FK Jablonec vs Brighton Predicție

FT
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Predicție AI Brighton câștigă
6%
14%
80%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție FK Jablonec vs Brighton: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 6% pentru victoria lui FK Jablonec, 80% pentru Brighton și 14% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 22 Oct 2026, 18:38.

Match Report

FK Jablonec held Brighton to a goalless draw in the UEFA Europa Conference League, producing one of the more surprising results of the league stage. Despite Brighton dominating possession with 72% of the ball and registering 20 total shots to Jablonec's eight, the Czech side's defensive resilience proved decisive as neither goalkeeper was truly tested, with shots on goal finishing level at four apiece.

The match grew increasingly fractious in the second half, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides. Antonín Růsek's booking at 73 minutes saw him substituted almost immediately, while Brighton introduced Pascal Groß, Olivier Boscagli, Jack Hinshelwood, and Matt O'Riley in a 68th-minute quadruple change in search of a breakthrough that never arrived.

Brighton's expected goals figure of 0.64 reflected their inability to convert territorial dominance into clear-cut chances, while Jablonec edged the xG count at 1.09 despite their more limited possession. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brighton win at 80% — a call that proved well wide of the mark as Jablonec claimed a well-earned point.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
Matěj Polidar ⇄ Sebastian Nebyla
62' ⇄
Saidou Alioum Moubarak ⇄ Garang Kuol
62' ⇄
Sebastian Nebyla Yellow Card
65' ▮
⇄ 68'
Pascal Groß ⇄ Chema Andrés
⇄ 68'
Olivier Boscagli ⇄ Luka Vušković
⇄ 68'
Jack Hinshelwood ⇄ Promise David
⇄ 68'
Matt O'Riley ⇄ Yasin Ayari
▮ 70'
Costinha Yellow Card
Antonín Růsek Yellow Card
73' ▮
Antonín Růsek ⇄ Dominik Hollý
74' ⇄
Dušan Pavlović Yellow Card
77' ▮
Martin Cedidla Yellow Card
85' ▮
⇄ 86'
Jaouen Hadjam ⇄ Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Nelson Okeke ⇄ Jan Chramosta
90+1' ⇄
Richard Sedláček ⇄ Daniel Souček
90+1' ⇄
FT 0–0
FK Jablonec

Match Stats

Brighton
28% Ball Possession 72%
0.64 Expected Goals (xG) 1.09
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 14
0 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 12
1 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Corner Kicks 6
4 Offsides 3
6 Fouls 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
211 Total passes 531
135 Passes accurate 460
64% Passes % 87%
0.85 goals_prevented 0.85
FK Jablonec
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Martin Cedidla D 8.2 86' – – 1 19 (14%) 3
4 Nemanja Tekijaški D 8.2 86' – – – 20 (15%) 1
20 Jiří Sláma D 7.9 86' – – 1 19 (11%) 3
7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili M 7.2 86' – – 1 15 (10%) 2
6 Nelson Okeke M 7.2 86' – – – 15 (11%) 4
13 Richard Sedláček M 6.9 86' – – 1 27 (21%) –
21 Matěj Polidar M 6.9 62' – – 1 16 (11%) 1
9 Antonín Růsek F 6.9 74' – – 2 8 (6%) –
36 Garang Kuol M 6.7 24' – – – 2 (1%) –
15 Dušan Pavlović D 6.7 86' – – – 22 (14%) 1
1 Jan Hanuš G 6.7 86' – – – 38 (18%) –
24 Dominik Hollý M 6.5 12' – – 1 1 (1%) –
17 Saidou Alioum Moubarak M 6.3 62' – – – 6 (2%) –
25 Sebastian Nebyla M 6.3 24' – – – 3 –
Brighton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 B. Verbruggen G 7.9 86' – – – 29 (23%) –
13 Pascal Groß M 7.7 68' – – 1 52 (51%) 3
21 Olivier Boscagli D 7.7 68' – – 1 79 (68%) 1
30 Michael Svoboda D 7.5 86' – – 1 75 (71%) 2
3 Jaouen Hadjam D 7.2 86' – – 1 45 (40%) 1
35 Malick Yalcouyé M 7.2 86' – – 1 65 (56%) 1
20 Costinha D 6.9 86' – – – 55 (46%) 1
14 Chema Andrés M 6.7 18' – – 1 9 (9%) –
33 Matt O'Riley M 6.7 68' – – 1 28 (25%) 3
44 Luka Vušković D 6.6 18' – – – 17 (16%) 1
8 Jack Hinshelwood M 6.6 68' – – 2 20 (18%) 1
12 Promise David F 6.3 18' – – – 1 (1%) 1
26 Yasin Ayari M 6.3 18' – – – 3 (2%) –
15 Ibrahim Osman M 6.2 86' – – 4 33 (27%) –
10 Georginio Rutter F 5.9 86' – – 4 20 (7%) –
Premium

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Confidence High (80%)

At a glance

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FK Jablonec
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Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
6%
10%
Draw
14%
45%
Away
80%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: FK Jablonec vs Brighton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FK Jablonec — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Riga D 1 - 1
31 Oct H Slavia Praha L 0 - 5
25 Oct A Hradec Králové W 1 - 2
22 Oct H Brighton D 0 - 0
18 Oct H Plzen L 2 - 3

Brighton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Getafe W 0 - 1
31 Oct A Manchester City W 0 - 1
28 Oct A Manchester City D 2 - 2
25 Oct A Liverpool L 2 - 0
22 Oct A FK Jablonec D 0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Lugano
3 3 0 0 +7 9
2
Panathinaikos
3 3 0 0 +6 9
3
Twente
3 3 0 0 +6 9
4
Monaco
3 3 0 0 +6 9
5
Brighton
3 2 1 0 +5 7
6
Brann
3 2 1 0 +4 7
7
FC Copenhagen
3 2 1 0 +4 7
8
Universitatea Craiova
3 2 1 0 +4 7
9
Mjallby AIF
3 2 1 0 +4 7
10
St. Truiden
3 2 1 0 +3 7
11
Ajax
3 2 0 1 +6 6
12
Trabzonspor
3 2 0 1 +3 6
13
HNK Hajduk Split
3 2 0 1 +1 6
14
SC Freiburg
3 2 0 1 -1 6
15
FK Crvena Zvezda
3 1 1 1 0 4
16
Atalanta
3 1 1 1 0 4
17
SC Braga
3 1 1 1 -1 4
18
Gent
3 1 1 1 -1 4
19
Riga
3 0 3 0 0 3
20
FC Thun
3 1 0 2 0 3
21
Borac Banja Luka
3 1 0 2 -1 3
22
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3 1 0 2 -3 3
23
FK Jablonec
3 0 2 1 -1 2
24
Aarhus
3 0 2 1 -1 2
25
FC Nordsjaelland
3 0 2 1 -2 2
26
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
3 0 2 1 -2 2
27
Kairat Almaty
3 0 2 1 -4 2
28
CSKA Sofia
3 0 1 2 -2 1
29
FC Iberia 1999
3 0 1 2 -3 1
30
Pafos
3 0 1 2 -4 1
31
Getafe
3 0 1 2 -4 1
32
Heart Of Midlothian
3 0 1 2 -4 1
33
KuPS
3 0 1 2 -4 1
34
FC Midtjylland
3 0 1 2 -6 1
35
Inter Club d'Escaldes
3 0 0 3 -5 0
36
Kauno Žalgiris
3 0 0 3 -10 0

Brighton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Tamás Bódog
1 Verbruggen
3 Hadjam
21 Boscagli
30 Svoboda
20 Costinha
35 Yalcouyé
13 Groß
15 Osman
8 Hinshelwood
33 O'Riley
10 Rutter

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Bart Verbruggen G
20 Costinha D
30 Michael Svoboda D
21 Olivier Boscagli D
3 Jaouen Hadjam D
13 Pascal Groß M
35 Malick Yalcouyé M
33 Matt O'Riley M
8 Jack Hinshelwood M
15 Ibrahim Osman M
10 Georginio Rutter F

Substitutes

44 Luka Vušković D
14 Chema Andrés M
26 Yasin Ayari M
12 Promise David F
38 Tom McGill G
61 Steven Hall G
5 Lewis Dunk D
24 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D
50 Shane Nti M
59 Younes Ibrahim M
19 Charalampos Kostoulas F
49 Nehemiah Oriola M

FK Jablonec

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Tamás Bódog
1 Hanuš
20 Sláma
15 Pavlović
4 Tekijaški
18 Cedidla
6 Okeke
13 Sedláček
21 Polidar
17 Moubarak
7 Chanturishvili
9 Růsek

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jan Hanuš G
18 Martin Cedidla D
4 Nemanja Tekijaški D
15 Dušan Pavlović D
20 Jiří Sláma D
13 Richard Sedláček M
6 Nelson Okeke M
7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili M
17 Saidou Alioum Moubarak M
21 Matěj Polidar M
9 Antonín Růsek F

Substitutes

25 Sebastian Nebyla M
36 Garang Kuol M
24 Dominik Hollý M
99 Klemen Mihelak G
57 Filip Novák D
31 Evzen Maly D
8 Filip Zorvan M
14 Daniel Souček D
12 David Nykrin D
34 Adam Kubát M
19 Jan Chramosta F

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