Burnley vs Derby Predicție

Championship Championship · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Turf Moor, Burnley
Predicție AI Burnley sau egal
49%
28%
23%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Burnley vs Derby: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 49% pentru victoria lui Burnley, 23% pentru Derby și 28% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 19 Sep 2026, 15:57.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 71%
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Timeline

Igor Júlio Yellow Card
31'
Zeki Amdouni assist: Lucas Pires
34' 1–0
HT 1–0
Anel Ahmedhodžić Yellow Card
56'
Marcus Edwards ⇄ Largie Ramazani
61'
Reo Hatate ⇄ Ugo Raghouber
61'
66'
Alex Mowatt ⇄ Oscar Fraulo
66'
Ryan Hedges ⇄ Mohammed Fuseini
67'
D. Ozoh Yellow Card
Josh Laurent Yellow Card
68'
Zeki Amdouni ⇄ Jamie Vardy
73'
Jacob Bruun Larsen ⇄ Andreas Hountondji
73'
78'
D. Ozoh ⇄ Rhian Brewster
82'
Charlie Taylor ⇄ Corey Blackett-Taylor
Ugo Raghouber Yellow Card
86'
87'
Corey Blackett-Taylor Yellow Card
Lucas Pires ⇄ Oliver Sonne
89'
1–1 90+3'
Mohammed Fuseini assist: Rhian Brewster
FT 1–1
Burnley

Match Stats

Derby
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Goal 6
1 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 4
4 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Corner Kicks 5
3 Offsides 4
9 Fouls 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
429 Total passes 379
343 Passes accurate 309
11 Free Kicks 9
Burnley
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Zeki Amdouni F 7.8 73' 1 2 17 (15%)
23 Lucas Pires D 7.2 89' 1 35 (27%) 3
19 Largie Ramazani F 7.0 29' 3 8 (4%)
14 Connor Roberts D 6.9 90' 38 (30%) 1
5 Reo Hatate M 6.8 61' 1 38 (31%) 1
44 Igor Júlio D 6.8 90' 70 (62%)
22 Oliver Sonne D 6.6 1'
15 Anel Ahmedhodžić D 6.6 90' 54 (48%) 1
17 Andreas Hountondji F 6.5 17' 3 (3%)
9 Jamie Vardy F 6.5 17' 3 (1%)
3 Max Alleyne M 6.4 90' 49 (44%)
37 Grégoire Coudert G 6.3 90' 39 (17%) 1
8 Ugo Raghouber M 6.3 29' 10 (9%)
29 Josh Laurent M 6.2 90' 32 (25%) 1
10 Marcus Edwards M 6.1 61' 15 (12%)
7 Jacob Bruun Larsen F 6.1 73' 18 (15%)
Derby
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Mohammed Fuseini F 8.2 24' 1 2 1 (1%)
23 Joe Ward D 7.5 90' 1 38 (33%) 4
28 Dion Sanderson D 6.7 90' 1 52 (45%)
20 Alex Mowatt M 6.7 66' 30 (28%) 5
18 Charlie Taylor D 6.6 82' 30 (27%)
10 Rhian Brewster F 6.6 12' 1 4 (4%)
6 Sondre Langås D 6.5 90' 64 (53%) 2
9 Carlton Morris F 6.4 90' 19 (15%)
26 Ryan Hedges M 6.4 66' 2 18 (11%) 5
29 Oscar Fraulo M 6.3 24' 9 (7%)
33 Corey Blackett-Taylor F 6.3 8' 1 (1%)
4 D. Ozoh M 6.3 78' 2 25 (21%) 3
11 Sammie Szmodics M 6.2 90' 2 26 (19%)
31 Josh Vickers G 6.1 90' 41 (29%)
8 Bobby Clark M 6.0 90' 3 21 (15%) 4
Premium

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  • Toate cele 70+ piețe de probabilitate
  • Raport de meci Analiză Aprofundată AI
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  • Tipuri de selecții alese de tine
Confidence Low (49%)

At a glance

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Burnley sau egal
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Burnley
DLDLD
Derby
DLLLW

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Burnley leads 1-0. Win probability: 88.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 11.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Burnley leads. Win probability: 79.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.3%.

34' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Burnley win: 78.1%. BTTS: 49.2%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
49%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
23%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Burnley vs Derby

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Burnley — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Derby D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Swansea L 3 - 1
08 Sep A Wrexham D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Bristol City L 1 - 2
02 Sep H Middlesbrough D 1 - 1

Derby — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Burnley D 1 - 1
12 Sep H Birmingham L 1 - 2
09 Sep H West Brom L 0 - 1
05 Sep A West Ham L 3 - 0
01 Sep A Portsmouth W 0 - 2

Championship Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Swansea
8 5 2 1 +7 17
2
West Ham
8 4 3 1 +11 15
3
Middlesbrough
8 4 3 1 +4 15
4
Wolves
7 4 2 1 +5 14
5
West Brom
8 4 2 2 +2 14
6
QPR
8 3 4 1 +3 13
7
Stoke City
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Bristol City
8 4 1 3 -1 13
9
Charlton
8 3 3 2 -3 12
10
Birmingham
8 2 5 1 +1 11
11
Millwall
8 3 2 3 0 11
12
Lincoln
8 3 2 3 -1 11
13
Southampton
8 4 2 2 +9 10
14
Wrexham
8 2 4 2 -3 10
15
Bolton
8 3 1 4 -4 10
16
Blackburn
8 2 3 3 0 9
17
Norwich
8 3 0 5 -1 9
18
Sheffield Utd
8 2 3 3 -2 9
19
Portsmouth
7 2 2 3 -1 8
20
Watford
8 2 2 4 -3 8
21
Cardiff
8 1 4 3 -2 7
22
Derby
8 1 2 5 -7 5
23
Preston
8 1 1 6 -7 4
24
Burnley
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Burnley

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: N. Hayen
37 Coudert
23 Pires
44 Igor
15 Ahmedhodžić
14 Roberts
5 Hatate
3 Alleyne
29 Laurent
10 Edwards
11 Amdouni
7 Larsen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
37 G. Coudert G
14 C. Roberts D
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
44 Igor D
23 Lucas Pires D
10 M. Edwards M
29 J. Laurent M
3 Max Alleyne M
5 R. Hatate M
7 J. Bruun Larsen F
11 Z. Amdouni F

Substitutes

9 J. Vardy F
2 K. Walker D
27 A. Broja F
18 H. Ekdal D
17 A. Hountondji F
8 U. Raghouber M
19 L. Ramazani F
22 O. Sonne D
1 M. Weiß G

Derby

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: J. Eustace
31 Vickers
18 Taylor
28 Sanderson
6 Langås
23 Ward
4 Ozoh
20 Mowatt
8 Clark
11 Szmodics
26 Hedges
9 Morris

Starting XI

# Player Pos
31 J. Vickers G
23 J. Ward D
6 S. Langås D
28 D. Sanderson D
18 C. Taylor D
20 A. Mowatt M
4 D. Ozoh M
26 R. Hedges M
11 S. Szmodics M
8 B. Clark M
9 C. Morris F

Substitutes

10 R. Brewster F
29 O. Fraulo M
16 M. Fuseini F
22 M. Johnston D
12 R. O'Donnell G
15 L. Salvesen F
27 L. Travis M
33 C. Blackett-Taylor F
42 Raymond Offor D

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