Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Predicție

League Cup · Quarter-finals

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Kilmarnock

Home

1 : 1

HT 0 - 0

Aberdeen

Away

Predicție AI Aberdeen sau egal

33%

29%

38%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 33% pentru victoria lui Kilmarnock, 38% pentru Aberdeen și 29% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 12 Sep 2026, 19:33.

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Echipa Gazdă Marchează 73%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Sub 3.5 goluri 70%

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Timeline

▮ 31'

Daniel Happe Yellow Card

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

Mitchy Ntelo ⇄ Toyosi Olusanya

D. Daniels ⇄ Tyreece John-Jules

46' ⇄

⚽ 0–1 52'

Kevin Nisbet assist: Connor Ronan

▮ 55'

Afeez Aremu Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Daniel Happe Yellow Card

▮ 57'

Daniel Happe Red Card

Tyreece John-Jules assist: Greg Kiltie

58' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 64'

Afeez Aremu ⇄ Alexander Briedl

⇄ 64'

Connor Ronan ⇄ Gavin Molloy

Erik Ring ⇄ Rory McKenzie

70' ⇄

Jamie Brandon Yellow Card

76' ▮

Jamie Brandon ⇄ J. Meier

80' ⇄

Greg Kiltie ⇄ Nicky Cleșcenco

85' ⇄

⇄ 91'

Stuart Armstrong ⇄ Findlay Marshall

Tom Lowery ⇄ Mark O'Hara

101' ⇄

⇄ 110'

Kevin Nisbet ⇄ Ayoub Mouloua

⇄ 116'

Christopher Cadden ⇄ Jack Milne

C. McCarthy Yellow Card

120' ▮

Aaron Tshibola Yellow Card

120' ▮

▮ 120+1'

Toyosi Olusanya Yellow Card

Joe Hugill Penalty

120+1' ⚽ 2–1

✗ 120+1'

Nesta Guinness-Walker Missed Penalty

Tyreece John-Jules Missed Penalty

120+2' ✗

⚽ 2–2 120+2'

Alexander Briedl Penalty

Mark O'Hara Missed Penalty

120+3' ✗

⚽ 2–3 120+3'

Ayoub Mouloua Penalty

Aaron Tshibola Missed Penalty

120+4' ✗

⚽ 2–4 120+4'

Jack Milne Penalty

FT 1–1

Kilmarnock

Match Stats

Aberdeen

50% Ball Possession 50%

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

6 Shots on Goal 3

6 Shots off Goal 2

4 Blocked Shots 3

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

7 Corner Kicks 8

1 Offsides 2

14 Fouls 16

3 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

Aberdeen sau egal

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

58%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Kilmarnock

DWDDL

Aberdeen

DWDDL

Last 3 meetings Kilmarnock · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

33%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

38%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aberdeen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	3	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	6	8	6	3	1
3	2	4	3	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Kilmarnock goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Kilmarnock

A. Tshibola 0 gls

Aberdeen

Lewis Smith 0 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

33%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

33%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 33% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS Yes 42% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	7.5%	6.5%	3.1%	1.1%
1	6.8%	13.7%	8.7%	4.2%	1.5%
2	5.6%	8.0%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.5%	3.6%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%
4	0.8%	1.2%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	19.7%	4.9%	2.6%
Draw	12.6%	17.5%	15.4%
Aberdeen	1.9%	4.2%	21.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen

1 Kilmarnock Wins

1 Draws

1 Aberdeen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	Aberdeen	0 - 0	Kilmarnock
31 Jan 2026	Kilmarnock	3 - 0	Aberdeen
14 Dec 2025	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Kilmarnock

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Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Heart Of Midlothian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Hibernian	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Aberdeen	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	A Aberdeen	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H ST Mirren	L	0 - 1

Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Hibernian	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	A Motherwell	W	0 - 4
12 Sep	A Kilmarnock	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Kilmarnock	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A Celtic	L	3 - 0

League Cup Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Kilmarnock

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Neil McCann

1 Stryjek

2 Brandon

4 McCarthy

14 Stanger

21 Schjønning-Larsen

8 Ring

11 Kiltie

18 Lowery

29 Daniels

36 Tshibola

9 Hugill

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Max Stryjek	G
21	Michael Schjønning-Larsen	D
14	George Stanger	D
4	Cathal McCarthy	D
2	Jamie Brandon	D
8	Erik Ring	M
29	Djenairo Daniels	F
18	Tom Lowery	M
11	Greg Kiltie	M
9	Joe Hugill	F
36	Aaron Tshibola	M

Substitutes

10	Tyreece John-Jules	F
7	Rory McKenzie	M
19	Jonathan Meier	D
12	Calum Ferrie	G
3	Michael John Kamara	D
20	Nicky Cleșcenco	M
5	Mark O'Hara	M
49	Bailey Rice	M
27	Ieuan Owen	F

Aberdeen

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Stephen Robinson

27 Müller

24 Guinness-Walker

5 Knoester

26 Happe

23 Mayo

25 Ronan

17 Armstrong

28 Cadden

32 Afeez

31 Ntelo

15 Nisbet

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
27	Marius Müller	G
23	Lewis Mayo	D
26	Daniel Happe	D
5	Mats Knoester	D
24	Nesta Guinness-Walker	D
25	Connor Ronan	M
32	Aremu Afeez	M
28	Chris Cadden	M
17	Stuart Armstrong	M
15	Kevin Nisbet	F
31	Mitchy Ntelo	F

Substitutes

20	Toyosi Olusanya	F
21	Gavin Molloy	D
10	Alexander Briedl	M
30	Daniel Klein	G
22	Jack Milne	D
40	Findlay Marshall	M
7	Tony Yogane	M
9	Ayoub Mouloua	F
11	Lewis Smith	F