Sao Paulo vs Vitoria Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 30
FT
Post on X
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo (Morumbi), São Paulo, São Paulo
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Sao Paulo
57%
26%
17%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Sao Paulo vs Vitoria: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 57% pentru victoria lui Sao Paulo, 17% pentru Vitoria și 26% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 11 Oct 2026, 02:03.

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Timeline

▮ 16'
Matheuzinho Yellow Card
▮ 16'
Cacá Yellow Card
Jonathan Calleri assist: Iago Borduchi
20' ⚽ 1–0
Gustavo Santana Yellow Card
24' ▮
⚽ 1–1 39'
Emmanuel Martínez assist: Erick
Djhordney Ferreira Yellow Card
44' ▮
HT 1–1
Djhordney Ferreira ⇄ Lucas Moura
59' ⇄
Lucas Ramon ⇄ Marcos Antônio
59' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Lucas Silva ⇄ Tomás Pochettino
Jonathan Calleri
70' ⚽ 2–1
Artur ⇄ Pedro Ferreira
75' ⇄
Gustavo Santana ⇄ Pedro Lima
75' ⇄
Sabino Yellow Card
77' ▮
Iago Borduchi Yellow Card
78' ▮
⇄ 78'
Caique Gonçalves ⇄ Zé Vitor
⇄ 78'
Matheuzinho
⇄ 79'
Renê Sousa ⇄ Renato Kayzer
Damián Bobadilla ⇄ Rafael Tolói
84' ⇄
▮ 86'
Renato Kayzer Yellow Card
⇄ 90'
Emmanuel Martínez ⇄ Alex Bruno
FT 2–1
Sao Paulo

Match Stats

Vitoria
55% Ball Possession 45%
1.8 Expected Goals (xG) 0.52
21 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Goal 1
9 Shots off Goal 7
6 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Corner Kicks 2
13 Fouls 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
480 Total passes 402
395 Passes accurate 327
10 Free Kicks 13
Sao Paulo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Jonathan Calleri F 9.4 90' 2 – 4 25 (16%) 3
16 Damián Bobadilla M 7.2 84' – – 1 60 (53%) 1
5 Robert Arboleda D 7.1 90' – – 1 44 (38%) 2
37 Artur M 7.1 75' – – 3 35 (31%) –
8 Marcos Antônio M 6.8 31' – – – 31 (28%) –
35 Sabino D 6.8 90' – – 3 45 (37%) 2
48 Djhordney Ferreira M 6.7 59' – – 1 49 (45%) –
7 Lucas Moura F 6.7 31' – – – 23 (18%) 1
23 Rafael G 6.6 90' – – – 24 (19%) –
28 Newton D 6.5 90' – – – 52 (43%) 1
32 Pedro Lima D 6.5 15' – – – 7 (7%) 2
43 Gustavo Santana M 6.4 75' – – 5 18 (14%) 2
46 Pedro Ferreira M 6.4 15' – – 1 6 (3%) 1
2 Rafael Tolói D 6.3 6' – – – 1 –
19 Lucas Ramon M 6.2 59' – – 1 22 (16%) 2
12 Iago Borduchi M 6.1 90' – 1 1 36 (27%) 1
Vitoria
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Emmanuel Martínez M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 34 (32%) 3
33 Erick M 7.0 90' – 1 1 43 (32%) 3
98 Mateusinho D 6.9 90' – – 1 36 (32%) 2
1 Lucas Arcanjo G 6.7 90' – – – 31 (20%) –
95 Caique Gonçalves M 6.5 78' – – – 40 (37%) 2
Seamus Maughan 6.4 12' – – 1 4 (4%) –
36 Luan Cândido D 6.4 90' – – 1 48 (41%) 3
88 Zé Vitor M 6.2 12' – – 1 11 (10%) 1
20 Lucas Silva M 6.2 69' – – 1 9 (5%) –
79 Renato Kayzer F 6.1 11' – – – 2 1
25 Cacá D 6.0 90' – – – 60 (52%) –
8 Tomás Pochettino M 6.0 21' – – – 8 (6%) 1
10 Matheuzinho M 5.9 78' – – – 20 (15%) –
91 Renê Sousa F 5.7 79' – – 2 7 (3%) –
83 Jamerson D 5.6 90' – – 1 43 (33%) 1
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Sao Paulo
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Sao Paulo
DLDWW
Vitoria
LLDDL
Last 3 meetings Sao Paulo · 1W 0D 2L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
57%
45%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
17%
10%

Most likely scores

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Players in form

Sao Paulo
J. Calleri 10 gls
Luciano 9 gls
Vitoria
Rene 10 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Sao Paulo vs Vitoria

1 Sao Paulo Wins
0 Draws
2 Vitoria Wins
Date Home Score Away
11 Apr 2026 Vitoria 2 - 0 Sao Paulo
07 Dec 2025 Vitoria 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
09 Aug 2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Vitoria
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Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Corinthians D 0 - 0
29 Oct A Bahia L 3 - 2
24 Oct A Mirassol D 1 - 1
18 Oct H Vasco DA Gama W 1 - 0
11 Oct H Vitoria W 2 - 1

Vitoria — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Fluminense L 0 - 3
31 Oct A Coritiba L 2 - 0
24 Oct H Atletico Paranaense D 1 - 1
19 Oct A Corinthians D 1 - 1
11 Oct A Sao Paulo L 2 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Sao Paulo

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Dorival Júnior
23 Rafael
35 Sabino
5 Arboleda
28 Newton
12 Iago
48 Ferreira
16 Bobadilla
19 Ramon
43 Santana
37 Artur
9 Calleri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Rafael G
28 Newton D
5 R. Arboleda D
35 Sabino D
19 Lucas Ramon M
16 D. Bobadilla M
48 D. Ferreira M
12 Iago M
37 Artur M
43 G. Santana M
9 J. Calleri F

Substitutes

31 Carlos Coronel G
32 Pedro Lima D
46 Pedro Ferreira M
29 Pablo Maia M
45 Lucca Marques Alencar F
18 Wendell D
17 André Silva F
7 Lucas Moura F
49 Ryan Francisco F
27 Victor Sá F
8 Marcos Antônio M
2 R. Tolói D

Vitoria

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Arcanjo
83 Jamerson
36 Cândido
25 Cacá
98 Mateusinho
95 Caíque
20 Silva
10 Matheuzinho
6 Martínez
33 Erick
91 Rene

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Lucas Arcanjo G
98 Mateusinho D
25 Cacá D
36 Luan Cândido D
83 Jamerson D
95 Caíque M
33 Erick M
6 E. Martínez M
10 Matheuzinho M
20 Lucas Silva M
91 Rene F

Substitutes

9 Alex Bruno F
15 Walace M
88 Zé Vitor M
71 Yuri Sena G
26 Edenilson M
7 Marinho F
8 T. Pochettino M
77 I. Laquintana M
79 Renato Kayzer F
2 E. Brítez D
28 Anderson Pato F
23 Fabrício F

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