Independiente vs Boca Juniors Predicție
FT
Estadio Libertadores de América, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
Predicție AI
Boca Juniors sau egal
25%
30%
45%
Victorie gazdă
Egal
Victorie oaspeți
Predicție Independiente vs Boca Juniors: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 25% pentru victoria lui Independiente, 45% pentru Boca Juniors și 30% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 25 Oct 2026, 21:55.
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Timeline
▮
20'
Lautaro Di Lollo
Yellow Card
Iván Marcone
Yellow Card
45+1'
▮
HT 0–0
Chimy Ávila
Yellow Card
53'
▮
⇄
60'
Alan Velasco
⇄ Sebastián Villa
Mateo Perez
Yellow Card
64'
▮
⇄
66'
Miguel Merentiel
⇄ Enner Valencia
▮
67'
Milton Delgado
Yellow Card
Josias Palais
⇄ Matías Abaldo
69'
⇄
▮
77'
Facundo Herrera
Yellow Card
Maxi Meza
⇄ Iván Morales
77'
⇄
Mateo Perez
⇄ David Martínez
78'
⇄
⇄
81'
Leonel Flores
⇄ Carlos Palacios
Chimy Ávila
86'
⇄
Santiago Montiel
⇄ Felipe Tempone
86'
⇄
⚽
0–1
88'
Facundo Herrera
assist: Sebastián Villa
▮
90+2'
Malcom Braida
Yellow Card
FT 0–1
Independiente
Match Stats
Boca Juniors
34%
Ball Possession
66%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
23
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
4
16
Shots off Goal
4
2
Blocked Shots
2
14
Shots insidebox
7
9
Shots outsidebox
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
17
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
309
Total passes
602
226
Passes accurate
525
17
Free Kicks
13
Independiente
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Sebastián Valdez D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 34 (30%) | 4 |
| 16 Mateo Perez M | 7.0 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 1 |
| 35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (22%) | 3 |
| 8 Maxi Meza M | 6.8 | 77' | – | – | 5 | 34 (21%) | 1 |
| 23 Iván Marcone M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (21%) | 4 |
| 77 Santiago Mele G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | – |
| 5 Nahuel Banegas D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 30 (21%) | 2 |
| Seamus Maughan | 6.5 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 19 Matías Abaldo F | 6.5 | 21' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 9 Iván Morales F | 6.4 | 13' | – | – | 2 | 2 (1%) | – |
| 6 Chimy Ávila F | 6.4 | 86' | – | – | 2 | 24 (21%) | – |
| 32 David Martínez M | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 7 (3%) | – |
| 24 Josias Palais F | 6.3 | 69' | – | – | 2 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 34 Felipe Tempone F | 6.2 | 4' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 4 Santiago Arias D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 25 (17%) | 1 |
| 7 Santiago Montiel F | 6.0 | 86' | – | – | 5 | 31 (22%) | 3 |
Boca Juniors
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Álvaro Montero G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 42 Facundo Herrera D | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 83 (73%) | 2 |
| 17 Leandro Lozano D | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 3 |
| 18 Milton Delgado M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 85 (80%) | 5 |
| 27 Malcom Braida D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 4 |
| 20 Alan Velasco M | 7.1 | 60' | – | – | 1 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 22 Sebastián Villa F | 7.0 | 30' | – | 1 | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 2 Lautaro Di Lollo D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 94 (83%) | 2 |
| 19 Leonel Flores M | 6.9 | 81' | – | – | 3 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 13 Enner Valencia F | 6.8 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 7 Carlos Palacios M | 6.8 | 9' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 25 Santiago Ascacíbar M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 28 (26%) | 2 |
| 16 Miguel Merentiel F | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 5 Leandro Paredes M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 105 (88%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (45%)
At a glance
Analiza noastră
Boca Juniors sau egal
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Independiente
WDLDD
Boca Juniors
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings
Independiente · 1W 2D 0L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
25%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
45%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Independiente
G. Ávalos
11 gls
Boca Juniors
M. Merentiel
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Independiente vs Boca Juniors
1
Independiente Wins
2
Draws
0
Boca Juniors Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Boca Juniors | 1 - 1 | Independiente |
| 19 May 2025 | Boca Juniors | 0 - 1 | Independiente |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Boca Juniors | 0 - 0 | Independiente |
Independiente — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Deportivo Riestra | W | 2 - 1 |
| 02 Nov | A Defensa Y Justicia | D | 1 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Boca Juniors | L | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Racing Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 12 Oct | A Talleres Cordoba | D | 0 - 0 |
Boca Juniors — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Defensa Y Justicia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | H River Plate | W | 1 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | A Independiente | W | 0 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | A Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | H Talleres Cordoba | W | 2 - 1 |
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Instituto Cordoba
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 15 | +11 | 34 |
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
|
16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | +10 | 33 |
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 |
Defensa Y Justicia
|
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 28 |
| 5 |
Lanus
|
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 25 |
| 6 |
Newells Old Boys
|
16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independiente
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 |
Gimnasia M.
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
| 9 |
Union Santa Fe
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Platense
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 11 |
San Lorenzo
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |
Estudiantes L.P.
|
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |
Talleres Cordoba
|
16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Riestra
|
16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 |
Central Cordoba de Santiago
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 10 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosario Central
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |
Argentinos JRS
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 |
Gimnasia L.P.
|
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
| 4 |
River Plate
|
16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 |
Barracas Central
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |
Belgrano Cordoba
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 |
Independ. Rivadavia
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 23 |
| 8 |
Huracan
|
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 |
Sarmiento Junin
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 21 |
| 10 |
Tigre
|
16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 |
Atletico Tucuman
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 |
Banfield
|
16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 13 |
Racing Club
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
| 14 |
Aldosivi
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 |
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
|
16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 9 |
Boca Juniors
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Arruabarrena
1
Montero
27
Braida
42
Herrera
2
Lollo
17
Lozano
18
Delgado
5
Paredes
19
Flores
20
Velasco
25
Ascacíbar
16
Merentiel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Á. Montero | G |
| 17 | L. Lozano | D |
| 2 | L. Di Lollo | D |
| 42 | F. Herrera | D |
| 27 | M. Braida | D |
| 5 | L. Paredes | M |
| 18 | M. Delgado | M |
| 25 | S. Ascacíbar | M |
| 20 | A. Velasco | M |
| 19 | L. Flores | M |
| 16 | M. Merentiel | F |
Substitutes
| 6 | R. Battaglia | M |
| 15 | W. Alarcón | M |
| 12 | L. Brey | G |
| 32 | A. Costa | D |
| 4 | N. Figal | D |
| 9 | M. Giménez | F |
| 24 | D. Gorosito | D |
| 7 | C. Palacios | M |
| 26 | Marco Pellegrino | D |
| 53 | Joaquín Ruíz | F |
| 13 | E. Valencia | F |
| 22 | S. Villa | F |
Independiente
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Jádson Viera
77
Mele
5
Banegas
35
Arrayago
36
Valdez
4
Arias
8
Meza
23
Marcone
16
Perez
24
Palais
6
Ávila
7
Montiel
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 77 | S. Mele | G |
| 4 | S. Arias | D |
| 36 | S. Valdez | D |
| 35 | J. Arrayago | D |
| 5 | N. Banegas | D |
| 16 | M. Perez | M |
| 23 | I. Marcone | M |
| 8 | M. Meza | M |
| 7 | S. Montiel | F |
| 6 | E. Ávila | F |
| 24 | J. Palais | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | L. Cabral | M |
| 2 | F. Calderón | D |
| 13 | J. Fedorco | D |
| 29 | L. Godoy | D |
| 32 | D. Martínez | M |
| 14 | Lautaro Millán | M |
| 9 | I. Morales | F |
| 30 | Tomás Parmo | M |
| 33 | R. Rey | G |
| 34 | F. Tempone | F |
| 22 | F. Zabala | D |
| 19 | M. Abaldo | F |