Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona Predicție

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Parc des Princes, Paris
Predicție AI Prea echilibrat pentru o predicție clară
37%
23%
40%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 37% pentru victoria lui Paris Saint Germain, 40% pentru Barcelona și 23% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 20 Oct 2026, 20:57.

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Match Report

Paris Saint-Germain defeated Barcelona 4–2 in the UEFA Champions League league stage, a result that looked far from certain at half-time when Désiré Doué's 38th-minute strike separated the sides. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that was ultimately unsettled by a dominant PSG second half.

Barcelona drew level through substitute Xavi Espart just after the hour mark, and the match appeared finely poised until Lucas Hernández restored PSG's advantage at 72 minutes. Lamine Yamal pulled Barcelona level again at 79 minutes, briefly threatening another swing in momentum, but PSG responded emphatically with goals from Vitinha and Fabián Ruiz in the closing stages to seal a convincing final scoreline.

Despite Barcelona enjoying 53% possession and taking 18 total shots, PSG's clinical edge proved decisive, registering 15 shots on goal and an expected goals figure of 3.82 compared to Barcelona's 2.19. Both teams made extensive use of their substitutes, with several key contributors on both sides introduced during a frantic second half.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 17'
João Cancelo Yellow Card
Ousmane Dembélé ⇄ Ferran Torres
20' ⇄
⇄ 27'
Dani Olmo ⇄ Fermín López
Désiré Doué assist: João Neves
38' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 55'
Xavi Espart assist: Fermín López
Marquinhos ⇄ Ilya Zabarnyi
59' ⇄
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia ⇄ Maghnes Akliouche
59' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Raphinha ⇄ Karim Adeyemi
⇄ 60'
Pedri ⇄ Pablo Gavi
⇄ 60'
Marc Bernal ⇄ Rodri
Lucas Hernández assist: Désiré Doué
72' ⚽ 2–1
⇄ 74'
Xavi Espart ⇄ Alejandro Balde
Lucas Hernández ⇄ Warren Zaïre-Emery
78' ⇄
Désiré Doué ⇄ Senny Mayulu
78' ⇄
⚽ 2–2 79'
Lamine Yamal
Vitinha
81' ⚽ 3–2
Fabián Ruiz assist: Achraf Hakimi
86' ⚽ 4–2
FT 4–2
Paris Saint Germain

Match Stats

Barcelona
47% Ball Possession 53%
3.82 Expected Goals (xG) 2.19
22 Total Shots 18
15 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 8
4 Blocked Shots 5
13 Shots insidebox 12
9 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 3
2 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 10
470 Total passes 534
402 Passes accurate 469
10 Free Kicks 11
Paris Saint Germain
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Désiré Doué F 9.0 78' 1 1 4 35 (26%) 2
8 Fabián Ruiz M 8.2 90' 1 – 5 60 (54%) 1
17 Vitinha M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 64 (56%) –
87 João Neves M 7.7 90' – 1 1 36 (32%) 3
2 Achraf Hakimi D 7.6 90' – 1 2 66 (59%) 1
21 Lucas Hernández D 7.2 78' 1 – 1 33 (26%) 3
7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F 7.2 59' – – 4 14 (12%) 2
51 Willian Pacho D 7.1 90' – – – 33 (32%) 2
10 Ousmane Dembélé F 6.7 20' – – 1 4 (2%) –
6 Ilya Zabarnyi D 6.7 31' – – – 20 (17%) –
5 Marquinhos D 6.4 59' – – – 41 (34%) 1
9 Ferran Torres F 6.4 70' – – 3 12 (10%) –
11 Maghnes Akliouche M 6.3 31' – – – 17 (15%) –
39 Matvey Safonov G 6.3 90' – – – 23 (17%) –
33 Warren Zaïre-Emery M 6.1 12' – – – 8 (7%) –
24 Senny Mayulu M 6.1 12' – – – 4 (3%) 1
Barcelona
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Joan García G 7.7 90' – – – 32 (27%) –
10 Lamine Yamal M 7.6 90' 1 – 4 56 (44%) –
12 Xavi Espart D 7.0 74' 1 – 1 41 (36%) 4
11 Raphinha F 6.9 60' – – 2 20 (19%) –
8 Pedri M 6.8 60' – – 2 38 (36%) 1
14 Karim Adeyemi F 6.5 30' – – 2 14 (13%) –
18 Gerard Martín D 6.3 90' – – – 63 (58%) –
22 Marc Bernal M 6.3 60' – – 1 30 (26%) 1
16 Rodri M 6.2 30' – – – 24 (21%) 1
5 Pau Cubarsí D 6.1 90' – – – 63 (58%) –
17 Anthony Gordon M 6.1 90' – – – 36 (31%) –
6 Pablo Gavi M 6.0 30' – – 1 17 (17%) –
20 Dani Olmo M 5.9 27' – – 1 13 (9%) –
7 Fermín López M 5.9 63' – 1 3 22 (19%) –
3 Alejandro Balde D 5.8 16' – – – 10 (9%) 1
2 João Cancelo D 5.5 90' – – 1 55 (46%) 2
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Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

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Paris Saint Germain
WWWWW
Barcelona
WWLLW
Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 2W 0D 1L
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
45%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
40%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain
Fabián Ruiz 4 gls
O. Dembélé 3 gls
D. Doué 3 gls
Barcelona
Raphinha 4 gls
Lamine Yamal 3 gls

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins
0 Draws
1 Barcelona Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Oct 2025 Barcelona 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain
16 Apr 2024 Barcelona 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain
10 Apr 2024 Paris Saint Germain 2 - 3 Barcelona
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Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Estac Troyes W 1 - 0
03 Nov A Villarreal W 0 - 6
30 Oct A Le Havre W 1 - 5
26 Oct H Lyon W 2 - 0
20 Oct H Barcelona W 4 - 2

Barcelona — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
03 Nov H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
31 Oct H Alaves W 6 - 1
25 Oct H Real Madrid L 1 - 2
20 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 4 - 2
17 Oct A Real Betis W 2 - 5

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
4 4 0 0 +15 12
2
Real Madrid
4 4 0 0 +6 12
3
Arsenal
4 3 1 0 +5 10
4
Como
4 3 0 1 +13 9
5
Barcelona
4 3 0 1 +8 9
6
Aston Villa
4 3 0 1 +6 9
7
Manchester City
4 3 0 1 +5 9
8
Liverpool
4 3 0 1 +4 9
9
Club Brugge KV
4 3 0 1 +4 9
10
Sporting CP
4 3 0 1 +4 9
11
Real Betis
4 3 0 1 +2 9
12
Borussia Dortmund
4 3 0 1 +2 9
13
Bayern München
4 2 2 0 +7 8
14
VfB Stuttgart
4 2 1 1 +3 7
15
Inter
4 2 0 2 +2 6
16
Lask Linz
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Manchester United
4 2 0 2 0 6
18
Galatasaray
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Fenerbahçe
4 1 2 1 -5 5
20
AS Roma
4 1 1 2 +2 4
21
Shakhtar Donetsk
4 1 1 2 0 4
22
Viking
4 1 1 2 -1 4
23
Atletico Madrid
4 1 1 2 -1 4
24
PSV Eindhoven
4 1 1 2 -1 4
25
Bodo/Glimt
4 1 1 2 -5 4
26
FC Porto
4 1 0 3 -1 3
27
Napoli
4 1 0 3 -5 3
28
Villarreal
4 1 0 3 -6 3
29
AEK Athens FC
4 1 0 3 -6 3
30
RB Leipzig
4 1 0 3 -6 3
31
Sabah FA
4 1 0 3 -6 3
32
Feyenoord
4 1 0 3 -7 3
33
Lens
4 1 0 3 -12 3
34
Slavia Praha
4 0 1 3 -4 1
35
Lille
4 0 1 3 -6 1
36
Slovan Bratislava
4 0 0 4 -16 0

Paris Saint Germain

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Luis Enrique
39 Safonov
21 Hernández
51 Pacho
5 Marquinhos
2 Hakimi
8 Ruiz
17 Vitinha
87 Neves
7 Kvaratskhelia
10 Dembélé
14 Doué

Starting XI

# Player Pos
39 M. Safonov G
2 A. Hakimi D
5 Marquinhos D
51 W. Pacho D
21 L. Hernández D
87 João Neves M
17 Vitinha M
8 Fabián Ruiz M
14 D. Doué F
10 O. Dembélé F
7 K. Kvaratskhelia F

Substitutes

11 M. Akliouche M
30 L. Chevalier G
12 L. Digne D
4 Beraldo D
27 Pedro Fernández M
22 M. Godts F
24 Senny Mayulu M
80 Adam Mouak G
47 Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha F
9 Ferran Torres F
6 I. Zabarnyi D
33 W. Zaïre-Emery M

Barcelona

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: H. Flick
1 García
2 Cancelo
18 Martín
5 Paredes
12 Espart
8 Pedri
22 Bernal
17 Gordon
20 Olmo
10 Yamal
11 Raphinha

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Joan García G
12 X. Espart D
5 Pau Cubarsí Paredes D
18 Gerard Martín D
2 João Cancelo D
22 Marc Bernal M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
20 Dani Olmo M
17 A. Gordon M
11 Raphinha F

Substitutes

3 Alejandro Balde D
41 A. Campos D
21 F. de Jong M
4 B. Farinas M
7 Fermín M
9 Gabriel Jesus F
6 Gavi M
25 D. Livaković G
16 Rodri M
13 W. Szczęsny G
29 H. Abdelkarim F
14 K. Adeyemi F

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