Las Palmas vs Burgos Predicție

Segunda División Segunda División · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
Predicție AI Las Palmas sau egal
46%
30%
24%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Las Palmas vs Burgos: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 46% pentru victoria lui Las Palmas, 24% pentru Burgos și 30% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 20 Sep 2026, 18:29.

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Timeline

Manuel Fuster Yellow Card
29'
Enzo Loiodice Yellow Card
34'
Jesé Rodríguez assist: Manuel Fuster
37' 1–0
45'
Curro Sánchez ⇄ Álex Forés
45'
Marcelo Expósito ⇄ José Gragera
HT 1–0
56'
José Gragera Yellow Card
1–1 58'
Álex Forés assist: Jon Karrikaburu
Manuel Fuster ⇄ Rafa Cruz
64'
67'
Brais Martínez ⇄ Ignasi Vilarrasa
67'
Jon Karrikaburu ⇄ Víctor Mollejo
Taisei Miyashiro ⇄ Sandro Ramírez
71'
Iván Jaime ⇄ Jefté Betancor
71'
73'
Oier Luengo Yellow Card
75'
Oier Luengo ⇄ Iván Martínez
Kirian Rodríguez ⇄ Elias Romero
80'
Jesé Rodríguez ⇄ Iván Medina
80'
87'
Grego Sierra Yellow Card
1–2 90+4'
David González assist: Javi Llabrés
FT 1–2
Las Palmas

Match Stats

Burgos
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 3
1 Blocked Shots 3
4 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 2
9 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 5
12 Fouls 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
566 Total passes 330
500 Passes accurate 258
21 Free Kicks 12
Las Palmas
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Jesé Rodríguez F 7.5 80' 1 2 22 (15%)
24 Iván Jaime M 7.1 71' 4 25 (19%)
25 Valentin Pezzolesi D 7.0 90' 44 (38%) 3
14 Manuel Fuster M 7.0 64' 1 36 (31%)
15 Juanma Herzog D 6.8 90' 2 77 (72%)
6 Iñaki González M 6.7 90' 44 (41%) 2
32 Rafa Cruz F 6.7 26' 1 8 (7%) 1
20 Kirian Rodríguez M 6.6 80' 1 72 (67%)
21 Giovanni Bonfanti D 6.5 90' 79 (75%) 2
30 Iván Medina F 6.4 10' 13 (11%)
11 Taisei Miyashiro M 6.3 71' 1 19 (19%) 1
29 Elias Romero F 6.3 10'
7 Jefté Betancor F 6.2 19'
12 Enzo Loiodice D 6.1 90' 1 67 (62%) 4
19 Sandro Ramírez F 6.0 19' 1 11 (8%)
13 José Antonio Caro G 5.9 90' 46 (34%)
Burgos
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Álex Forés F 8.1 44' 1 3 7 (4%)
14 David González M 7.6 90' 1 2 24 (16%) 3
7 Jon Karrikaburu F 7.0 67' 1 7 (4%) 2
5 Marcelo Expósito M 6.9 46' 25 (21%) 3
16 Curro Sánchez F 6.7 46' 19 (15%) 1
11 Víctor Mollejo F 6.6 23' 9 (5%)
12 Unai Vencedor M 6.5 90' 32 (24%) 3
22 Brais Martínez D 6.5 67' 21 (17%) 5
36 Iván Martínez D 6.4 15' 1 4 (3%)
8 Grego Sierra D 6.3 90' 40 (35%) 1
15 Oier Luengo D 6.3 75' 39 (35%) 1
13 Ander Cantero G 6.2 90' 28 (15%)
23 Alberto Dadie D 6.2 90' 1 36 (30%) 3
3 Ignasi Vilarrasa D 6.1 23' 7 (6%)
20 José Gragera M 5.9 44' 13 (13%) 1
19 Javi Llabrés M 5.8 90' 1 19 (15%) 1
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

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Las Palmas sau egal
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Las Palmas
LWDLW
Burgos
WWDDL

Live insights

90' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-2! Burgos win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 71.4%. Late goal chance: 31.3%.

58' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 52%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Las Palmas leads. Win probability: 79.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.1%.

39' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Las Palmas win: 78.4%. BTTS: 42.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
24%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Las Palmas
T. Miyashiro 2 gls
Burgos
Álex Forés 3 gls
David González 2 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Las Palmas vs Burgos

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Las Palmas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Burgos L 1 - 2
12 Sep A Cadiz W 0 - 1
04 Sep H Leganes D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Girona L 5 - 2
22 Aug A AD Ceuta FC W 0 - 2

Burgos — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Las Palmas W 1 - 2
11 Sep H AD Ceuta FC W 3 - 1
06 Sep A Oviedo D 0 - 0
31 Aug H Real Sociedad II D 2 - 2
23 Aug A Sporting Gijon L 1 - 0

Segunda División Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Castellón
6 5 1 0 +10 16
2
Eibar
6 5 0 1 +8 15
3
Mallorca
6 4 1 1 +6 13
4
Almeria
6 4 0 2 +6 12
5
Burgos
6 3 2 1 +3 11
6
Sabadell
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Leganes
6 3 2 1 +1 11
8
Girona
6 3 1 2 +4 10
9
Sporting Gijon
6 3 1 2 +1 10
10
Las Palmas
6 3 1 2 0 10
11
Tenerife
6 3 1 2 -1 10
12
Real Sociedad II
6 2 2 2 +1 8
13
Oviedo
6 2 2 2 +1 8
14
Granada CF
6 2 2 2 0 8
15
Celta de Vigo II
6 2 1 3 -3 7
16
Cordoba
6 2 0 4 -4 6
17
Eldense
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Valladolid
6 1 2 3 -5 5
19
Cadiz
6 0 3 3 -3 3
20
FC Andorra
6 1 0 5 -4 3
21
Albacete
6 0 1 5 -6 1
22
AD Ceuta FC
6 0 1 5 -13 1

Las Palmas

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Rubén De La Barrera
13 Caro
12 Loiodice
21 Bonfanti
15 Herzog
25 Pezzolesi
6 Zambrano
20 Rodríguez
24 Jaime
14 Fuster
11 Miyashiro
10 Jesé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 José Caro G
25 Valentín Pezzolesi D
15 Juan Herzog D
21 G. Bonfanti D
12 E. Loiodice D
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
6 Iñaki González Zambrano M
11 T. Miyashiro M
14 Manu Fuster M
24 Iván Jaime M
10 Jesé F

Substitutes

40 Aidán Pieter Pérez Kraaijeveld D
19 Sandro Ramírez F
9 J. Recoba M
23 A. Rodriguez D
29 Elías Romero F
42 Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba D
35 Adrián Suárez G
43 Eduard Mohedano Serrano G
30 I. Medina F
32 Rafa Cruz F
7 Jefté Betancor F
16 Mateo Acimovic M

Burgos

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Sergio Francisco
13 Cantero
22 Martínez
8 Grego
15 Luengo
23 Dadie
19 Llabrés
12 Vencedor
5 Expósito
14 González
7 Karrikaburu
16 Sánchez

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Ander Cantero G
23 Alberto Dadie D
15 Oier Luengo D
8 Grego D
22 Brais Martínez D
14 David González M
5 Marcelo Expósito M
12 Unai Vencedor M
19 Javi Llabrés M
16 Curro Sánchez F
7 Jon Karrikaburu F

Substitutes

36 I. Martinez D
17 Mario Cantero M
18 Saúl del Cerro M
9 Álex Forés F
4 P. Galdames M
21 Fermin Garcia F
20 José Gragera M
1 Bruno Iribarne G
24 S. Lencinas M
39 David Hernáiz García D
11 Víctor Mollejo F
3 Ignasi Vilarrasa D

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