Le Mans vs Toulouse Predicție

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans
Predicție AI Toulouse sau egal
31%
27%
42%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Le Mans vs Toulouse: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 31% pentru victoria lui Le Mans, 42% pentru Toulouse și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 16 Oct 2026, 20:40.

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Match Report

Le Mans and Toulouse were locked in a goalless stalemate at half-time despite the visitors carrying the greater threat, reflected in an expected goals figure of 1.74 against Le Mans's 0.82. The hosts had the majority of possession but managed just one shot on target throughout the entire contest.

Toulouse burst out of the blocks after the break, with Jacen Russell-Rowe opening the scoring just 60 seconds into the second half, though he was immediately cautioned. Aron Dønnum doubled the advantage in the 59th minute before being substituted shortly after, and a VAR review cancelled what would have been a third goal for Casper Tengstedt in the 78th minute. The Danish forward had the last word, however, converting in the 87th minute to complete a comfortable 3-0 victory. Late yellow cards for S. Yohou and Djibril Sidibé added a fractious edge to the closing stages.

The result was a convincing away performance that our pre-match AI model had identified as the most probable outcome at 42%, a prediction that proved well-founded. Toulouse climb the Ligue 1 standings while Le Mans are left to reflect on a toothless attacking display.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
⚽ 0–1 46'
Jacen Russell-Rowe assist: Aron Dønnum
▮ 49'
Jacen Russell-Rowe Yellow Card
⚽ 0–2 59'
Aron Dønnum
Yasser Larouci ⇄ Lucas Calodat
61' ⇄
Dame Gueye ⇄ Habib Diallo
61' ⇄
Daouda Traore ⇄ Billal Brahimi
61' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Aron Dønnum ⇄ Alexis Vossah
Lucas Buades ⇄ Rayan Bamba
69' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Jacen Russell-Rowe ⇄ Julian Vignolo
Harold Voyer ⇄ Noa Boissé
77' ⇄
🖵 78'
Casper Tengstedt Goal cancelled
⇄ 85'
Rasmus Nicolaisen ⇄ Seny Koumbassa
⚽ 0–3 87'
Casper Tengstedt assist: Cristian Cásseres Jr.
S. Yohou Yellow Card
90' ▮
Djibril Sidibé Yellow Card
90+4' ▮
FT 0–3
Le Mans

Match Stats

Toulouse
53% Ball Possession 47%
0.82 Expected Goals (xG) 1.74
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 3
15 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
561 Total passes 524
486 Passes accurate 446
9 Free Kicks 15
Le Mans
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Dame Gueye F 6.8 61' – – – 13 (12%) –
29 Lucas Bretelle M 6.7 90' – – 1 50 (44%) 2
10 Jean Vercruysse M 6.6 90' – – 2 33 (30%) 1
22 Lucas Calodat D 6.5 29' – – 1 15 (13%) 1
7 Billal Brahimi F 6.5 29' – – 1 14 (11%) 1
5 Harold Voyer D 6.4 77' – – – 73 (62%) 1
19 Djibril Sidibé D 6.3 90' – – – 100 (90%) 1
23 Daouda Traore M 6.3 61' – – 1 22 (22%) 1
13 Habib Diallo F 6.2 29' – – 1 7 (5%) –
15 Noa Boissé D 6.2 13' – – – 14 (14%) 1
26 Rayan Bamba D 6.1 21' – – – 17 (15%) –
18 Lucas Buades M 6.1 69' – – – 43 (38%) 1
17 S. Yohou D 6.1 90' – – – 75 (66%) –
76 Yasser Larouci M 5.9 61' – – – 31 (25%) 1
14 Louis Mafouta F 5.9 90' – – 2 16 (14%) –
98 Nicolas Kocik G 5.5 90' – – – 30 (19%) –
Toulouse
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Aron Dønnum M 9.0 64' 1 1 1 52 (43%) 2
20 Casper Tengstedt M 8.2 90' 1 – 6 15 (10%) –
23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M 7.7 90' – 1 1 77 (64%) 2
13 Jacen Russell-Rowe F 7.7 76' 1 – 2 29 (27%) –
3 Mark McKenzie D 7.6 90' – – – 67 (60%) –
22 Rafik Messali D 7.5 90' – – – 74 (67%) 1
2 Rasmus Nicolaisen D 7.4 85' – – – 41 (36%) –
14 Niko Sigur M 7.1 90' – – – 36 (33%) 1
12 Christ Tapé D 7.1 90' – – 1 33 (26%) 2
5 Seny Koumbassa D 7.0 5' – – – – –
6 Alexis Vossah M 7.0 26' – – – 9 (8%) 1
8 Thomas Jørgensen M 6.7 90' – – 1 41 (33%) 2
16 Guillaume Restes G 6.7 90' – – – 39 (30%) –
7 Julian Vignolo F 6.6 14' – – – 4 (3%) –
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

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Le Mans
LDLLW
Toulouse
WLDWD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Le Mans will face Toulouse. Le Mans has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while Toulouse has shown stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have inconsistent form; Le Mans secured only one win in their last five matches, while Toulouse has managed two wins in the same timeframe. This match could hinge on Le Mans finding a way to tighten their defense against a Toulouse side looking to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Le Mans
L. Mafouta 4 gls
A. Bourabaa 3 gls
Toulouse
C. Tengstedt 5 gls
T. Jørgensen 3 gls

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Toulouse

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct A Estac Troyes L 2 - 0
25 Oct A Auxerre D 1 - 1
16 Oct H Toulouse L 0 - 3
10 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 3 - 1
19 Sep H Lorient W 2 - 1

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Strasbourg W 3 - 1
01 Nov A Marseille L 2 - 0
25 Oct H Estac Troyes D 0 - 0
16 Oct A Le Mans W 0 - 3
10 Oct A Monaco D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Le Mans

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: P. Videira
98 Kocik
5 Voyer
17 Yohou
19 Sidibé
29 Bretelle
76 Larouci
10 Vercruysse
23 Traoré
18 Buadés
14 Mafouta
25 Guèye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
98 N. Kocik G
19 D. Sidibé D
17 S. Yohou D
5 H. Voyer D
29 L. Bretelle M
18 L. Buadés M
23 D. Traoré M
10 J. Vercruysse M
76 Y. Larouci M
25 D. Guèye F
14 L. Mafouta F

Substitutes

15 N. Boissé D
26 R. Bamba D
7 B. Brahimi F
22 L. Calodat D
13 H. Diallo F
20 W. Harhouz F
1 E. Hatfout G
8 A. Lauray M
9 A. Rabillard F

Toulouse

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Milos Milojevic
16 Restes
12 Tapé
2 Nicolaisen
3 McKenzie
22 Messali
14 Sigur
23 Cásseres
8 Jørgensen
20 Tengstedt
15 Dønnum
13 Russell-Rowe

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 G. Restes G
22 R. Messali D
3 M. McKenzie D
2 R. Nicolaisen D
12 C. Tapé D
23 C. Cásseres M
14 N. Sigur M
15 A. Dønnum M
20 C. Tengstedt M
8 T. Jørgensen M
13 J. Russell-Rowe F

Substitutes

6 A. Vossah M
18 M. Amougou M
1 T. Collin G
94 I. Diallo D
9 S. Hidalgo F
5 S. Koumbassa D
19 D. Odogu D
31 N. Schmidt M
7 Julián Vignolo F

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