Cagliari vs Juventus Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Juventus
15%
26%
60%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Cagliari vs Juventus: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 15% pentru victoria lui Cagliari, 60% pentru Juventus și 26% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 11 Oct 2026, 20:39.

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Match Report

Cagliari took a surprise lead in the 20th minute when Daniel Maldini converted to give the hosts a 1–0 advantage they would carry into half-time. The opening period was disrupted for Juventus, with Weston McKennie picking up a yellow card in the 17th minute before being withdrawn at the break alongside Francisco Conceição, signalling a tactical reset from the visitors.

Juventus dominated possession throughout, controlling 72% of the ball and registering 22 total shots to Cagliari's four, with an expected goals figure of 1.94 against the hosts' 0.54 — a reflection of the pressure they consistently applied. That dominance eventually told when Randal Kolo Muani equalised in the 81st minute to earn Juventus a point they had long threatened to claim.

The result means Juventus leave Sardinia without a win despite their statistical superiority, while Cagliari's resilience earned them a share of the spoils. The pre-match AI model had rated a Juventus victory as the most likely outcome at 60%, and while the visitors avoided defeat, they could not convert their overwhelming dominance into three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 17'
Weston McKennie Yellow Card
Daniel Maldini assist: Paul Mendy
20' ⚽ 1–0
⇄ 45'
Weston McKennie ⇄ Kerim Alajbegović
⇄ 45'
Francisco Conceição ⇄ Edon Zhegrova
Juan Rodríguez ⇄ Alessandro Deiola
45' ⇄
Juan Rodríguez Yellow Card
45+1' ▮
HT 1–0
Y. Massolin ⇄ Alieu Fadera
60' ⇄
⇄ 60'
Nicolás González ⇄ Nick Woltemade
⇄ 64'
Zeki Çelik ⇄ Andrea Cambiaso
Daniel Maldini ⇄ Yukinari Sugawara
69' ⇄
Paul Mendy ⇄ M'Bala Nzola
69' ⇄
⚽ 1–1 81'
Randal Kolo Muani assist: Kerim Alajbegović
Alessandro Deiola Yellow Card
83' ▮
Adam Obert ⇄ Jacopo Fazzini
84' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Douglas Luiz ⇄ T. Koopmeiners
FT 1–1
Cagliari

Match Stats

Juventus
28% Ball Possession 72%
0.54 Expected Goals (xG) 1.94
4 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Goal 10
1 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 6
2 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 14
1 Corner Kicks 9
2 Offsides 2
8 Fouls 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
9 Goalkeeper Saves 1
337 Total passes 829
274 Passes accurate 768
7 Free Kicks 6
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Elia Caprile G 8.8 90' – – – 34 (21%) –
70 Daniel Maldini M 7.6 69' 1 – 2 22 (16%) –
31 Paul Mendy F 7.1 69' – 1 – 18 (12%) 1
79 Y. Massolin M 7.0 60' – – – 20 (17%) 1
26 Yerry Mina D 6.9 90' – – – 26 (24%) 3
33 Adam Obert D 6.9 84' – – – 15 (13%) 5
2 Zé Pedro D 6.8 90' – – – 30 (24%) 3
39 Alieu Fadera F 6.7 30' – – – 5 (5%) 2
8 Michel Adopo M 6.6 90' – – – 32 (28%) 4
6 Harry Winks M 6.6 90' – – 1 49 (43%) –
18 M'Bala Nzola F 6.5 21' – – – 11 (11%) –
10 Jacopo Fazzini M 6.4 6' – – – 2 (2%) –
14 Alessandro Deiola M 6.4 44' – – – 14 (13%) 2
15 Juan Rodríguez D 6.3 46' – – – 19 (16%) 1
4 Alessandro Romano M 6.3 90' – – 1 30 (22%) 2
28 Yukinari Sugawara D 6.2 21' – – – 10 (7%) –
Juventus
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Randal Kolo Muani F 7.8 90' 1 – 2 26 (22%) –
17 Kerim Alajbegović F 7.7 44' – 1 1 28 (27%) 1
29 Pape Matar Sarr M 7.2 90' – – 2 134 (131%) 3
12 Douglas Luiz M 7.2 84' – – 3 126 (119%) 2
2 Zeki Çelik D 7.1 64' – – 1 45 (43%) 4
3 Bremer D 7.0 90' – – 1 83 (78%) 3
15 Pierre Kalulu D 6.9 90' – – – 97 (87%) 4
11 Edon Zhegrova F 6.9 44' – – 6 35 (31%) –
22 Weston McKennie M 6.8 46' – – – 35 (30%) 1
26 Jhon Lucumí D 6.8 90' – – 1 94 (91%) 1
27 Nick Woltemade F 6.7 30' – – 1 9 (8%) –
20 Andrea Cambiaso D 6.7 26' – – 1 22 (20%) –
31 Nicolás González M 6.6 60' – – 2 36 (27%) 2
7 Francisco Conceição M 6.4 46' – – 1 35 (32%) –
8 T. Koopmeiners M 6.3 6' – – – 6 (5%) –
25 Guglielmo Vicario G 6.3 90' – – – 19 (18%) –
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Confidence Medium (60%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Juventus
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Cagliari
WLLLL
Juventus
WWLWD
Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Cagliari will face Juventus in a Serie A matchup on October 11, 2026. Juventus has historically dominated this fixture, with a higher win rate and a stronger squad depth. Cagliari, however, has shown resilience this season, particularly in their defensive structure. Key players for Juventus, such as their forwards, will look to exploit any gaps in Cagliari’s defense. This match could hinge on Cagliari's ability to capitalize on set pieces and Juventus’s finishing efficiency.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
15%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
60%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Cagliari
D. Maldini 5 gls
Juventus

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Juventus

1 Cagliari Wins
0 Draws
2 Juventus Wins
Date Home Score Away
17 Jan 2026 Cagliari 1 - 0 Juventus
29 Nov 2025 Juventus 2 - 1 Cagliari
23 Feb 2025 Cagliari 0 - 1 Juventus
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Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Frosinone W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Lazio L 2 - 1
27 Oct A AS Roma L 4 - 2
24 Oct H Bologna L 0 - 2
19 Oct A Monza L 4 - 0

Juventus — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A AZ Alkmaar W 1 - 2
01 Nov H Napoli W 2 - 0
28 Oct A Genoa L 2 - 0
25 Oct A Lecce W 0 - 2
22 Oct H Rennes D 2 - 2

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Cagliari

Formation: 4-3-2-1 Coach: F. Pisacane
1 Caprile
33 Obert
15 Rodríguez
26 Mina
2 Pedro
4 Romano
6 Winks
8 Adopo
70 Maldini
79 Massolin
31 Mendy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Caprile G
2 Zé Pedro D
26 Y. Mina D
15 J. Rodríguez D
33 A. Obert D
8 M. Adopo M
6 H. Winks M
4 A. Romano M
79 Y. Massolin M
70 D. Maldini M
31 P. Mendy F

Substitutes

39 A. Fadera F
10 J. Fazzini M
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M
21 R. Gagliardini M
9 Kevin Carlos F
22 R. Kofler D
27 J. Liteta M
18 M'Bala Nzola F
23 B. Radunović G
12 A. Sherri G
28 Y. Sugawara D
14 A. Deiola M
20 R. Ciervo F
24 G. Aurelio D
35 A. Sugamele F

Juventus

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: L. Spalletti
25 Vicario
2 Çelik
26 Lucumí
3 Bremer
15 Kalulu
12 Luiz
29 Sarr
31 González
22 McKennie
7 Conceição
9 Muani

Starting XI

# Player Pos
25 G. Vicario G
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
26 J. Lucumí D
2 Z. Çelik D
29 P. Sarr M
12 Douglas Luiz M
7 Francisco Conceição M
22 W. McKennie M
31 N. González M
9 R. Kolo Muani F

Substitutes

11 E. Zhegrova F
27 N. Woltemade F
4 F. Gatti D
24 D. Rugani D
23 C. Pinsoglio G
8 T. Koopmeiners M
6 L. Kelly D
20 A. Cambiaso D
32 J. Cabal D
17 Kerim-Sam Alajbegović F
40 Riccardo Adrian Radu G

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