CF Montreal vs New England Revolution Predicție

Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 18

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New England Revolution

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Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru New England Revolution

14%

29%

57%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție CF Montreal vs New England Revolution: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 14% pentru victoria lui CF Montreal, 57% pentru New England Revolution și 29% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 2 Aug 2026, 01:36.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 30'

Carles Gil Penalty

Sebastian Breza Yellow Card

36' ▮

⚽ 0–2 36'

Dor Turgeman assist: Peyton Miller

HT 0–2

Matthew Longstaff ⇄ Olger Escobar

46' ⇄

Brayan Vera assist: Efraín Morales

52' ⚽ 1–2

⇄ 56'

Marcos Zambrano ⇄ Luca Langoni

Prince Owusu assist: Luca Petrasso

59' ⚽ 2–2

Daniel Rios ⇄ Fabian Herbers

71' ⇄

⇄ 73'

Matt Polster ⇄ Cody Baker

⇄ 73'

Dor Turgeman ⇄ Wilson Harris

Victor Loturi ⇄ Brandan Craig

85' ⇄

Hennadii Synchuk ⇄ Samuel Piette

85' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Peyton Miller ⇄ Griffin Yow

⇄ 86'

Alhassan Yusuf ⇄ Jackson Yueill

FT 2–2

CF Montreal

Match Stats

New England Revolution

46% Ball Possession 54%

0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 3.85

13 Total Shots 19

7 Shots on Goal 5

3 Shots off Goal 9

3 Blocked Shots 5

7 Shots insidebox 9

6 Shots outsidebox 10

5 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 4

9 Fouls 4

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 6

418 Total passes 521

360 Passes accurate 465

86% Passes % 89%

-0.70 goals_prevented -0.70

CF Montreal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
4 Brayan Vera D	8.3	90'	1	–	2	63 (55%)	1
1 Sebastian Breza G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	–
13 Luca Petrasso D	6.9	90'	–	1	–	36 (27%)	1
18 Hennadii Synchuk F	6.9	85'	–	–	3	20 (19%)	–
9 Prince Owusu F	6.9	90'	1	–	4	13 (12%)	–
8 Matthew Longstaff M	6.6	45'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	–
24 Efraín Morales D	6.6	90'	–	1	–	66 (60%)	–
21 Fabian Herbers F	6.6	19'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	2
29 Olger Escobar F	6.6	45'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–
14 Daniel Rios F	6.3	71'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
27 Dawid Bugaj D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	32 (29%)	1
22 Victor Loturi M	6.2	85'	–	–	1	39 (31%)	2
7 Daniel Pereira M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	–
6 Samuel Piette M	—	5'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
5 Brandan Craig D	—	5'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

New England Revolution

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Carles Gil M	7.9	90'	1	–	2	76 (69%)	–
21 Brooklyn Raines M	7.5	90'	–	–	1	78 (75%)	2
22 Ethan Kohler D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	50 (48%)	2
25 Peyton Miller M	7.2	86'	–	1	3	34 (26%)	2
30 Matt Turner G	7.0	90'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–
8 Matt Polster D	7.0	73'	–	–	–	58 (52%)	–
2 Mamadou Fofana D	6.9	90'	–	–	–	57 (54%)	1
80 Alhassan Yusuf M	6.9	86'	–	–	–	47 (44%)	2
23 William Sands D	6.7	90'	–	–	1	33 (31%)	–
15 Cody Baker D	6.5	17'	–	–	–	11 (8%)	–
41 Luca Langoni F	6.5	34'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	–
27 Wilson Harris F	6.5	17'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
99 Dor Turgeman F	6.2	73'	1	–	5	19 (13%)	–
17 Marcos Zambrano M	6.2	56'	–	–	1	11 (9%)	–
7 Griffin Yow F	—	4'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
14 Jackson Yueill M	—	4'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

Victorie sau egal dificil pentru New England Revolution

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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CF Montreal

LWLLL

New England Revolution

WWWLW

Last 3 meetings CF Montreal · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

CF Montreal faces New England Revolution in a key MLS matchup. Montreal's recent form shows a solid home record, while New England has struggled on the road, with only two wins in their last five away fixtures. Both teams rely on their attacking prowess, with Montreal averaging 1.5 goals per game at home and New England slightly lower at 1.2 goals away. Defensive vulnerabilities may play a crucial role, as both teams have conceded over 1.5 goals per match in recent outings. This match could hinge on which defense can tighten up under pressure.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

14%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

57%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

New England Revolution goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	14	17	14	7	3	1
1	6	13	8	4	2
2	2	3	3	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ CF Montreal goals · most likely 0–1 (16.7%)

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Players in form

CF Montreal

P. Owusu 13 gls

New England Revolution

Carles Gil 12 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

29%

Home Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

29%

Home Win

14%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 14% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.6%	16.7%	13.5%	6.7%	2.5%
1	6.1%	12.7%	8.4%	4.2%	1.6%
2	2.3%	3.5%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
3	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	CF Montreal	Draw	New England Revolution
CF Montreal	9.3%	4.6%	2.8%
Draw	5.1%	20.4%	24.7%
New England Revolution	0.4%	2.2%	30.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: CF Montreal vs New England Revolution

1 CF Montreal Wins

0 Draws

2 New England Revolution Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	New England Revolution	3 - 0	CF Montreal
12 Oct 2013	CF Montreal	0 - 1	New England Revolution
08 Sep 2013	New England Revolution	2 - 4	CF Montreal

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CF Montreal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Columbus Crew	L	0 - 2
16 Sep	H Vancouver Whitecaps	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Colorado Rapids	L	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Charlotte	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Philadelphia Union	L	2 - 0

New England Revolution — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Orlando City SC	W	4 - 2
13 Sep	A Chicago Fire	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	A New York City FC	W	1 - 2
06 Sep	A Los Angeles Galaxy	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Columbus Crew	W	1 - 3

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Nashville SC	26	17	6	3	53	21	+32	57
2	New England Revolution	26	14	4	8	45	33	+12	46
3	Inter Miami	26	12	10	4	63	48	+15	46
4	Charlotte	26	12	7	7	47	37	+10	43
5	Chicago Fire	25	11	6	8	45	38	+7	39
6	Philadelphia Union	26	10	6	10	50	42	+8	36
7	Orlando City SC	26	10	4	12	46	60	-14	34
8	New York Red Bulls	26	9	6	11	34	48	-14	33
9	FC Cincinnati	25	8	9	8	54	61	-7	33
10	New York City FC	26	8	8	10	39	34	+5	32
11	DC United	25	6	11	8	31	39	-8	29
12	Toronto FC	26	6	11	9	39	49	-10	29
13	Columbus Crew	26	7	5	14	37	42	-5	26
14	Atlanta United FC	26	7	5	14	30	43	-13	26
15	CF Montreal	26	5	6	15	31	53	-22	21

Western Conference

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	15	4	6	56	23	+33	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	13	5	8	34	30	+4	44
3	St. Louis City	26	12	8	6	45	36	+9	44
4	FC Dallas	26	12	8	6	49	42	+7	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	12	6	8	46	38	+8	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	11	8	8	43	29	+14	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	11	3	12	36	35	+1	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	8	9	10	34	42	-8	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	9	5	12	47	48	-1	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	8	8	9	30	33	-3	32
11	San Diego	26	8	7	11	44	44	0	31
12	Austin	26	7	9	10	32	44	-12	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	8	5	13	37	44	-7	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	7	8	11	39	46	-7	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	5	3	17	29	63	-34	18

New England Revolution

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Marko Mitrovic

30 Turner

23 Sands

2 Fofana

22 Kohler

8 Polster

80 Yusuf

21 Raines

17 Zambrano

10 Gil

25 Miller

99 Turgeman

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
30	Matt Turner	G
8	Matt Polster	D
22	Ethan Kohler	D
2	Mamadou Fofana	D
23	William Sands	D
21	Brooklyn Raines	M
80	Alhassan Yusuf	M
25	Peyton Miller	M
10	Carles Gil	M
17	Marcos Zambrano	M
99	Dor Turgeman	F

Substitutes

73	JD Gunn	G
4	Tanner Beason	D
15	Cody Baker	D
38	Eric Klein	M
77	Diego Fagúndez	M
14	Jackson Yueill	M
7	Griffin Yow	F
27	Wilson Harris	F
41	Luca Langoni	F

CF Montreal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy

1 Breza

13 Petrasso

4 Vera

24 Morales

27 Bugaj

22 Loturi

7 Pereira

8 Longstaff

14 Rios

9 Owusu

18 Synchuk

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sebastian Breza	G
27	Dawid Bugaj	D
24	Efraín Morales	D
4	Brayan Vera	D
13	Luca Petrasso	D
8	Matthew Longstaff	M
7	Daniel Pereira	M
22	Victor Loturi	M
18	Hennadii Synchuk	F
9	Prince Owusu	F
14	Daniel Rios	F

Substitutes

41	Samsy Keita	G
5	Brandan Craig	D
2	Jalen Neal	D
6	Samuel Piette	M
23	Noah Streit	M
26	Ivan Losenko	M
21	Fabian Herbers	F
29	Olger Escobar	F