Cremonese vs Como Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

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Como

Away

Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

Predicție AI Como câștigă

16%

79%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Cremonese vs Como prediction: Sportiko gives Cremonese a 5% chance of winning, Como 79% and the draw 16%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Cremonese's afternoon unravelled almost before it began, as both David Okereke and Milan Đurić received red cards in the opening moments, leaving the hosts severely undermanned for virtually the entire match. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Cremonese held out until the 36th minute when Jesús Rodriguez broke the deadlock to give Como a deserved lead into half-time.

The visitors took full control after the break. Anastasios Douvikas extended the advantage on 51 minutes, before Federico Bonazzoli converted a penalty on 55 to make it 3–0. A VAR-confirmed penalty followed, and Lucas Da Cunha dispatched it on 74 minutes before adding a fifth goal in open play seven minutes later to complete a comprehensive victory. Cremonese's Alberto Grassi was also dismissed with a red card on 71 minutes, compounding a miserable evening for the hosts.

The statistics reflected Como's dominance throughout — 70% possession, 15 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 2.47 against Cremonese's 1.06. The pre-match AI model had rated a Como win at 79%, a prediction that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

David Okereke Red Card

0' ▮

Milan Đurić Red Card

0' ▮

Youssef Maleh ⇄ Jari Vandeputte

16' ⇄

▮ 20'

Jesús Rodriguez Yellow Card

Morten Thorsby Yellow Card

21' ▮

⚽ 0–1 36'

Jesús Rodriguez

HT 0–1

Morten Thorsby ⇄ Michele Collocolo

46' ⇄

Alessio Zerbin ⇄ Romano Floriani Mussolini

46' ⇄

▮ 49'

Alberto Moreno Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 51'

Anastasios Douvikas assist: Jesús Rodriguez

Federico Bonazzoli Penalty

55' ⚽ 1–2

Jamie Vardy Yellow Card

61' ▮

⇄ 64'

Jesús Rodriguez ⇄ Maxence Caqueret

🖵 68'

Anastasios Douvikas Penalty confirmed

Matteo Bianchetti Yellow Card

71' ▮

Alberto Grassi Red Card

71' ▮

⚽ 1–3 74'

Lucas Da Cunha Penalty

Jari Vandeputte Yellow Card

76' ▮

⇄ 76'

Alberto Moreno ⇄ Ignace Van der Brempt

⚽ 1–4 81'

Lucas Da Cunha assist: Maxence Caqueret

Filippo Terracciano ⇄ Tommaso Barbieri

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Anastasios Douvikas ⇄ Álvaro Morata

⇄ 83'

Assane Diao ⇄ Mërgim Vojvoda

⇄ 83'

Martin Baturina ⇄ Sergi Roberto

Federico Bonazzoli ⇄ Simone Lottici Tessadri

85' ⇄

FT 1–4

Cremonese

Match Stats

Como

30% Ball Possession 70%

1.06 Expected Goals (xG) 2.47

6 Total Shots 15

1 Shots on Goal 6

4 Shots off Goal 3

1 Blocked Shots 6

4 Shots insidebox 12

2 Shots outsidebox 3

2 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 3

14 Fouls 12

4 Yellow Cards 2

3 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

208 Total passes 510

143 Passes accurate 455

69% Passes % 89%

-0.17 goals_prevented -0.17

Cremonese

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
90 Federico Bonazzoli F	7.5	85'	1	–	2	12 (11%)	–
10 Jamie Vardy F	6.9	90'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
29 Youssef Maleh M	6.7	16'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
21 Simone Lottici Tessadri M	6.7	8'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
3 Giuseppe Pezzella M	6.6	90'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	4
4 Tommaso Barbieri D	6.6	10'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
18 Michele Collocolo M	6.5	45'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–
2 Morten Thorsby M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	11 (9%)	1
33 Alberto Grassi M	6.2	71'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	1
7 Alessio Zerbin M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	7 (3%)	2
27 Jari Vandeputte M	6.2	74'	–	–	–	18 (12%)	1
1 Emil Audero G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	28 (10%)	–
15 Matteo Bianchetti D	5.5	90'	–	–	–	20 (15%)	2
5 Sebastiano Luperto D	5.5	90'	–	–	1	30 (24%)	–
24 Filippo Terracciano D	5.3	83'	–	–	–	17 (13%)	–
22 Romano Floriani Mussolini D	5.3	45'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–

Como

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
33 Lucas Da Cunha M	8.3	90'	2	–	2	59 (54%)	–
17 Jesús Rodriguez M	7.9	64'	1	1	1	19 (17%)	2
11 Anastasios Douvikas F	7.5	83'	1	–	3	4 (2%)	–
20 Martin Baturina M	7.0	83'	–	–	–	42 (34%)	2
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	69 (55%)	1
6 Maxence Caqueret M	7.0	26'	–	1	–	16 (16%)	1
1 Jean Butez G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	33 (28%)	–
23 Máximo Perrone M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	64 (61%)	–
77 Ignace Van der Brempt D	6.9	14'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	2
14 Jacobo Ramón D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	78 (74%)	1
38 Assane Diao M	6.7	83'	–	–	2	24 (21%)	1
31 Mërgim Vojvoda D	6.7	10'	–	–	–	6 (4%)	–
8 Sergi Roberto M	6.7	10'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	–
28 Ivan Smolčić D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	52 (47%)	–
18 Alberto Moreno D	6.5	76'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	2
7 Álvaro Morata F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

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Cremonese

DDWLW

Como

WWWDW

Last 1 meetings Cremonese · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Cremonese will host Como in a crucial Serie A clash on May 24, 2026. Both teams are expected to be battling for points to secure their top-flight status, with Cremonese currently holding a slight edge in home performance. Historically, matches between these two have been tightly contested, with Cremonese managing to win 3 out of the last 5 encounters. Como's away form has been inconsistent, which could play into Cremonese's hands. A tight match is anticipated, with key players on both sides needing to step up to influence the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Como goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	19	20	14	7	3
1	3	6	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Cremonese goals · most likely 0–2 (20.0%)

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Head to Head: Cremonese vs Como

0 Cremonese Wins

1 Draws

0 Como Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
27 Sep 2025	Como	1 - 1	Cremonese

Cremonese — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Lumezzane	D	0 - 0
29 Jul	H Cittadella	D	1 - 1
24 Jul	H Giana Erminio	W	4 - 0
24 May	H Como	L	1 - 4
17 May	A Udinese	W	0 - 1

Como — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 May	A Cremonese	W	1 - 4
17 May	H Parma	W	1 - 0
10 May	A Hellas Verona	W	0 - 1
02 May	H Napoli	D	0 - 0
26 Apr	A Genoa	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Cremonese

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Marco Giampaolo

1 Audero

5 Luperto

15 Bianchetti

24 Terracciano

3 Pezzella

29 Maleh

33 Grassi

2 Thorsby

7 Zerbin

10 Vardy

90 Bonazzoli

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	E. Audero	G
24	F. Terracciano	D
15	M. Bianchetti	D
5	S. Luperto	D
7	A. Zerbin	M
2	M. Thorsby	M
33	A. Grassi	M
29	Y. Maleh	M
3	G. Pezzella	M
90	F. Bonazzoli	F
10	J. Vardy	F

Substitutes

16	M. Silvestri	G
69	L. Nava	G
9	M. Djuric	F
27	J. Vandeputte	M
77	D. Okereke	F
18	M. Collocolo	M
55	F. Folino	D
21	S. Lottici Tessadri	M
23	F. Ceccherini	D
4	T. Barbieri	D
22	R. Floriani	D
26	T. Vigilati	-

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fabregas

1 Butez

18 Moreno

2 Kempf

14 Ramon

28 Smolcic

23 Perrone

33 Cunha

17 Rodriguez

20 Baturina

38 Diao

11 Douvikas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	J. Butez	G
28	I. Smolcic	D
14	J. Ramon	D
2	M. O. Kempf	D
18	A. Moreno	D
33	L. Da Cunha	M
23	M. Perrone	M
38	A. Diao	M
20	M. Baturina	M
17	J. Rodriguez	M
11	A. Douvikas	F

Substitutes

22	M. Vigorito	G
21	N. Tornqvist	G
7	A. Morata	F
34	Diego Carlos	D
31	M. Vojvoda	D
8	S. Roberto	M
5	E. Goldaniga	D
6	M. Caqueret	M
19	N. Kuhn	F
77	I. Van der Brempt	D
10	N. Paz	M
15	A. Lahdo	M
58	S. Pisati	M
49	R. Cassano	M