Monza vs Cagliari Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 7
FT
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U-Power Stadium, Monza
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Predicție Monza vs Cagliari: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 40% pentru victoria lui Monza, 30% pentru Cagliari și 30% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 19 Oct 2026, 18:23.

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Match Report

Monza claimed a commanding 4–0 victory over Cagliari in Serie A's seventh matchday, though the scoreline belied a tightly contested affair for much of the game. Eddy Kouadio broke the deadlock in the 39th minute to send the hosts into half-time with a slender advantage, and Gustavo Varela quickly doubled it just two minutes after the restart.

Jay Robinson added a third in the 66th minute to effectively end the contest, before Varela sealed his brace and the emphatic scoreline with a 79th-minute effort. It was a clinical display from Monza despite the underlying numbers telling a more balanced story — Cagliari actually edged expected goals 1.88 to 1.75, and shots on target were level at six apiece. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Monza win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved correct.

Discipline became a minor subplot late on, with yellow cards shown to Harry Winks, Samuele Birindelli, and Alieu Fadera in the final ten minutes. Monza's efficiency in front of goal ultimately proved the decisive factor in a result that flatters them somewhat on paper.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Eddy Kouadio assist: Dany Mota
39' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Gustavo Varela assist: Manga Foe Ondoa
47' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 53'
M'Bala Nzola ⇄ Alieu Fadera
Dany Mota ⇄ Andrea Colpani
64' ⇄
Jay Robinson assist: Gustavo Varela
66' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 67'
Zé Pedro ⇄ Yukinari Sugawara
⇄ 67'
Daniel Maldini ⇄ Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
▮ 76'
Harry Winks Yellow Card
Gustavo Varela
79' ⚽ 4–0
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro ⇄ Michael Folorunsho
81' ⇄
Gustavo Varela ⇄ Patrick Cutrone
81' ⇄
Eddy Kouadio ⇄ Adam Bakoune
81' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Alessandro Romano ⇄ Alessandro Deiola
⇄ 81'
Harry Winks ⇄ Joseph Liteta
Samuele Birindelli Yellow Card
82' ▮
▮ 82'
Alieu Fadera Yellow Card
Jay Robinson ⇄ Omari Forson
87' ⇄
FT 4–0
Monza

Match Stats

Cagliari
46% Ball Possession 54%
1.88 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 13
4 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Corner Kicks 7
2 Offsides 1
10 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 2
414 Total passes 500
344 Passes accurate 428
14 Free Kicks 10
Monza
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Gustavo Varela F 9.7 81' 2 1 2 14 (10%) –
60 Eddy Kouadio D 8.6 81' 1 – 1 53 (47%) 4
46 Jay Robinson M 8.2 87' 1 – 3 15 (9%) –
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M 7.8 90' – 1 – 42 (38%) 2
47 Dany Mota M 7.7 64' – 1 3 30 (28%) –
2 Saba Goglichidze D 7.7 90' – – – 45 (42%) 2
1 Noel Törnqvist G 7.6 90' – – – 22 (12%) –
28 Andrea Colpani M 7.2 26' – – 1 7 (7%) –
24 Adam Bakoune D 7.1 9' – – – 5 (3%) 1
7 Ricardo Mangas M 6.9 90' – – 1 29 (26%) 3
90 Michael Folorunsho M 6.8 9' – – – 7 (5%) –
44 Andrea Carboni D 6.8 90' – – 1 40 (29%) 2
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M 6.7 81' – – – 48 (40%) –
11 Omari Forson F 6.7 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
10 Patrick Cutrone F 6.5 9' – – – – –
19 Samuele Birindelli M 6.3 90' – – 1 56 (47%) 1
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Daniel Maldini M 6.9 67' – – – 22 (21%) 1
9 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 6.8 23' – – 2 4 (4%) –
39 Alieu Fadera F 6.6 37' – – 1 10 (9%) 2
15 Juan Rodríguez D 6.6 90' – – – 68 (61%) 3
4 Alessandro Romano M 6.5 81' – – 2 41 (33%) 3
26 Yerry Mina D 6.4 90' – – 3 62 (59%) 4
18 M'Bala Nzola F 6.2 53' – – 1 21 (17%) –
14 Alessandro Deiola M 6.2 9' – – – 5 (5%) –
6 Harry Winks M 6.1 81' – – – 56 (48%) 2
2 Zé Pedro D 5.9 67' – – 2 24 (20%) 1
33 Adam Obert D 5.9 90' – – 1 46 (34%) 2
28 Yukinari Sugawara D 5.8 23' – – – 12 (12%) –
27 Joseph Liteta M 5.8 9' – – – 10 (9%) –
8 Michel Adopo M 5.7 90' – – – 51 (41%) –
1 Elia Caprile G 5.6 90' – – – 35 (30%) –
31 Paul Mendy F 5.6 90' – – 3 25 (18%) 1
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  • Tipuri de selecții alese de tine
Confidence Low (40%)

At a glance

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Monza sau egal
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Monza
LLLWL
Cagliari
WLLLL
Last 3 meetings Monza · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Monza will host Cagliari in a Serie A clash on October 18, 2026. Monza has shown mixed form this season, currently sitting mid-table with a solid home record, emphasizing their attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per match. Cagliari, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which could play into Monza's hands. Both teams will be eager for points, but Monza's offensive capabilities may give them the edge in this encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
40%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
30%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Monza
Gustavo Varela 9 gls
Cagliari
D. Maldini 5 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Monza vs Cagliari

1 Monza Wins
0 Draws
2 Cagliari Wins
Date Home Score Away
30 Mar 2025 Cagliari 3 - 0 Monza
05 Jan 2025 Monza 1 - 2 Cagliari
16 Mar 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Cagliari
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Monza — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
31 Oct A Bologna L 2 - 1
28 Oct H Napoli L 1 - 4
23 Oct A Torino L 3 - 2
19 Oct H Cagliari W 4 - 0
11 Oct A Lazio L 3 - 1

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Frosinone W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Lazio L 2 - 1
27 Oct A AS Roma L 4 - 2
24 Oct H Bologna L 0 - 2
19 Oct A Monza L 4 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Cagliari

Formation: 4-3-1-2 Coach: F. Pisacane
1 Caprile
33 Obert
15 Rodríguez
26 Mina
2 Pedro
4 Romano
6 Winks
8 Adopo
70 Maldini
18 Nzola
31 Mendy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Caprile G
2 Zé Pedro D
26 Y. Mina D
15 J. Rodríguez D
33 A. Obert D
8 M. Adopo M
6 H. Winks M
4 A. Romano M
70 D. Maldini M
31 P. Mendy F
18 M'Bala Nzola F

Substitutes

28 Y. Sugawara D
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M
14 A. Deiola M
12 A. Sherri G
23 B. Radunović G
79 Y. Massolin M
27 J. Liteta M
22 R. Kofler D
9 Kevin Carlos F
21 R. Gagliardini M
10 J. Fazzini M
39 A. Fadera F
20 R. Ciervo F
24 G. Aurelio D

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: I. Juric
1 Törnqvist
44 Carboni
2 Goglichidze
60 Kouadio
7 Mangas
14 Akinsanmiro
8 Ondoa
19 Birindelli
46 Robinson
47 Mota
9 Varela

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 N. Törnqvist G
60 E. Kouadio D
2 S. Goglichidze D
44 A. Carboni D
19 S. Birindelli M
8 M. Ondoa M
14 E. Akinsanmiro M
7 Ricardo Mangas M
47 Dany Mota M
46 Jay Robinson M
9 Gustavo Varela F

Substitutes

6 V. Antov D
24 A. Bakoune D
26 P. Ciurria F
21 L. Colombo M
28 A. Colpani M
10 P. Cutrone F
90 M. Folorunsho M
11 O. Forson F
80 M. Mout M
16 C. Ngonge F
43 A. Strajnar G
20 D. Thiam G

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