Fiorentina vs Como Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 7
FT
Post on X
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Predicție AI Como sau egal
28%
27%
46%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Fiorentina vs Como: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 28% pentru victoria lui Fiorentina, 46% pentru Como și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 18 Oct 2026, 15:04.

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Match Report

Como claimed a deserved Serie A victory at the Artemio Franchi, with the visitors controlling possession and taking the lead through a lively first half. Mattia Liberali opened the scoring on 32 minutes before Nico Paz doubled the advantage four minutes later, though the Argentine was promptly booked. Fiorentina pulled one back through Marin Pongračić just before the break, only for a VAR review to disallow a second Pongračić effort in added time, leaving Como 2–1 ahead at half-time.

The hosts struggled to find an equaliser in the second period, and Anastasios Douvikas put the result beyond doubt with a 56th-minute strike that effectively settled the contest. Fiorentina's 11 corners underlined their desperation to find a way back into the game, but Como's defence held firm to secure all three points.

The result was no great surprise — our pre-match AI model had rated a Como win as the most likely outcome at 46%. With 54% possession and eight shots on target, Cesc Fàbregas's side were worthy winners on the day.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 14'
Trevoh Chalobah ⇄ Jacobo Ramón
▮ 28'
Álex Valle Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 32'
Mattia Liberali assist: Maxence Caqueret
⚽ 0–2 36'
Nico Paz assist: Álex Valle
▮ 39'
Nico Paz Yellow Card
Marin Pongračić
42' ⚽ 1–2
⇄ 45'
Álex Valle ⇄ Kaiki
▮ 45+3'
Jacobo Ramón Yellow Card
Marin Pongračić Goal cancelled
45+4' 🖵
HT 1–2
⚽ 1–3 56'
Anastasios Douvikas assist: Nico Paz
⇄ 61'
Nico Paz ⇄ Máximo Perrone
Pedro Gonçalves ⇄ Wilfried Gnonto
63' ⇄
Viery ⇄ Víctor Valdepeñas
64' ⇄
Cher Ndour Yellow Card
68' ▮
Franco Mastantuono Yellow Card
69' ▮
Franco Mastantuono ⇄ Marco Brescianini
69' ⇄
Álex Jiménez ⇄ Dodô
69' ⇄
Cher Ndour ⇄ Beto
79' ⇄
⇄ 83'
Mattia Liberali ⇄ Willy Kambwala
⇄ 83'
Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Samuele Ricci
FT 1–3
Fiorentina

Match Stats

Como
46% Ball Possession 54%
2.08 Expected Goals (xG) 1.84
19 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Goal 8
7 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 11
9 Shots outsidebox 5
11 Corner Kicks 5
4 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
428 Total passes 517
375 Passes accurate 455
11 Free Kicks 10
Fiorentina
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Marin Pongračić D 7.1 90' 1 – 2 54 (50%) –
44 Nicolò Fagioli M 6.8 90' – – 3 69 (62%) 3
43 David De Gea G 6.7 90' – – – 18 (15%) –
28 Pedro Gonçalves M 6.6 63' – – 2 25 (21%) –
29 Wilfried Gnonto F 6.5 27' – – 1 22 (21%) 1
30 Franco Mastantuono M 6.4 69' – – 2 23 (22%) 2
32 Mateo Pellegrino F 6.4 90' – – 2 13 (10%) –
23 Beto F 6.3 11' – – – 1 –
3 Radu Drăguşin D 6.3 90' – – – 39 (36%) –
4 Marco Brescianini M 6.2 21' – – – 11 (11%) –
27 Cher Ndour M 6.1 79' – – 1 38 (34%) 1
2 Dodô D 6.0 21' – – – 13 (11%) 1
20 Álex Jiménez D 6.0 69' – – 1 41 (32%) 3
21 Víctor Valdepeñas D 5.9 26' – – – 17 (13%) –
33 Viery D 5.6 64' – – 1 19 (17%) –
25 Alieu Njie M 5.2 90' – – 4 17 (13%) –
Como
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Nico Paz M 8.8 61' 1 1 4 30 (28%) 3
9 Anastasios Douvikas F 7.8 90' 1 – 3 6 (3%) –
8 Maxence Caqueret M 7.7 90' – 1 2 31 (25%) 5
30 Mattia Liberali M 7.6 83' 1 – 4 29 (24%) 5
1 Jean Butez G 7.4 90' – – – 49 (35%) –
6 Luis Milla M 7.2 90' – – 1 62 (61%) 1
28 Ivan Smolčić D 7.1 90' – – – 47 (40%) 4
5 Máximo Perrone M 6.9 29' – – – 23 (23%) –
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D 6.7 90' – – – 80 (73%) 1
7 Lucas Da Cunha M 6.6 83' – – 1 50 (44%) –
21 Samuele Ricci M 6.4 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
4 Jacobo Ramón D 6.4 76' – – – 52 (50%) –
16 Kaiki D 6.3 44' – – 1 13 (11%) 2
53 Willy Kambwala D 6.3 7' – – – 2 (2%) –
3 Álex Valle D 6.0 46' – 1 – 24 (18%) 2
99 Trevoh Chalobah D 5.9 14' – – – 14 (14%) –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

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Fiorentina
WDLLL
Como
WWWWW
Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Fiorentina enters this Serie A matchup against Como with a solid offensive record, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Their midfield stability and ability to control possession will be crucial in breaking down Como’s defense, which has struggled against high pressing teams. Como, on the other hand, has shown resilience but lacks consistency, with a defense that has conceded an average of 2 goals per match. Expect Fiorentina to leverage their attacking prowess and home form to secure a victory, while Como will need to improve their defensive organization to compete effectively.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
28%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
46%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 4 gls
Como
T. Douvikas 5 gls

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Como

1 Fiorentina Wins
0 Draws
2 Como Wins
Date Home Score Away
14 Feb 2026 Como 1 - 2 Fiorentina
21 Sep 2025 Fiorentina 1 - 2 Como
16 Feb 2025 Fiorentina 0 - 2 Como
Vezi toate cele 4 întâlniri — Premium

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Sassuolo W 2 - 4
29 Oct H Atalanta D 2 - 2
25 Oct A Inter L 2 - 1
18 Oct H Como L 1 - 3
10 Oct A Genoa L 2 - 1

Como — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Lens W 1 - 9
01 Nov H Venezia W 1 - 0
27 Oct A Torino W 1 - 3
24 Oct H Sassuolo W 2 - 0
21 Oct H Manchester United W 4 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Fiorentina

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: P. Vanoli
43 Gea
33 Viery
5 Pongračić
3 Drăgușin
20 Jiménez
44 Fagioli
27 Ndour
25 Njie
28 Pote
30 Mastantuono
32 Pellegrino

Starting XI

# Player Pos
43 David de Gea G
20 Álex Jiménez D
3 R. Drăgușin D
5 M. Pongračić D
33 Viery D
27 C. Ndour M
44 N. Fagioli M
30 Franco Mastantuono M
28 Pote M
25 A. Njie M
32 Mateo Pellegrino F

Substitutes

23 Beto F
4 M. Brescianini M
53 O. Christensen G
2 Dodô D
29 W. Gnonto F
42 C. Inao Oulaï M
17 João Mário D
19 L. Lezzerini G
21 Valde D
74 Arnis Ademi D
72 B. Mazzeo F
73 Antonio Pirrò M

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
1 Butez
3 Valle
2 Kempf
99 Chalobah
28 Smolčić
7 Cunha
6 Milla
8 Caqueret
10 Paz
30 Liberali
9 Douvikas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Butez G
28 I. Smolčić D
99 T. Chalobah D
2 M. Kempf D
3 Álex Valle D
6 Luis Milla M
7 L. da Cunha M
30 M. Liberali M
10 N. Paz M
8 M. Caqueret M
9 T. Douvikas F

Substitutes

16 Kaiki D
53 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D
15 A. Lahdo M
5 M. Perrone M
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros D
21 S. Ricci M
17 Jesús Rodríguez F
97 Robert Sánchez G
18 E. Goldaniga D
22 M. Vigorito G
20 M. Baturina M
42 J. Addai F
13 A. Dossena D
27 Yan Couto D

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