić ⇄ Jesus Bueno

Luighi Hanri ⇄ Talles Magno

67' ⇄

Bénie Traoré ⇄ Malachi Jones

67' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 69'

Bruno Damiani assist: Cavan Sullivan

⇄ 70'

Indiana Vassilev ⇄ Quinn Sullivan

⚽ 2–3 75'

Bruno Damiani assist: Quinn Sullivan

Max Murray ⇄ Raul Gustavo

78' ⇄

Tayvon Gray Yellow Card

79' ▮

⇄ 80'

Cavan Sullivan ⇄ Alejandro Bedoya

▮ 85'

Kai Wagner Yellow Card

Malachi Jones Yellow Card

90' ▮

FT 2–3

New York City FC

Match Stats

Philadelphia Union

51% Ball Possession 49%

2.17 Expected Goals (xG) 2.31

15 Total Shots 16

4 Shots on Goal 4

5 Shots off Goal 7

6 Blocked Shots 5

9 Shots insidebox 7

6 Shots outsidebox 9

8 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 3

14 Fouls 20

3 Yellow Cards 4

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 2

335 Total passes 320

239 Passes accurate 240

71% Passes % 75%

0.68 goals_prevented 0.68

New York City FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Bénie Traoré F	7.6	67'	1	–	1	19 (12%)	–
20 Luighi Hanri F	7.2	67'	1	–	3	12 (7%)	2
55 Keaton Parks M	7.2	60'	–	–	1	25 (21%)	1
8 Andrés Perea M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	1
32 Jonathan Shore M	6.7	60'	–	–	1	23 (16%)	–
26 Agustin Ojeda F	6.6	90'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–
2 Nico Cavallo D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	2
11 Talles Magno F	6.5	23'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
34 Raul Gustavo D	6.5	12'	–	–	–	11 (6%)	–
49 Matthew Freese G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	25 (16%)	–
6 James Sands D	6.2	90'	–	–	2	42 (31%)	–
88 Malachi Jones F	6.2	23'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
29 Máximo Carrizo M	6.2	30'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
22 Kevin O'Toole D	6.2	30'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
24 Tayvon Gray D	5.9	90'	–	–	1	41 (28%)	1
23 Max Murray D	5.9	78'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	1

Philadelphia Union

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Bruno Damiani F	8.6	90'	2	–	2	19 (12%)	–
39 Frankie Westfield D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	3
21 Danley Jean Jacques M	7.2	90'	1	–	1	35 (26%)	3
18 Andre Blake G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	26 (14%)	–
6 Cavan Sullivan M	7.2	80'	–	2	3	20 (13%)	3
27 Kai Wagner D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (29%)	2
33 Quinn Sullivan M	6.9	20'	–	1	1	4 (2%)	1
8 Jesus Bueno M	6.9	28'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	1
26 Nathan Harriel D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	50 (46%)	1
19 Indiana Vassilev M	6.5	70'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	–
11 Alejandro Bedoya M	6.5	10'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
10 Milan Iloski F	6.2	90'	–	–	3	11 (10%)	–
4 Jovan Lukić M	6.0	62'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	–
44 Neil Pierre D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	1

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

New York City FC sau egal

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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New York City FC

DLWLD

Philadelphia Union

WWWWW

Last 1 meetings New York City FC · 1W 0D 0L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Philadelphia Union goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	6	3	1
1	13	13	5	1
2	12	9	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ New York City FC goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Players in form

New York City FC

N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls

Philadelphia Union

M. Iloski 16 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

27%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	5.9%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
1	13.1%	13.3%	4.7%	1.3%	0.3%
2	11.7%	9.3%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
3	6.2%	4.9%	2.0%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	New York City FC	Draw	Philadelphia Union
New York City FC	38.2%	4.6%	1.2%
Draw	16.1%	18.6%	8.1%
Philadelphia Union	1.4%	3.0%	8.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union

1 New York City FC Wins

0 Draws

0 Philadelphia Union Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2026	Philadelphia Union	1 - 2	New York City FC

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	A Atlanta United FC	D	2 - 2
18 Sep	H New York Red Bulls	L	0 - 1
13 Sep	A Real Salt Lake	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	H New England Revolution	L	1 - 2
04 Sep	H Nashville SC	D	0 - 0

Philadelphia Union — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Sep	H Orlando City SC	W	4 - 2
20 Sep	A Sporting Kansas City	W	3 - 4
14 Sep	A San Diego	W	0 - 5
09 Sep	H FC Cincinnati	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	H CF Montreal	W	2 - 0

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	18	6	3	55	21	+34	60
2	New England Revolution	27	14	4	9	45	36	+9	46
3	Inter Miami	27	12	10	5	64	50	+14	46
4	Charlotte	27	12	7	8	47	38	+9	43
5	Chicago Fire	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	11	6	10	54	44	+10	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	10	4	13	48	64	-16	34
8	New York Red Bulls	27	9	6	12	34	51	-17	33
9	New York City FC	27	8	9	10	41	36	+5	33
10	FC Cincinnati	26	8	9	9	55	64	-9	33
11	DC United	26	6	12	8	34	42	-8	30
12	Columbus Crew	27	8	5	14	39	43	-4	29
13	Toronto FC	27	6	11	10	39	51	-12	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	7	6	14	32	45	-13	27
15	CF Montreal	27	6	6	15	34	54	-20	24

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	26	15	5	6	59	26	+33	50
2	St. Louis City	27	13	8	6	48	36	+12	47
3	FC Dallas	27	13	8	6	50	42	+8	47
4	San Jose Earthquakes	27	13	6	8	49	39	+10	45
5	Houston Dynamo	27	13	5	9	34	32	+2	44
6	Los Angeles FC	28	11	8	9	43	30	+13	41
7	Colorado Rapids	27	11	3	13	38	38	0	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	9	9	10	37	44	-7	36
9	Seattle Sounders	26	9	8	9	33	34	-1	35
10	Portland Timbers	27	9	5	13	48	51	-3	32
11	Real Salt Lake	27	9	5	13	40	44	-4	32
12	San Diego	27	8	8	11	47	47	0	32
13	Austin	27	7	10	10	35	47	-12	31
14	Minnesota United FC	27	7	8	12	40	49	-9	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	26	6	3	17	31	63	-32	21

Philadelphia Union

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Ryan Richter

18 Blake

27 Wagner

26 Harriel

44 Pierre

39 Westfield

19 Vassilev

4 Lukić

21 Jacques

6 Sullivan

10 Iloski

9 Damiani

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Andre Blake	G
39	Frankie Westfield	D
44	Neil Pierre	D
26	Nathan Harriel	D
27	Kai Wagner	D
6	Cavan Sullivan	M
21	Danley Jean Jacques	M
4	Jovan Lukić	M
19	Indiana Vassilev	M
9	Bruno Damiani	F
10	Milan Iloski	F

Substitutes

76	Andrew Rick	G
5	Japhet Sery Larsen	D
11	Alejandro Bedoya	M
28	Agustin Anello	F
33	Quinn Sullivan	M
8	Jesus Bueno	M
16	Ben Bender	M
14	Jeremy Rafanello	M
23	Ezekiel Alladoh	F

New York City FC

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Pascal Jansen

49 Freese

2 Cavallo

6 Sands

23 Murray

24 Gray

8 Perea

55 Parks

32 Shore

9 Traoré

20 Hanri

26 Ojeda

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
49	Matthew Freese	G
24	Tayvon Gray	D
23	Max Murray	D
6	James Sands	D
2	Nico Cavallo	D
32	Jonathan Shore	M
55	Keaton Parks	M
8	Andrés Perea	M
26	Agustin Ojeda	F
20	Luighi Hanri	F
9	Bénie Traoré	F

Substitutes

30	Tomás Romero	G
35	Mitja Ilenič	D
34	Raul Gustavo	D
22	Kevin O'Toole	D
29	Máximo Carrizo	M
75	El Hadij Samb	M
15	Kevin Pierre	M
11	Talles Magno	F
88	Malachi Jones	F