Auxerre vs Le Mans Predicție

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

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Le Mans

Away

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre

Predicție AI Auxerre sau egal

46%

27%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Auxerre vs Le Mans: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 46% pentru victoria lui Auxerre, 27% pentru Le Mans și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 25 Oct 2026, 18:12.

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1st Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Auxerre and Le Mans played out a competitive 1–1 draw in Ligue 1's eighth matchday, with all the action coming in the second half after a goalless and card-heavy first period that saw three yellow cards distributed before the break.

Le Mans took the lead three minutes into the second half when Lucas Buades converted and had the goal confirmed by VAR. Auxerre responded quickly, with Cameron Archer levelling matters at 56 minutes to restore parity. Despite Le Mans dominating possession at 60% and earning seven corner kicks to Auxerre's one, it was the hosts who edged the expected goals metric at 1.23 to 0.82, suggesting they created the cleaner chances on the night.

Both sides made a flurry of late substitutions as they pushed for a winner, but neither could find a decisive moment. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Auxerre win as the most likely outcome at 46%, though in the end the spoils were shared. The result leaves both sides with work to do as the season progresses.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 21'

Alexandre Lauray Yellow Card

▮ 26'

Lucas Buades Yellow Card

Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 0–0

⚽ 0–1 48'

Lucas Buades assist: Lucas Bretelle

🖵 48'

Lucas Buades Goal confirmed

⇄ 53'

Djibril Sidibé ⇄ Noa Boissé

Cameron Archer

56' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 63'

Alexandre Lauray ⇄ Jean Vercruysse

⇄ 63'

Habib Diallo ⇄ Dame Gueye

Kévin Danois Yellow Card

69' ▮

Lamine Sy ⇄ Rayan Mandengue

73' ⇄

Danny Namaso ⇄ Aristide Zossou

86' ⇄

Kévin Danois ⇄ P. Ekwah

86' ⇄

⇄ 86'

Antoine Rabillard ⇄ Daouda Traore

⇄ 87'

Lucas Buades ⇄ Rayan Bamba

Cameron Archer

90+8' ⇄

Naouirou Ahamada ⇄ Arthur Piedfort

90+8' ⇄

FT 1–1

Auxerre

Match Stats

Le Mans

60% Ball Possession 40%

0.82 Expected Goals (xG) 1.23

12 Total Shots 11

4 Shots on Goal 2

5 Shots off Goal 8

3 Blocked Shots 1

8 Shots insidebox 8

4 Shots outsidebox 3

7 Corner Kicks 1

0 Offsides 3

15 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

490 Total passes 335

395 Passes accurate 228

12 Free Kicks 15

Auxerre

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Cameron Archer F	7.8	90'	1	–	2	19 (15%)	–
4 Axel Tuanzebe D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	50 (42%)	–
15 Christ Makosso D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	50 (42%)	–
8 Naouirou Ahamada M	6.8	90'	–	–	1	60 (52%)	–
22 Fredrik Oppegård M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	28 (24%)	–
32 Rayan Mandengue D	6.6	17'	–	–	1	7 (6%)	1
5 Kévin Danois M	6.5	86'	–	–	–	53 (41%)	4
17 P. Ekwah M	6.5	4'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
27 Lamine Sy M	6.4	73'	–	–	1	29 (24%)	3
77 Aristide Zossou M	6.4	4'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–
92 Clement Akpa D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	69 (55%)	–
1 Paul Nardi G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	27 (19%)	–
10 Danny Namaso M	6.0	86'	–	–	2	25 (22%)	2
21 Romain Faivre M	5.8	90'	–	–	2	44 (30%)	–

Le Mans

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 Lucas Bretelle M	7.7	90'	–	1	–	35 (30%)	6
18 Lucas Buades M	7.4	87'	1	–	3	16 (10%)	3
25 Dame Gueye F	7.0	27'	–	–	2	6 (2%)	–
26 Rayan Bamba D	6.9	3'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
23 Daouda Traore M	6.8	4'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
19 Djibril Sidibé D	6.7	53'	–	–	2	23 (18%)	–
98 Nicolas Kocik G	6.6	90'	–	–	–	37 (18%)	–
15 Noa Boissé D	6.6	37'	–	–	–	12 (7%)	2
8 Alexandre Lauray M	6.5	63'	–	–	–	31 (23%)	3
17 S. Yohou D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	34 (25%)	3
10 Jean Vercruysse M	6.4	27'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	2
13 Habib Diallo F	6.3	63'	–	–	–	10 (10%)	1
22 Lucas Calodat M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (14%)	3
14 Louis Mafouta F	6.2	90'	–	–	3	19 (12%)	2
16 Raúl Torrente D	6.1	90'	–	–	–	42 (27%)	3
9 Antoine Rabillard M	6.0	86'	–	–	–	19 (11%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

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Auxerre sau egal

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Auxerre

LLDWL

Le Mans

LDLLW

Match summary

Auxerre faces Le Mans in a Ligue 1 clash on October 24, 2026. Auxerre's recent form shows a mixed bag, with a reliance on solid defensive organization, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match this season. Le Mans, meanwhile, has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game, which may hinder their ability to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Auxerre. Key players to watch include Auxerre's leading scorer, who has been instrumental in their attack, and Le Mans' midfield engine, which will need to control the tempo to create goal-scoring opportunities. This matchup could hinge on Auxerre's ability to convert chances effectively against a Le Mans side likely to focus on defensive solidity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Auxerre

C. Archer 6 gls

Le Mans

L. Mafouta 4 gls

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Paris FC	L	0 - 1
01 Nov	A Strasbourg	L	5 - 1
25 Oct	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
18 Oct	A Le Havre	W	1 - 3
11 Oct	A Rennes	L	4 - 1

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Oct	A Estac Troyes	L	2 - 0
25 Oct	A Auxerre	D	1 - 1
16 Oct	H Toulouse	L	0 - 3
10 Oct	A Paris Saint Germain	L	3 - 1
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	22	10	+12	23
2	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	17	10	+7	20
3	Lille	9	5	3	1	12	6	+6	18
4	Lyon	9	5	2	2	15	7	+8	17
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	20	19	+1	16
6	Marseille	9	5	0	4	20	13	+7	15
7	Monaco	9	4	3	2	12	10	+2	15
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	13	12	+1	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	16	13	+3	13
10	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	15	14	+1	13
11	Stade Brestois 29	9	3	3	3	16	12	+4	12
12	Lorient	9	3	3	3	7	8	-1	12
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	18	22	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	13	24	-11	10
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	9	17	-8	8
16	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	7	17	-10	8
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	11	18	-7	7
18	Le Havre	9	0	2	7	9	20	-11	2