Vitória SC vs Arouca Predicție

Primeira Liga Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Predicție AI Vitória SC sau egal
46%
28%
26%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Vitória SC vs Arouca: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 46% pentru victoria lui Vitória SC, 26% pentru Arouca și 28% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 8 Aug 2026, 18:57.

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  • Echipa Gazdă Marchează 76%
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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 72%
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Timeline

HT 0–0
0–1 53'
Ivan Barbero assist: Naïs Djouahra
64'
Hyun-ju Lee Yellow Card
65'
Mateo Flores ⇄ Orest Lebedenko
65'
Ivan Barbero ⇄ Dylan Nandín
Oumar Camara Yellow Card
69'
Miguel Maga ⇄ Tony Strata
69'
Oumar Camara ⇄ Telmo Arcanjo
70'
70'
Hyun-ju Lee ⇄ Pablo Gozálbez
70'
Espen Van Ee ⇄ Pedro Santos
73'
Javi Sánchez ⇄ Diogo Monteiro
Alioune Ndoye ⇄ Miguel Nogueira
78'
Gonçalo Nogueira ⇄ Matija Mitrović
78'
90'
Diogo Monteiro Yellow Card
90+2'
Orest Lebedenko Yellow Card
90+3'
Diogo Monteiro Yellow Card
90+3'
Diogo Monteiro Red Card
90+4'
Ignacio de Arruabarrena Yellow Card
Matija Mitrović Yellow Card
90+6'
Gustavo Silva ⇄ Lohann Doucet
90+6'
FT 0–1
Vitória SC

Match Stats

Arouca
58% Ball Possession 42%
2.22 Expected Goals (xG) 0.49
24 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Goal 2
14 Shots off Goal 1
7 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 1
5 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 3
8 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
496 Total passes 375
431 Passes accurate 297
87% Passes % 79%
0.22 goals_prevented 0.22
Vitória SC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Beni Mukendi M 7.3 94' 59 (53%) 5
28 Thiago Balieiro D 7.2 94' 1 75 (70%) 3
20 Samu M 7.2 94' 1 40 (38%) 1
8 Gonçalo Nogueira M 7.2 78' 1 38 (34%) 1
13 João Mendes D 7.0 94' 1 60 (49%)
11 Gustavo Silva M 7.0 94' 5 22 (15%) 3
18 Telmo Arcanjo M 6.9 24' 1 11 (9%) 1
2 Miguel Maga D 6.9 69' 28 (26%) 1
6 Matija Mitrović M 6.9 16' 15 (13%)
4 Óscar Rivas D 6.6 94' 1 81 (73%) 1
17 Miguel Nogueira M 6.5 16' 1 4 (4%)
7 Oumar Camara M 6.5 70' 1 16 (8%) 1
24 Alioune Ndoye F 6.5 78' 4 8 (6%)
23 Tony Strata D 6.3 25' 19 (14%)
48 Oliwier Zych G 6.3 94' 18 (17%)
Arouca
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Javi Sánchez D 7.7 73' 43 (39%) 2
3 Jose Fontán D 7.7 94' 69 (58%) 1
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G 7.3 94' 52 (32%)
17 Ivan Barbero F 7.3 65' 1 1 17 (12%) 2
28 Tiago Esgaio D 7.2 94' 1 24 (15%) 2
8 Taichi Fukui M 7.0 94' 38 (33%) 4
7 Naïs Djouahra M 7.0 94' 1 1 23 (19%) 1
23 Dylan Nandín F 6.6 29' 8 (5%)
6 Espen Van Ee M 6.3 70' 22 (18%) 1
10 Pablo Gozálbez M 6.3 24' 5 (4%) 1
89 Pedro Santos M 6.3 24' 10 (9%)
21 Mateo Flores D 6.3 65' 27 (23%) 1
18 Orest Lebedenko D 6.3 29' 5 (4%) 1
14 Hyun-ju Lee M 6.2 70' 13 (12%) 1
19 Alfonso Trezza M 6.2 94' 11 (7%) 1
4 Diogo Monteiro D 5.3 20' 8 (7%)
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

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Vitória SC sau egal
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Vitória SC
DLDLW
Arouca
DLDWL
Last 3 meetings Vitória SC · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Guimaraes will host Arouca in this Primeira Liga matchup, aiming to capitalize on their attacking prowess. Historically, Guimaraes has shown strength at home, with a solid record in recent fixtures, scoring an average of 2 goals per game. Arouca, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. This clash will be crucial for both teams as they seek to secure vital points early in the league. The outcome could hinge on Guimaraes' ability to exploit Arouca's defensive vulnerabilities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Vitória SC

No scorer data.

Arouca
Barbero 4 gls

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Head to Head: Vitória SC vs Arouca

0 Vitória SC Wins
2 Draws
1 Arouca Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Feb 2026 Arouca 3 - 2 Vitória SC
30 Aug 2025 Vitória SC 1 - 1 Arouca
18 Jan 2025 Vitória SC 2 - 2 Arouca
Vezi toate cele 10 întâlniri — Premium

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Moreirense D 1 - 1
12 Sep A Academico Viseu L 2 - 1
06 Sep H Casa Pia D 0 - 0
31 Aug A SC Braga L 1 - 0
23 Aug H Nacional W 1 - 0

Arouca — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Sporting CP D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Santa Clara L 1 - 2
07 Sep A Estoril D 0 - 0
29 Aug H Maritimo W 2 - 1
23 Aug A FC Porto L 2 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto
7 7 0 0 +15 21
2
Benfica
7 5 1 1 +15 16
3
Sporting CP
7 4 3 0 +9 15
4
Santa Clara
7 4 3 0 +7 15
5
Arouca
7 3 2 2 +3 11
6
SC Braga
6 3 2 1 +2 11
7
Academico Viseu
7 3 2 2 0 11
8
Estrela
7 2 4 1 0 10
9
GIL Vicente
6 2 2 2 0 8
10
Alverca
7 2 2 3 -2 8
11
Maritimo
7 2 2 3 -4 8
12
Moreirense
7 2 2 3 -6 8
13
Famalicao
7 1 4 2 +2 7
14
Vitória SC
7 1 2 4 -3 5
15
Nacional
7 1 1 5 -8 4
16
Rio Ave
7 1 1 5 -10 4
17
Casa Pia
7 1 1 5 -13 4
18
Estoril
7 0 2 5 -7 2

Vitória SC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Tiago Margarido
48 Zych
13 Mendes
28 Balieiro
4 Rivas
2 Maga
8 Nogueira
16 Mukendi
7 Camara
20 Samu
11 Silva
24 Ndoye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
48 Oliwier Zych G
2 Miguel Maga D
4 Óscar Rivas D
28 Thiago Balieiro D
13 João Mendes D
16 Beni Mukendi M
8 Gonçalo Nogueira M
11 Gustavo Silva M
20 Samu M
7 Oumar Camara M
24 Alioune Ndoye F

Substitutes

23 Tony Strata D
18 Telmo Arcanjo M
22 Juan Castillo G
98 Lucas Furtado G
5 Franck Ahmed Sidibé D
82 Francisco Dias D
56 Santi Verdi M
17 Miguel Nogueira M
44 Lohann Doucet M
6 Matija Mitrović M

Arouca

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Vasco Seabra
12 Arruabarrena
21 Flores
3 Fontán
15 Sánchez
28 Esgaio
8 Fukui
6 Ee
7 Djouahra
14 Lee
19 Trezza
17 Barbero

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 Ignacio de Arruabarrena G
28 Tiago Esgaio D
15 Javi Sánchez D
3 Jose Fontán D
21 Mateo Flores D
6 Espen Van Ee M
8 Taichi Fukui M
19 Alfonso Trezza M
14 Hyun-ju Lee M
7 Naïs Djouahra M
17 Ivan Barbero F

Substitutes

18 Orest Lebedenko D
23 Dylan Nandín F
89 Pedro Santos M
10 Pablo Gozálbez M
4 Diogo Monteiro D
1 Jakub Vinarčík G
71 Martim Duarte G
37 Mario Climent D
5 Boris Popović D
24 Brian Mansilla F
9 Fally Mayulu F
77 Si-hoo Park F

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