Derby vs Bolton Predicție

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 15
FT
Post on X
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Predicție AI Prea echilibrat pentru o predicție clară
36%
28%
36%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Derby vs Bolton: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 36% pentru victoria lui Derby, 36% pentru Bolton și 28% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 6 Nov 2026, 21:53.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 42'
Rúben Rodrigues assist: Gaizka Larrazabal
HT 0–1
Ryan Nyambe assist: Mohammed Fuseini
46' ⚽ 1–1
Jack Robinson assist: Carlton Morris
49' ⚽ 2–1
▮ 62'
Luca Stephenson Yellow Card
⇄ 70'
Thierry Gale ⇄ Kyliane Dong
⇄ 71'
Luca Stephenson ⇄ A. Ito
⇄ 71'
Xavier Simons ⇄ Samuel Iling Junior
Lewis Travis ⇄ Alex Mowatt
73' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Akin Famewo ⇄ Thelonius Bair
⇄ 90+2'
Rúben Rodrigues
Carlton Morris ⇄ Lars-Jørgen Salvesen
90+3' ⇄
Mohammed Fuseini ⇄ Oscar Fraulo
90+3' ⇄
Rhian Brewster
90+4' ⚽ 3–1
▮ 90+5'
Gaizka Larrazabal Yellow Card
FT 3–1
Derby

Match Stats

Bolton
29% Ball Possession 71%
1.52 Expected Goals (xG) 1.57
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 6
8 Shots insidebox 10
1 Shots outsidebox 7
4 Corner Kicks 6
4 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
231 Total passes 554
160 Passes accurate 484
7 Free Kicks 12
Derby
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Carlton Morris F 7.7 93' – 1 1 23 (16%) –
10 Rhian Brewster M 7.5 90' 1 – 1 14 (8%) 1
14 Jack Robinson D 7.4 90' 1 – 1 32 (25%) 4
24 Ryan Nyambe D 7.3 90' 1 – 1 14 (11%) 2
16 Mohammed Fuseini M 7.1 93' – 1 2 12 (5%) –
1 Jacob Widell Zetterström G 7.0 90' – – – 30 (11%) –
4 D. Ozoh M 6.7 90' – – – 25 (24%) 5
25 S. Duffy D 6.7 90' – – 1 11 (8%) 1
20 Alex Mowatt M 6.5 17' – – 1 5 (5%) 2
8 Bobby Clark M 6.3 90' – – 1 30 (20%) 1
28 Dion Sanderson D 6.3 90' – – – 13 (12%) –
27 Lewis Travis M 6.1 73' – – – 19 (13%) –
Bolton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Rúben Rodrigues M 8.2 92' 1 – 2 44 (36%) 3
8 Josh Sheehan M 7.2 90' – – – 91 (83%) 1
22 Gaizka Larrazabal M 6.9 90' – 1 3 43 (36%) 3
14 Akin Famewo D 6.8 82' – – 1 80 (73%) 1
3 Chris Forino D 6.6 90' – – 2 65 (62%) 2
11 Thierry Gale M 6.5 70' – – 3 17 (15%) –
10 Sam Dalby F 6.5 90' – – 1 12 (8%) –
4 Xavier Simons M 6.4 71' – – 1 45 (41%) 1
16 Samuel Iling Junior F 6.3 19' – – 1 10 (10%) –
7 Kyliane Dong F 6.3 20' – – – 10 (9%) –
25 Max Conway D 6.2 90' – – 1 53 (43%) 2
9 Thelonius Bair F 6.1 8' – – 1 3 (2%) –
27 Luca Stephenson D 5.9 71' – – 1 31 (24%) 2
17 A. Ito M 5.9 19' – – – 14 (14%) –
1 Jack Bonham G 5.8 90' – – – 32 (25%) –
Premium

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  • Tipuri de selecții alese de tine
Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră
Prea echilibrat pentru o predicție clară
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Derby
WLLDL
Bolton
LWLLD

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Derby now leads 3-1 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Derby leads 2-1. Win probability: 83.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 16.7%.

50' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Derby win: 72%. BTTS: 100%.

47' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 41.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Bolton leads. Win probability: 70.1%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Derby

No scorer data.

Bolton
S. Dalby 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Derby vs Bolton

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Derby — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Bolton W 3 - 1
03 Nov H Norwich L 0 - 4
31 Oct A Millwall L 4 - 1
24 Oct A Sheffield Utd D 1 - 1
17 Oct H Stoke City L 0 - 1

Bolton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Derby L 3 - 1
03 Nov A Charlton W 0 - 1
31 Oct H Bristol City L 2 - 3
23 Oct H Middlesbrough L 1 - 5
17 Oct A Southampton D 0 - 0

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Birmingham
15 8 5 2 +14 29
2
Middlesbrough
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Stoke City
15 9 2 4 +6 29
4
Wolves
15 8 4 3 +8 28
5
West Brom
15 8 4 3 +8 28
6
Swansea
15 8 2 5 +4 26
7
Southampton
15 8 4 3 +14 24
8
QPR
15 6 6 3 +6 24
9
West Ham
15 6 5 4 +14 23
10
Sheffield Utd
15 6 4 5 +2 22
11
Portsmouth
15 6 4 5 +2 22
12
Norwich
15 7 0 8 +8 21
13
Blackburn
15 6 3 6 -1 21
14
Cardiff
15 4 6 5 0 18
15
Wrexham
15 4 6 5 -2 18
16
Millwall
15 5 3 7 -4 18
17
Bristol City
15 5 3 7 -8 18
18
Bolton
15 5 2 8 -9 17
19
Charlton
15 4 5 6 -10 17
20
Watford
15 4 3 8 -10 15
21
Lincoln
15 4 3 8 -11 15
22
Burnley
15 1 7 7 -9 10
23
Derby
15 2 4 9 -16 10
24
Preston
15 2 2 11 -17 8

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Eustace
1 Zetterström
14 Robinson
28 Sanderson
25 Duffy
24 Nyambe
4 Ozoh
27 Travis
16 Fuseini
8 Clark
10 Brewster
9 Morris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Widell Zetterström G
24 R. Nyambe D
25 S. Duffy D
28 D. Sanderson D
14 J. Robinson D
27 L. Travis M
4 D. Ozoh M
10 R. Brewster M
8 B. Clark M
16 M. Fuseini M
9 C. Morris F

Substitutes

45 Rio Canoville D
33 C. Blackett-Taylor F
13 F. Bilbija M
29 O. Fraulo M
43 I. Gordon D
22 M. Johnston D
20 A. Mowatt M
15 L. Salvesen F
31 J. Vickers G

Bolton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: S. Schumacher
1 Bonham
25 Conway
14 Famewo
3 Forino-Joseph
27 Stephenson
8 Sheehan
4 Simons
11 Gale
20 Rodrigues
22 Larrazabal
10 Dalby

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Bonham G
27 Luca Stephenson D
3 C. Forino-Joseph D
14 A. Famewo D
25 M. Conway D
4 X. Simons M
8 J. Sheehan M
22 Gaizka Larrazabal M
20 Ruben Rodrigues M
11 T. Gale M
10 S. Dalby F

Substitutes

16 S. Iling-Junior F
23 D. Harrington G
7 K. Dong F
6 B. Davies D
5 L. Brunt D
9 T. Bair F
17 A. Ito M
35 Max Lott F
12 D. Watson M

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