Metz vs Monaco Predicție

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

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Monaco

Away

Predicție AI Monaco câștigă

14%

81%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Metz vs Monaco: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 5% pentru victoria lui Metz, 81% pentru Monaco și 14% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 28 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Metz dominated possession with 66% of the ball but were unable to break the deadlock in a goalless first half, despite generating the majority of chances at home.

The second half proved far more eventful. Metz took the lead through Jessy Deminguet just four minutes after the restart, but Monaco responded swiftly with a triple substitution on 58 minutes that changed the complexion of the game. Folarin Balogun levelled matters almost immediately at 61 minutes, and the visitors continued to press for a winner. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Monaco victory as the most likely outcome at 81%, a call that ultimately proved correct. Ansu Fati sealed the win deep into stoppage time, converting what proved to be the decisive goal in the 90th minute.

Despite Metz's territorial advantage — nine corner kicks to Monaco's five — the xG figures finished remarkably level at 1.25 to 1.22, underlining how fine the margins were. Monaco's clinical finishing in the second half, combined with their impactful substitutions, proved the difference as they claimed all three points on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0

Jessy Deminguet assist: Gauthier Hein

49' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 58'

Paul Pogba ⇄ Aladji Bamba

⇄ 58'

Simon Adingra ⇄ Ansu Fati

⇄ 58'

Lamine Camara ⇄ Mamadou Coulibaly

⚽ 1–1 61'

Folarin Balogun assist: Maghnes Akliouche

▮ 62'

Mamadou Coulibaly Yellow Card

Benjamin Stambouli ⇄ Believe Munongo

73' ⇄

Nathan Mbala ⇄ Giorgi Abuashvili

74' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Aleksandr Golovin ⇄ Mika Biereth

▮ 81'

Christian Mawissa Yellow Card

Giorgi Kvilitaia ⇄ Habib Diallo

81' ⇄

Jessy Deminguet ⇄ Jahyann Pandore

81' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Christian Mawissa ⇄ Caio Henrique

⚽ 1–2 90'

Ansu Fati assist: Caio Henrique

FT 1–2

Metz

Match Stats

Monaco

34% Ball Possession 66%

1.22 Expected Goals (xG) 1.25

13 Total Shots 15

1 Shots on Goal 3

10 Shots off Goal 7

2 Blocked Shots 5

10 Shots insidebox 9

3 Shots outsidebox 6

5 Corner Kicks 9

1 Offsides 1

10 Fouls 15

0 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 0

295 Total passes 584

234 Passes accurate 502

79% Passes % 86%

-0.51 goals_prevented -0.51

Metz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Jessy Deminguet M	7.9	81'	1	–	2	16 (15%)	1
10 Gauthier Hein M	7.3	90'	–	1	2	46 (41%)	2
7 Georgiy Tsitaishvili D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	20 (15%)	–
11 Giorgi Kvilitaia F	7.2	81'	–	–	–	16 (8%)	2
38 Sadibou Sané D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
35 Jahyann Pandore F	6.7	9'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	29 (23%)	–
70 Bouna Sarr D	6.6	90'	–	–	2	25 (20%)	1
9 Giorgi Abuashvili F	6.6	16'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
61 Pape Sy G	6.5	90'	–	–	–	23 (16%)	–
33 Believe Munongo M	6.5	17'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
30 Habib Diallo F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
34 Nathan Mbala M	6.3	74'	–	–	2	6 (4%)	1
21 Benjamin Stambouli M	6.3	73'	–	–	1	20 (15%)	2
15 Terry Yegbe D	5.9	90'	–	–	1	27 (19%)	–

Monaco

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
31 Ansu Fati F	7.6	32'	1	–	1	18 (15%)	–
5 Thilo Kehrer D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	75 (71%)	2
11 Maghnes Akliouche F	7.2	90'	–	1	2	47 (41%)	–
12 Caio Henrique D	7.2	15'	–	1	–	10 (8%)	1
6 Denis Zakaria D	7.0	90'	–	–	1	73 (66%)	4
15 Lamine Camara M	6.9	58'	–	–	–	49 (44%)	1
1 Lukáš Hrádecký G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	–
9 Folarin Balogun F	6.6	90'	1	–	2	25 (17%)	–
8 Paul Pogba M	6.6	58'	–	–	1	46 (36%)	1
4 Jordan Teze M	6.5	90'	–	–	–	44 (38%)	–
28 Mamadou Coulibaly M	6.5	32'	–	–	1	14 (10%)	–
13 Christian Mawissa D	6.3	84'	–	–	–	64 (58%)	1
10 Aleksandr Golovin F	6.3	74'	–	–	1	46 (40%)	–
23 Aladji Bamba M	6.3	32'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	1
14 Mika Biereth F	6.3	16'	–	–	–	1	–
24 Simon Adingra M	6.2	58'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1

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At a glance

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Monaco câștigă

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Metz

DLWDD

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Metz · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on May 3, 2026, Metz will host Monaco at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz, currently battling relegation, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in the last five matches. Meanwhile, Monaco is in the hunt for European qualification, boasting a potent attack that averages 1.8 goals per game this season. Historically, Monaco has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters. With Metz needing points to avoid relegation, expect a tactical battle as they try to shore up their defense against a high-scoring Monaco side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	16	19	15	9	4
1	3	6	7	6	3	2
2		1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 0–2 (18.6%)

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Players in form

Metz

No scorer data.

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

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Head to Head: Metz vs Monaco

0 Metz Wins

0 Draws

3 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Sep 2025	Monaco	5 - 2	Metz
30 Mar 2024	Metz	2 - 5	Monaco
22 Oct 2023	Monaco	2 - 1	Metz

Vezi toate cele 10 întâlniri — Premium

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2