Bologna vs Lazio Predicție

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 1
FT
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Predicție AI Bologna sau egal
38%
30%
33%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Bologna vs Lazio: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 38% pentru victoria lui Bologna, 33% pentru Lazio și 30% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 24 Aug 2026, 18:31.

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  • Oaspeții marchează 76%
  • Peste 1.5 goluri 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
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Match Report

Bologna suffered a narrow home defeat to Lazio in this Serie A opener, with the match settling into a fractious, card-heavy affair before the visitors made the difference in the second half. Five yellow cards were distributed before the break, with players from both sides cautioned in a combative first half that ended goalless.

Lazio took control after the interval and were rewarded when Davide Frattesi broke the deadlock in the 59th minute, converting what proved to be the only goal of the game. The visitors had largely merited their lead, finishing with superior expected goals figures of 1.16 compared to Bologna's 0.48, and edging the hosts in total shots and corners throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that did not materialise.

Bologna pushed for an equaliser through a flurry of second-half substitutions but could not muster a meaningful response, managing just three shots on target across the entire match. Lazio held firm to claim all three points on the road.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 19'
Adam Marušić ⇄ Romano Floriani Mussolini
▮ 22'
Romano Floriani Mussolini Yellow Card
▮ 34'
Boulaye Dia Yellow Card
Oussama El Azzouzi Yellow Card
34' ▮
Nicolò Cambiaghi Yellow Card
41' ▮
▮ 44'
Matteo Cancellieri Yellow Card
HT 0–0
⇄ 46'
Matteo Cancellieri ⇄ Gustav Isaksen
⇄ 54'
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru ⇄ Davide Frattesi
⚽ 0–1 59'
Davide Frattesi assist: Boulaye Dia
Riccardo Orsolini ⇄ Federico Bernardeschi
60' ⇄
Roberto Piccoli ⇄ Artem Dovbyk
60' ⇄
Nicolò Cambiaghi ⇄ Jonathan Rowe
60' ⇄
Nadir Zortea ⇄ Emil Holm
69' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Boulaye Dia ⇄ Tijjani Noslin
⇄ 79'
Alfonso Pedraza ⇄ Nuno Tavares
Oussama El Azzouzi ⇄ Mikel Amondarain
79' ⇄
Jens Odgaard Yellow Card
83' ▮
Torbjørn Heggem Yellow Card
83' ▮
▮ 90+3'
Oliver Provstgaard Yellow Card
FT 0–1
Bologna

Match Stats

Lazio
56% Ball Possession 44%
1.16 Expected Goals (xG) 0.48
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
367 Total passes 291
332 Passes accurate 250
90% Passes % 86%
1.78 goals_prevented 1.78
Bologna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Federico Bernardeschi F 7.2 23' – – 2 1 (1%) –
19 Lewis Ferguson M 6.9 83' – – – 65 (59%) 2
14 Torbjørn Heggem D 6.9 83' – – – 57 (55%) –
91 Roberto Piccoli F 6.9 60' – – 1 6 (6%) –
7 Riccardo Orsolini M 6.9 60' – – – 8 (6%) –
17 Oussama El Azzouzi M 6.9 79' – – – 54 (51%) 1
20 Nadir Zortea D 6.7 69' – – – 24 (22%) 3
2 Emil Holm D 6.7 14' – – – 2 (2%) –
33 Juan Miranda D 6.6 83' – – – 27 (21%) 2
11 Jonathan Rowe F 6.6 23' – – 1 6 (4%) –
5 Eivind Helland D 6.6 83' – – 2 60 (58%) 2
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M 6.5 60' – – 1 13 (11%) 4
21 Jens Odgaard M 6.3 83' – – 2 19 (14%) –
9 Artem Dovbyk F 6.3 23' – – – 1 (1%) –
1 Łukasz Skorupski G 5.9 83' – – – 20 (18%) –
8 Mikel Amondarain M — 4' – – – 4 (3%) –
Lazio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
35 Christos Mandas G 8.3 83' – – – 30 (20%) –
16 Davide Frattesi M 8.2 29' 1 – 1 5 (5%) 1
6 Nicolò Rovella M 7.2 83' – – 1 43 (39%) 2
25 Oliver Provstgaard D 6.9 83' – – – 36 (30%) 1
5 Danilho Doekhi D 6.9 83' – – – 34 (33%) –
11 Gustav Isaksen F 6.7 38' – – – 11 (9%) 1
19 Boulaye Dia F 6.7 79' – 1 – 22 (20%) –
10 Mattia Zaccagni F 6.7 83' – – 2 14 (12%) 2
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini D 6.6 64' – – 1 23 (21%) 1
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M 6.6 54' – – – 21 (19%) –
77 Adam Marušić D 6.5 19' – – – 10 (7%) 1
24 Kenneth Taylor M 6.5 83' – – – 17 (15%) 1
22 Matteo Cancellieri F 6.2 45' – – 2 12 (11%) 1
23 Alfonso Pedraza D 6.2 78' – – – 11 (9%) –
17 Nuno Tavares D — 5' – – – 1 –
14 Tijjani Noslin F — 4' – – – 1 –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

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Bologna sau egal
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Bologna
DLDLL
Lazio
WDWWW
Last 3 meetings Bologna · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Bologna faces Lazio in a Serie A clash on August 24, 2026. Bologna will rely on their solid defensive record, having conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match in the previous season. Conversely, Lazio will look to exploit their attacking prowess, with a goal-scoring average of 1.8 per game last season. Key players to watch include Bologna’s top playmaker and Lazio’s leading scorer, both of whom can be decisive in a tightly contested match. This matchup promises to be pivotal for both teams early in the season as they seek to establish momentum.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
38%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
33%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bologna

No scorer data.

Lazio
D. Frattesi 3 gls

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Head to Head: Bologna vs Lazio

1 Bologna Wins
1 Draws
1 Lazio Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Mar 2026 Bologna 0 - 2 Lazio
07 Dec 2025 Lazio 1 - 1 Bologna
16 Mar 2025 Bologna 5 - 0 Lazio
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Bologna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Torino D 1 - 1
13 Sep A Napoli L 1 - 0
06 Sep H Sassuolo D 2 - 2
31 Aug A Atalanta L 1 - 0
24 Aug H Lazio L 0 - 1

Lazio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Venezia W 0 - 2
12 Sep H AC Milan D 2 - 2
07 Sep A Udinese W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Genoa W 1 - 0
24 Aug A Bologna W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Gennaro Gattuso
35 Mandas
23 Pedraza
25 Provstgaard
5 Doekhi
77 Marušić
24 Taylor
6 Rovella
7 Dele-Bashiru
10 Zaccagni
19 Dia
22 Cancellieri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
35 Christos Mandas G
77 Adam Marušić D
5 Danilho Doekhi D
25 Oliver Provstgaard D
23 Alfonso Pedraza D
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M
6 Nicolò Rovella M
24 Kenneth Taylor M
22 Matteo Cancellieri F
19 Boulaye Dia F
10 Mattia Zaccagni F

Substitutes

15 Romano Floriani Mussolini D
40 Edoardo Motta G
47 Davide Renzetti G
33 Ricardo Bordon D
13 Alessio Romagnoli D
17 Nuno Tavares D
29 Manuel Lazzari M
28 Adrian Przyborek M
21 Reda Belahyane M
16 Davide Frattesi M
71 Valerio Farcomeni M
14 Tijjani Noslin F
20 Petar Ratkov F
11 Gustav Isaksen F

Bologna

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Domenico Tedesco
1 Skorupski
33 Miranda
14 Heggem
5 Helland
20 Zortea
19 Ferguson
17 Azzouzi
28 Cambiaghi
21 Odgaard
7 Orsolini
91 Piccoli

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Łukasz Skorupski G
20 Nadir Zortea D
5 Eivind Helland D
14 Torbjørn Heggem D
33 Juan Miranda D
17 Oussama El Azzouzi M
19 Lewis Ferguson M
7 Riccardo Orsolini M
21 Jens Odgaard M
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M
91 Roberto Piccoli F

Substitutes

25 Massimo Pessina G
72 Ukko Happonen G
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri D
23 Abdel Rahim D
2 Emil Holm D
41 Martin Vitík D
8 Mikel Amondarain M
18 Marco Libra D
4 Tommaso Pobega M
6 Nikola Moro M
10 Federico Bernardeschi F
11 Jonathan Rowe F
9 Artem Dovbyk F

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