Cagliari vs Frosinone Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 11
FT
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Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Predicție AI Frosinone sau egal
32%
25%
43%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Cagliari vs Frosinone: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 32% pentru victoria lui Cagliari, 43% pentru Frosinone și 25% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 7 Nov 2026, 15:54.

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Match Report

Cagliari claimed all three points at home against Frosinone in a result that defied the run of play, with Michel Adopo's 38th-minute strike proving the decisive moment of the match. The goal came against the backdrop of an early yellow card for Frosinone's Gabriele Bracaglia, who was subsequently substituted before half-time, and Cagliari carried their slender advantage into the break.

Frosinone dominated proceedings after the interval, controlling 63% of possession and generating an impressive 29 total shots compared to Cagliari's 14, with their expected goals figure of 2.46 dwarfing the hosts' 0.98. Despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides around the hour mark and Frosinone registering 13 corner kicks to Cagliari's three, the visitors could not find a way through. Bookings for Oyono, Fazzini, Monterisi, and Zé Pedro reflected the mounting frustration as the game wore on.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Frosinone win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that ultimately proved incorrect as Cagliari's clinical finishing and resolute defending secured a hard-fought victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 13'
Gabriele Bracaglia Yellow Card
Yael Trepy
28' ⇄
Michel Adopo assist: Paul Mendy
38' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Gabriele Bracaglia ⇄ Enzo Tchato Mbiayi
HT 1–0
▮ 60'
Anthony Oyono Yellow Card
Paul Mendy ⇄ Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
65' ⇄
Daniel Maldini ⇄ Jacopo Fazzini
65' ⇄
⇄ 65'
Giorgi Kvernadze ⇄ Alessio Zerbin
⇄ 65'
Romano Schmid ⇄ Luis Hasa
Jacopo Fazzini Yellow Card
69' ▮
Nicola Grandu Yellow Card
70' ▮
⇄ 71'
Anthony Oyono ⇄ T. Bobček
Alessandro Romano ⇄ Riccardo Ciervo
78' ⇄
Nicola Grandu ⇄ Joseph Liteta
78' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Matteo Cichella ⇄ Seydou Fini
▮ 85'
Ilario Monterisi Yellow Card
Zé Pedro Yellow Card
87' ▮
FT 1–0
Cagliari

Match Stats

Frosinone
37% Ball Possession 63%
0.98 Expected Goals (xG) 2.46
14 Total Shots 29
4 Shots on Goal 9
4 Shots off Goal 11
6 Blocked Shots 9
10 Shots insidebox 20
4 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Corner Kicks 13
2 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
9 Goalkeeper Saves 3
296 Total passes 491
206 Passes accurate 394
9 Free Kicks 12
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Elia Caprile G 9.3 90' – – – 35 (20%) –
8 Michel Adopo M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 37 (30%) –
31 Paul Mendy F 7.7 65' – 1 2 17 (13%) 1
15 Juan Rodríguez D 7.3 90' – – 1 18 (12%) 2
22 Raphael Kofler D 7.1 90' – – – 16 (14%) –
19 Yael Trepy F 7.0 28' – – 1 11 (8%) –
27 Joseph Liteta M 6.9 12' – – – 6 (5%) 1
10 Jacopo Fazzini M 6.8 25' – – – 7 (4%) 1
9 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 6.8 25' – – 2 7 (4%) –
14 Alessandro Deiola M 6.7 90' – – 3 30 (22%) 2
20 Riccardo Ciervo F 6.7 12' – – – 4 (3%) –
4 Alessandro Romano M 6.5 78' – – 1 35 (23%) 4
36 Nicola Grandu D 6.4 78' – – – 13 (11%) –
70 Daniel Maldini F 6.3 65' – – 2 17 (9%) 1
2 Zé Pedro D 6.3 90' – – – 28 (16%) –
Frosinone
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
7 Farès Ghedjemis M 7.2 90' – – 3 34 (26%) 2
14 Giacomo Calò M 7.2 90' – – 4 94 (82%) 2
3 Gabriele Calvani D 6.9 90' – – 1 53 (46%) 5
16 Matteo Cichella M 6.9 81' – – 4 35 (33%) 1
30 Ilario Monterisi D 6.8 90' – – 1 57 (42%) 2
90 Enzo Tchato Mbiayi D 6.7 44' – – – 22 (19%) –
11 Daniel Bîrligea F 6.6 90' – – 9 24 (12%) –
22 Lorenzo Palmisani G 6.6 90' – – – 20 (16%) –
70 Luis Hasa M 6.4 25' – – 2 15 (13%) –
89 T. Bobček F 6.4 19' – – – 2 (2%) –
24 Alessio Zerbin F 6.3 25' – – – 6 (5%) –
40 Seydou Fini F 6.3 9' – – 1 5 (5%) –
20 Anthony Oyono D 6.2 71' – – – 43 (36%) 2
17 Giorgi Kvernadze M 6.2 65' – – 3 16 (12%) 1
10 Romano Schmid M 6.1 65' – – 1 49 (33%) 1
79 Gabriele Bracaglia D 5.9 46' – – – 16 (12%) 1
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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

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Frosinone sau egal
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Cagliari
WLLLL
Frosinone
LWWDW
Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Cagliari faces Frosinone in a pivotal Serie A clash, with both teams needing points to bolster their standings. Cagliari has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Frosinone struggles to find consistency on the road. Key players to watch include Cagliari's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their attacking play, against Frosinone's midfield dynamo, who can dictate the pace. Statistical trends suggest that Cagliari's ability to convert chances will be crucial, as Frosinone has conceded multiple goals in several away fixtures. This match could significantly impact both teams' aspirations for the season.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Cagliari leads 1-0. Win probability: 79.5%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.5%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Cagliari leads. Win probability: 64.8%. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.8%.

39' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Cagliari win: 63.3%. BTTS: 64.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
43%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Cagliari
D. Maldini 5 gls
Frosinone
A. Raimondo 8 gls
G. Calò 5 gls
G. Kvernadze 3 gls

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Frosinone

2 Cagliari Wins
0 Draws
1 Frosinone Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Jan 2024 Frosinone 3 - 1 Cagliari
29 Oct 2023 Cagliari 4 - 3 Frosinone
20 Apr 2019 Cagliari 1 - 0 Frosinone
Vezi toate cele 4 întâlniri — Premium

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Frosinone W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Lazio L 2 - 1
27 Oct A AS Roma L 4 - 2
24 Oct H Bologna L 0 - 2
19 Oct A Monza L 4 - 0

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Cagliari L 1 - 0
01 Nov H Torino W 2 - 0
29 Oct H Lecce W 5 - 1
25 Oct A Atalanta D 4 - 4
16 Oct H Sassuolo W 4 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Cagliari

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: F. Pisacane
1 Caprile
36 Grandu
15 Rodríguez
22 Kofler
2 Pedro
14 Deiola
4 Romano
8 Adopo
70 Maldini
31 Mendy
19 Trepy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Caprile G
2 Zé Pedro D
22 R. Kofler D
15 J. Rodríguez D
36 N. Grandu D
8 M. Adopo M
4 A. Romano M
14 A. Deiola M
19 Y. Trepy F
31 P. Mendy F
70 D. Maldini F

Substitutes

10 J. Fazzini M
79 Y. Massolin M
23 B. Radunović G
27 J. Liteta M
9 Kevin Carlos F
12 A. Sherri G
21 R. Gagliardini M
28 Y. Sugawara D
20 R. Ciervo F
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M
35 Alessandro Sugamele F
37 Márton Prettenhoffer D
30 A. Akarakiri M

Frosinone

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Alvini
22 Palmisani
79 Bracaglia
30 Monterisi
3 Calvani
20 Oyono
14 Calò
16 Cichella
17 Kvernadze
10 Schmid
7 Ghedjemis
11 Bîrligea

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 L. Palmisani G
20 A. Oyono D
3 G. Calvani D
30 I. Monterisi D
79 G. Bracaglia D
16 Matteo Cichella M
14 G. Calò M
7 F. Ghedjemis M
10 R. Schmid M
17 G. Kvernadze M
11 D. Bîrligea F

Substitutes

2 G. Cittadini D
91 S. Desplanches G
74 Omar Fayed D
40 S. Fini F
70 L. Hasa M
73 P. Masini M
12 M. Pisseri G
90 E. Tchato D
24 A. Zerbin F
25 K. Akpoguma D
89 T. Bobček F
5 W. Amey D
34 A. El Azzouzi M

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