Necaxa vs Leon Predicție

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 4
FT
Post on X
Estadio Victoria, Aguascalientes
Predicție AI Necaxa sau egal
41%
28%
31%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Necaxa vs Leon: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 41% pentru victoria lui Necaxa, 31% pentru Leon și 28% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 18 Aug 2026, 02:57.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 27'
Daniel Arcila
HT 0–1
Carlos Vargas ⇄ Juan Torres
46' ⇄
⇄ 46'
Iván Moreno ⇄ Bryan Colula
Kaiky Naves Yellow Card
58' ▮
▮ 60'
Rodrigo Echeverría Red Card
⇄ 64'
⇄ Luis Valadez
⇄ 64'
Jordi Cortizo ⇄ Juan Dominguez
Kaiky Naves ⇄ R. Martínez
64' ⇄
Matías Espíndola assist: Juan Valencia
65' ⚽ 1–1
Lorenzo Faravelli ⇄ Mauro Zaleta
65' ⇄
Ricardo Monreal ⇄ Emilio Rodriguez
65' ⇄
⚽ 1–2 72'
Juan Dominguez assist: Luis Valadez
⇄ 74'
Sebastián Vegas ⇄ Salvador Reyes
Matías Espíndola ⇄ Miguel Pedroza
78' ⇄
Danny Leyva Yellow Card
79' ▮
▮ 81'
Bryan Colula Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Daniel Arcila ⇄ Paul Bellón
FT 1–2
Necaxa

Match Stats

Leon
61% Ball Possession 39%
1.16 Expected Goals (xG) 0.91
24 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Goal 7
10 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 4
11 Shots insidebox 6
13 Shots outsidebox 9
7 Corner Kicks 3
Offsides
15 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
5 Goalkeeper Saves 7
422 Total passes 279
368 Passes accurate 202
87% Passes % 72%
0.44 goals_prevented 0.44
Necaxa
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Javier Ruiz F 8.3 95' – – 3 33 (30%) 3
21 Matías Espíndola F 7.7 78' 1 – 1 17 (14%) –
12 Luis Jimenez G 7.0 95' – – – 20 (18%) –
4 Alexis Peña D 7.0 95' – – 1 70 (65%) 1
14 Mauro Zaleta M 6.9 30' – – – 30 (26%) 1
6 Danny Leyva M 6.9 95' – – 3 48 (38%) 2
8 Lorenzo Faravelli M 6.7 65' – – 1 22 (19%) 2
90 Juan Valencia F 6.7 95' – 1 2 13 (11%) –
20 Francisco Méndez D 6.6 95' – – 3 52 (48%) –
88 Carlos Vargas M 6.6 45' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
11 Juan Torres M 6.6 50' – – 2 19 (18%) –
99 Emilio Rodriguez M 6.6 30' – – – 13 (12%) –
5 Kaiky Naves D 6.5 64' – – – 29 (22%) 2
33 R. Martínez D 6.5 31' – – – 27 (25%) –
30 Ricardo Monreal M 6.3 65' – – 1 16 (12%) 1
27 Miguel Pedroza F 6.2 17' – – – 3 (2%) –
Leon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Juan Dominguez M 7.6 31' 1 – 1 2 (2%) 1
13 Daniel Arcila M 7.5 85' 1 – 4 12 (7%) 1
23 Oscar García G 7.3 95' – – – 38 (16%) –
3 Juan Guevara D 7.3 95' – – – 32 (27%) 2
27 Diber Cambindo F 7.3 95' – – 3 15 (9%) 2
6 Fernando Beltrán M 7.2 64' – – – 19 (16%) 1
25 Paul Bellón D 6.7 10' – – – – –
35 Luis Valadez M 6.7 31' – 1 1 3 (3%) 1
7 Iván Moreno D 6.6 45' – – 1 13 (10%) 3
5 Sebastián Vegas D 6.6 74' – – – 21 (16%) 2
29 José Rodríguez M 6.6 95' – – – 32 (24%) 1
16 Jordi Cortizo M 6.6 64' – – – 24 (20%) 1
14 Jhohan Romaña D 6.6 95' – – – 29 (21%) 2
26 Salvador Reyes M 6.3 21' – – – 2 (2%) –
4 Bryan Colula D 6.2 50' – – 1 12 (7%) 3
20 Rodrigo Echeverría M 5.9 60' – – – 25 (22%) 2
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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

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Necaxa sau egal
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Necaxa
WLDLL
Leon
LDWLD
Last 2 meetings Necaxa · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In this Liga MX matchup, Necaxa will face León. Necaxa has shown mixed form recently, with a record that reflects struggles in both attack and defense. León, on the other hand, has been more consistent, boasting a solid goal-scoring record and a stronger defensive unit. Key players for León will need to exploit Necaxa's vulnerabilities to secure points. This clash will likely hinge on León's ability to maintain their form against a Necaxa side looking to capitalize on their home ground.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
41%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
31%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Necaxa
J. Carranza 7 gls
Leon
J. Alvarado 6 gls

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Head to Head: Necaxa vs Leon

0 Necaxa Wins
0 Draws
2 Leon Wins
Date Home Score Away
01 Mar 2026 Leon 2 - 1 Necaxa
16 Aug 2025 Necaxa 0 - 1 Leon

Necaxa — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Club Tijuana W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Santos Laguna L 1 - 0
24 Oct H FC Juarez D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Guadalajara Chivas L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Atlas L 0 - 2

Leon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Cruz Azul L 2 - 1
24 Oct H Toluca D 1 - 1
21 Oct A Tigres UANL W 0 - 2
18 Oct H Club America L 3 - 5
10 Oct A Puebla D 1 - 1

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Club America
15 8 5 2 +15 29
2
Guadalajara Chivas
15 8 5 2 +11 29
3
Cruz Azul
15 9 2 4 +10 29
4
Atlas
16 8 3 5 -3 27
5
Santos Laguna
16 8 1 7 +3 25
6
Toluca
15 6 6 3 +10 24
7
CF Pachuca
16 6 4 6 +9 22
8
Club Tijuana
16 5 7 4 +3 22
9
Leon
15 6 4 5 +2 22
10
Monterrey
14 6 3 5 +5 21
11
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
15 5 5 5 -2 20
12
Club Queretaro
14 6 2 6 -3 20
13
Atletico San Luis
16 5 4 7 -5 19
14
Puebla
15 4 4 7 -6 16
15
Tigres UANL
15 3 6 6 -7 15
16
Atlante FC
16 3 5 8 -10 14
17
Necaxa
16 3 4 9 -11 13
18
FC Juarez
16 3 2 11 -21 11

Necaxa

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Varini
12 Jimenez
20 Méndez
4 Peña
5 Naves
88 Vargas
8 Faravelli
6 Leyva
30 Monreal
10 Ruiz
21 Espíndola
90 Valencia

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Luis Jimenez G
5 Kaiky Naves D
4 Alexis Peña D
20 Francisco Méndez D
30 Ricardo Monreal M
6 Danny Leyva M
8 Lorenzo Faravelli M
88 Carlos Vargas M
21 Matías Espíndola F
10 Javier Ruiz F
90 Juan Valencia F

Substitutes

11 Juan Torres M
33 Raúl Martínez D
14 Mauro Zaleta M
99 Emilio Rodriguez M
1 Christopher Andrade G
15 Diego Ochoa D
17 Rogelio Cortéz Pineda M
13 Owen González M
16 Pedro Pedraza M
27 Miguel Pedroza F

Leon

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Javier Gandolfi
23 García
5 Vegas
3 Guevara
14 Romaña
7 Moreno
29 Rodríguez
13 Arcila
6 Beltrán
20 Echeverría
16 Cortizo
27 Cambindo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Oscar García G
7 Iván Moreno D
14 Jhohan Romaña D
3 Juan Guevara D
5 Sebastián Vegas D
29 José Rodríguez M
16 Jordi Cortizo M
20 Rodrigo Echeverría M
6 Fernando Beltrán M
13 Daniel Arcila M
27 Diber Cambindo F

Substitutes

4 Bryan Colula D
8 Juan Dominguez M
35 Luis Valadez M
12 Julio González G
26 Salvador Reyes M
25 Paul Bellón D
22 Sebastián Santos M
185 Christopher Mora D
203 Jesús Lara D
19 José Alvarado F

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