RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin Predicție

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 31
FT
Post on X
Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru RB Leipzig
63%
22%
16%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 63% pentru victoria lui RB Leipzig, 16% pentru Union Berlin și 22% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

RB Leipzig dominated Union Berlin from the outset, taking control of Bundesliga Matchday 31 with two quick goals in the first half. Max Finkgräfe opened the scoring in the 22nd minute before Rômulo doubled the advantage just three minutes later, giving Leipzig a commanding 2–0 lead at the break. The hosts' dominance was reflected in the statistics, with 67% possession, 20 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 4.49 compared to Union's meagre 0.19.

Union Berlin made several changes after the interval in an attempt to shift the momentum, but Leipzig extended their lead when Ridle Baku added a third goal in the 63rd minute. The visitors did manage a consolation through Danilho Doekhi in the 78th minute, though it proved little more than a footnote on a difficult afternoon.

The result was a comfortable one for Leipzig, who controlled proceedings throughout. The pre-match AI model had identified a Leipzig win as the most likely outcome at 63%, a call that proved well-founded given the hosts' comprehensive performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Max Finkgräfe
22' ⚽ 1–0
Rômulo
25' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 31'
Frederik Rønnow ⇄ Carl Klaus
Christoph Baumgartner Yellow Card
34' ▮
HT 2–0
⇄ 59'
Andrej Ilić ⇄ Ilyas Ansah
⇄ 60'
Christopher Trimmel ⇄ Josip Juranović
⇄ 60'
Janik Haberer ⇄ Aljoscha Kemlein
Ridle Baku assist: Yan Diomande
63' ⚽ 3–0
Rômulo ⇄ Brajan Gruda
68' ⇄
Assan Ouédraogo ⇄ Conrad Harder
68' ⇄
⚽ 3–1 78'
Danilho Doekhi assist: Josip Juranović
Yan Diomande ⇄ Johan Bakayoko
79' ⇄
Ridle Baku ⇄ Benjamin Henrichs
79' ⇄
⇄ 83'
András Schäfer ⇄ Livan Burcu
▮ 84'
Diogo Leite Yellow Card
Antonio Nusa ⇄ Tidiam Gomis
90' ⇄
FT 3–1
RB Leipzig

Match Stats

Union Berlin
67% Ball Possession 33%
4.49 Expected Goals (xG) 0.19
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 1
14 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 2
10 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 3
6 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
602 Total passes 296
524 Passes accurate 212
87% Passes % 72%
0.66 goals_prevented 0.66
RB Leipzig
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
49 Yan Diomande F 8.2 79' – 1 – 39 (32%) 1
17 Ridle Baku D 8.2 79' 1 – 1 57 (54%) 1
24 Xaver Schlager M 7.6 90' – – – 82 (78%) 3
35 Max Finkgräfe D 7.6 90' 1 – 1 65 (60%) 2
4 Willi Orbán D 7.3 90' – – – 91 (80%) 4
5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu D 7.3 90' – – – 88 (81%) 1
11 Conrad Harder F 7.2 22' – – – 2 (2%) 1
7 Antonio Nusa F 7.0 89' – – 3 30 (21%) –
40 Rômulo F 7.0 68' 1 – 2 18 (13%) 1
39 Benjamin Henrichs D 6.9 11' – – – 5 (5%) –
9 Johan Bakayoko F 6.9 11' – – 2 7 (5%) –
10 Brajan Gruda F 6.6 22' – – – 8 (6%) –
20 Assan Ouédraogo M 6.5 68' – – 2 28 (25%) –
14 Christoph Baumgartner M 6.5 90' – – 5 41 (33%) 1
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G 6.2 90' – – – 40 (28%) –
27 Tidiam Gomis F — 1' – – – 1 (1%) –
Union Berlin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Carl Klaus G 7.9 59' – – – 15 (9%) –
5 Danilho Doekhi D 7.7 90' 1 – 2 26 (23%) 3
14 Leopold Querfeld D 7.2 90' – – – 33 (23%) 3
13 András Schäfer M 7.2 83' – – – 32 (23%) 2
6 Aljoscha Kemlein M 6.9 30' – – 1 18 (12%) 2
9 Livan Burcu F 6.7 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
23 Andrej Ilić F 6.6 59' – – 1 11 (6%) –
18 Josip Juranović D 6.6 30' – 1 – 9 (4%) 3
19 Janik Haberer M 6.5 60' – – – 21 (16%) 3
7 Oliver Burke F 6.5 90' – – – 25 (19%) –
4 Diogo Leite D 6.3 90' – – – 33 (26%) 3
10 Ilyas Ansah F 6.3 31' – – – 5 (4%) 1
28 Christopher Trimmel M 6.3 60' – – – 23 (17%) 1
8 Rani Khedira M 6.2 90' – – – 17 (12%) 1
1 Frederik Rønnow G 6.2 31' – – – 6 (4%) –
15 Tom Rothe M 6.2 90' – – – 19 (11%) 1
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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru RB Leipzig
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RB Leipzig
LWLLW
Union Berlin
LLLDW
Last 3 meetings RB Leipzig · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

RB Leipzig hosts Union Berlin in a crucial Bundesliga clash on April 25, 2026. Leipzig, known for their aggressive pressing and high possession game, will look to exploit Union's defensive vulnerabilities. As of October 2023, Leipzig has averaged 2.1 goals per match at home, while Union has struggled on the road, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per away game. The match will likely hinge on Leipzig's ability to break down Union's compact defense and capitalize on set pieces, while Union will aim to counter effectively. With Leipzig fighting for European qualification, expect a dynamic and competitive encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Players in form

RB Leipzig
A. Nusa 2 gls
Union Berlin
T. Skarke 2 gls

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Head to Head: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

0 RB Leipzig Wins
2 Draws
1 Union Berlin Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Dec 2025 Union Berlin 3 - 1 RB Leipzig
01 Feb 2025 Union Berlin 0 - 0 RB Leipzig
14 Sep 2024 RB Leipzig 0 - 0 Union Berlin
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RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 2 - 0
13 Sep H Hamburger SV W 5 - 0
10 Sep A Como L 4 - 1
05 Sep A Werder Bremen L 3 - 1
29 Aug H Borussia Mönchengladbach W 3 - 0

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bayern München L 7 - 0
11 Sep H FC Schalke 04 L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 4 - 0
29 Aug H Eintracht Frankfurt D 3 - 3
23 Aug A Eintracht Braunschweig W 2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

RB Leipzig

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ole Werner
26 Vandevoordt
35 Finkgrafe
5 Bitshiabu
4 Orban
17 Baku
14 Baumgartner
24 Schlager
20 Ouedraogo
7 Nusa
40 Cardoso
49 Diomande

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 M. Vandevoordt G
17 R. Baku D
4 W. Orban D
5 E. Bitshiabu D
35 M. Finkgrafe D
20 A. Ouedraogo M
24 X. Schlager M
14 C. Baumgartner M
49 Y. Diomande F
40 Romulo Cardoso F
7 A. Nusa F

Substitutes

1 P. Gulacsi G
16 L. Klostermann D
9 J. Bakayoko F
10 B. Gruda F
33 A. Maksimovic M
27 T. Gomis F
39 B. Henrichs D
19 K. Nedeljkovic D
11 C. Harder F

Union Berlin

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Marie-Louise Eta
1 Ronnow
4 Leite
14 Querfeld
5 Doekhi
15 Rothe
19 Haberer
8 Khedira
13 Schafer
28 Trimmel
23 Ilic
7 Burke

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Ronnow G
5 D. Doekhi D
14 L. Querfeld D
4 D. Leite D
28 C. Trimmel M
13 A. Schafer M
8 R. Khedira M
19 J. Haberer M
15 T. Rothe M
7 O. Burke F
23 A. Ilic F

Substitutes

25 C. Klaus G
33 A. Kral M
18 J. Juranovic D
21 T. Skarke M
10 I. Ansah F
34 S. Nsoki D
39 D. Kohn D
6 A. Kemlein M
9 L. Burcu F

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