Alaves vs Barcelona Predicție
Predicție Alaves vs Barcelona: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 10% pentru victoria lui Alaves, 75% pentru Barcelona și 16% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Alaves secured a surprise 1–0 victory over Barcelona in La Liga matchday 36, dealing a potentially significant blow to the visitors' title ambitions. The only goal of the game arrived in first-half stoppage time, when Ibrahim Diabaté struck to give the hosts a lead they would protect for the remainder of the match.
Despite dominating possession with 77% of the ball, Barcelona struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut chances, registering just three shots on target across the entire game. Alaves, by contrast, were ruthlessly efficient, with Diabaté's solitary effort proving enough to claim all three points. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win as most likely at 75%, a call that ultimately did not materialise. Marcus Rashford was cautioned just after half-time, and Barcelona made a triple substitution on the hour mark in an attempt to change the game's dynamic.
The changes failed to spark the turnaround Barcelona needed. Further bookings for Rebbach and João Cancelo added to the visitors' frustrations as Alaves held firm to record a famous and well-organised home win.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Alaves
Match Stats
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Ville Koski D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 2 |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 15 (10%) | 3 |
| 18 Jon Guridi M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 22 Ibrahim Diabaté F | 7.2 | 64' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | 1 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 14 (8%) | 4 |
| 24 Victor Parada D | 6.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (14%) | – |
| 7 Ángel Pérez D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (12%) | – |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 24 (16%) | – |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 23 Carlos Benavídez M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 25 (10%) | 1 |
| 34 Aitor Mañas F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
Barcelona
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 Álvaro Cortés D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 93 (88%) | 1 |
| 23 Jules Koundé D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 85 (82%) | – |
| 42 Xavi Espart D | 7.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 2 |
| 8 Pedri M | 7.2 | 28' | – | – | – | 44 (39%) | – |
| 22 Marc Bernal M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 68 (60%) | 3 |
| 5 Pau Cubarsí D | 6.9 | 62' | – | – | – | 59 (57%) | 2 |
| 25 Wojciech Szczęsny G | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (16%) | – |
| 2 João Cancelo D | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 3 Alejandro Balde D | 6.7 | 79' | – | – | – | 52 (47%) | 2 |
| 17 Marc Casadó M | 6.7 | 62' | – | – | – | 59 (51%) | 1 |
| 7 Ferran Torres F | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 20 Dani Olmo M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (46%) | – |
| 14 Marcus Rashford M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 43 (37%) | – |
| 9 Robert Lewandowski F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (12%) | – |
| 19 Roony Bardghji M | 6.3 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 23 (21%) | – |
| 43 Tomás Marqués M | — | 3' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Boyé
4 gls
M. Díaz
3 gls
Raphinha
12 gls
Lamine Yamal
7 gls
Fermín
4 gls
K. Adeyemi
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Alaves vs Barcelona
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Barcelona | 3 - 1 | Alaves |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Barcelona | 1 - 0 | Alaves |
| 06 Oct 2024 | Alaves | 0 - 3 | Barcelona |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 0 - 0 |
| 15 Sep | H Valencia | L | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Racing Santander | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Osasuna | W | 5 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | H Villarreal | W | 1 - 0 |
Barcelona — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Sevilla | W | 1 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | H Racing Santander | W | 7 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Levante | W | 2 - 4 |
| 09 Sep | H Feyenoord | W | 5 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Valencia | W | 0 - 5 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Barcelona
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: H. Flick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | W. Szczesny | G |
| 23 | J. Kounde | D |
| 5 | P. Cubarsi | D |
| 36 | A. Cortes | D |
| 3 | A. Balde | D |
| 17 | M. Casado | M |
| 22 | M. Bernal | M |
| 19 | R. Bardghji | M |
| 20 | D. Olmo | M |
| 14 | M. Rashford | M |
| 9 | R. Lewandowski | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | J. Garcia | G |
| 33 | E. Aller | G |
| 7 | F. Torres | F |
| 4 | R. Araujo | D |
| 8 | Pedri | M |
| 18 | G. Martin | D |
| 6 | Gavi | M |
| 2 | J. Cancelo | D |
| 15 | A. Christensen | D |
| 24 | E. Garcia | D |
| 43 | T. Marques | M |
| 42 | X. Espart | D |
Alaves
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Quique Sanchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Sivera | G |
| 7 | A. Perez | D |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 24 | V. Parada | D |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | D |
| 18 | J. Guridi | M |
| 8 | A. Blanco | M |
| 4 | D. Suarez | M |
| 11 | T. Martinez | F |
| 22 | I. Diabate | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | R. Fernandez | G |
| 17 | Jonny Otto | D |
| 34 | A. Manas | - |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 27 | E. Munoz | - |
| 9 | M. Diaz | F |
| 10 | C. Alena | M |
| 23 | C. Protesoni | M |
| 6 | A. Guevara | M |
| 5 | J. Pacheco | D |
| 20 | Calebe | M |
| 19 | P. Ibanez | M |