NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano Predicție

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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FC Lugano

Away

Predicție AI FC Lugano să câștige sau să egaleze

13%

20%

68%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 13% pentru victoria lui NSI Runavik, 68% pentru FC Lugano și 20% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 13 Aug 2026, 19:20.

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Match Report

NSI Runavik and FC Lugano played out a dramatic 2–2 draw in the UEFA Conference League third qualifying round, with the Faroese side holding on for a creditable result despite being significantly outplayed for large portions of the match. Petur Knudsen gave NSI the lead on 29 minutes, and the home side carried that advantage into the break.

Lugano came out with renewed purpose after half-time and turned the tie around in a frantic five-minute spell. Marius Lindh levelled on 61 minutes, and Yanis Cimignani put the Swiss side ahead just two minutes later. Kevin Behrens then appeared to have sealed the result with a 79th-minute goal — but remarkably, NSI struck back almost immediately through Lindh, who completed a memorable evening before being substituted moments later. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lugano win as most likely at 68%, a call that ultimately did not materialise.

The statistics underlined Lugano's dominance — 60% possession, 18 total shots and nine on target compared to NSI's six and four respectively — yet the Faroese side's resilience earned them a share of the spoils heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Petur Knudsen

29' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

Marius Lindh assist: Petur Knudsen

61' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 63'

Daniel Dos Santos ⇄ Mattia Zanotti

⚽ 2–1 66'

Yanis Cimignani assist: Mattia Zanotti

⚽ 2–2 79'

Kevin Behrens assist: Renato Steffen

Beinir Nolsøe ⇄ Klæmint Olsen

79' ⇄

Marius Lindh ⇄ Alex Freyr Elísson

79' ⇄

Emil Joensen Yellow Card

82' ▮

Michał Przybylski ⇄ Tobias Hestad

88' ⇄

Jann Benjaminsen ⇄ Markus Danielsen

88' ⇄

⇄ 88'

Elias Pihlström ⇄ Dereck Moncada

⇄ 88'

Renato Steffen ⇄ Ahmed Kendouci

FT 2–2

NSI Runavik

Match Stats

FC Lugano

40% Ball Possession 60%

Expected Goals (xG)

6 Total Shots 18

4 Shots on Goal 9

1 Shots off Goal 6

1 Blocked Shots 3

4 Shots insidebox 13

2 Shots outsidebox 5

4 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 1

12 Fouls 13

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

8 Goalkeeper Saves 2

385 Total passes 581

306 Passes accurate 526

79% Passes % 91%

goals_prevented

NSI Runavik

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Petur Knudsen M	8.6	89'	1	1	2	29 (23%)	3
13 Tom Amos G	8.0	89'	–	–	–	34 (19%)	–
11 Marius Lindh M	7.2	79'	1	–	2	26 (19%)	1
2 Sammy Skytte F	7.2	89'	–	1	–	36 (31%)	–
17 Jann Benjaminsen D	7.0	88'	–	–	–	46 (30%)	3
4 Daniel Obbekjær D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	54 (45%)	1
6 Beinir Nolsøe M	6.7	79'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
29 Emil Joensen M	6.5	89'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	1
33 Michał Przybylski F	6.5	88'	–	–	1	10 (9%)	–
10 Klæmint Olsen F	6.5	10'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
3 Viljormur Davidsen D	6.3	89'	–	–	–	44 (39%)	–
12 Filip Drinic D	6.3	89'	–	–	–	43 (34%)	2
5 Alex Freyr Elísson D	6.2	10'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
9 Tobias Hestad M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
28 Markus Danielsen F	—	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

FC Lugano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
25 Uran Bislimi M	7.6	89'	–	–	2	108 (100%)	2
11 Renato Steffen F	7.3	88'	–	1	1	34 (27%)	–
8 Anto Grgić M	7.2	89'	–	–	–	71 (66%)	1
21 Yanis Cimignani M	7.2	89'	1	–	1	41 (35%)	3
91 Kevin Behrens F	7.2	89'	1	–	7	18 (14%)	–
46 Mattia Zanotti D	7.0	26'	–	1	–	13 (13%)	–
24 Elias Pihlström M	7.0	88'	–	–	2	40 (36%)	6
18 Joel Bichsel D	6.9	89'	–	–	–	67 (59%)	1
27 Daniel Dos Santos F	6.7	63'	–	–	2	34 (33%)	1
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D	6.6	89'	–	–	–	56 (53%)	–
17 Lars Lukas Mai D	6.3	89'	–	–	–	75 (69%)	–
16 David von Ballmoos G	6.0	89'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
14 Ahmed Kendouci M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
30 Dereck Moncada F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

FC Lugano să câștige sau să egaleze

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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NSI Runavik

WDWDW

FC Lugano

WWDWW

Last 1 meetings NSI Runavik · 0W 0D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

13%

10%

Draw

20%

45%

Away

68%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Lugano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	7	8	5	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	6	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	2	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ NSI Runavik goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

NSI Runavik

No scorer data.

FC Lugano

K. Behrens 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

20%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

20%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	7.3%	8.4%	5.4%	2.7%
1	3.9%	11.5%	10.0%	6.5%	3.2%
2	3.1%	6.1%	5.9%	3.9%	1.9%
3	1.2%	2.4%	2.4%	1.5%	0.7%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NSI Runavik	Draw	FC Lugano
NSI Runavik	13.3%	5.2%	4.3%
Draw	7.8%	14.5%	21.1%
FC Lugano	1.3%	3.4%	29.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano

0 NSI Runavik Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Aug 2026	FC Lugano	2 - 0	NSI Runavik

NSI Runavik — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A B36 Torshavn	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Vikingur Gota	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H AB	W	3 - 1
23 Aug	A KI Klaksvik	D	2 - 2
16 Aug	H EB / Streymur	W	4 - 2

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

NSI Runavik

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sigurdur Eyjolfsson

13 Amos

12 Drinic

3 Davidsen

4 Obbekjær

17 Benjaminsen

16 Knudsen

6 Nolsøe

29 Joensen

11 Lindh

33 Przybylski

2 Skytte

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Tom Amos	G
17	Jann Benjaminsen	D
4	Daniel Obbekjær	D
3	Viljormur Davidsen	D
12	Filip Drinic	D
11	Marius Lindh	M
29	Emil Joensen	M
6	Beinir Nolsøe	M
16	Petur Knudsen	M
2	Sammy Skytte	F
33	Michał Przybylski	F

Substitutes

1	Kristian Joensen	G
30	Dánial Danielsen	G
5	Alex Freyr Elísson	D
22	Jóel Tróndargjógv	D
9	Tobias Hestad	M
10	Klæmint Olsen	F
28	Markus Danielsen	F

FC Lugano

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

16 Ballmoos

18 Bichsel

17 Mai

6 Papadopoulos

24 Pihlström

8 Grgić

25 Bislimi

21 Cimignani

27 Santos

91 Behrens

11 Steffen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	David von Ballmoos	G
6	Antonios Papadopoulos	D
17	Lars Lukas Mai	D
18	Joel Bichsel	D
21	Yanis Cimignani	M
25	Uran Bislimi	M
8	Anto Grgić	M
24	Elias Pihlström	M
27	Daniel Dos Santos	F
11	Renato Steffen	F
91	Kevin Behrens	F

Substitutes

28	Felix Gebhardt	G
39	Ahmadou Ndiaye	G
3	Hannes Delcroix	D
4	Damian Kelvin	D
46	Mattia Zanotti	D
44	Carbone	D
14	Ahmed Kendouci	M
22	Beckham Castro	F
23	Gjan Ajdin	M
30	Dereck Moncada	F