Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 Predicție
Predicție Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 31% pentru victoria lui Hamburger SV, 40% pentru FSV Mainz 05 și 28% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 6 Sep 2026, 15:24.
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Match Report
Mainz 05 produced a commanding performance at the Volksparkstadion, inflicting a heavy 5–0 defeat on Hamburger SV in this Bundesliga encounter. Sheraldo Becker opened the scoring on 19 minutes, and Phillipp Mwene added a second just before half-time to give the visitors a comfortable two-goal cushion at the break, despite Hamburg enjoying reasonable possession throughout the half.
The second half brought no respite for the hosts. Phillip Tietz struck early after the restart to effectively end the contest, then added his second of the evening on 83 minutes. Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer completed the rout deep into stoppage time, capping a thoroughly dominant display from Mainz. Hamburg's afternoon was further disrupted by disciplinary issues, with yellow cards shown to Anthony Caci and Zakaria El Ouahdi in the first half, and Phillipp Mwene and Sheraldo Becker cautioned later on.
The scoreline was perhaps slightly flattering given that Hamburg registered 16 total shots to Mainz's eight, though the visitors were ruthlessly clinical when it mattered. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Mainz win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that proved well-founded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Hamburger SV
Match Stats
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nicolai Remberg M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (49%) | 1 |
| 27 Patson Daka F | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 12 (7%) | – |
| 19 Otto Stange F | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | 2 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 4 Bilal Nadir M | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 9 Terem Moffi F | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 11 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (29%) | 1 |
| 20 Fábio Vieira M | 5.9 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 3 David Møller Wolfe M | 5.8 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 17 (15%) | – |
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 44 (40%) | – |
| 33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (44%) | 2 |
| 5 Martin Adeline M | 5.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 13 (12%) | – |
| 7 Zakaria El Ouahdi M | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 37 Louis Lemke D | 5.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 43 Shafiq Nandja D | 5.4 | 44' | – | – | – | 17 (17%) | 1 |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo D | 5.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | 2 |
| 23 Jordan Torunarigha D | 5.2 | 46' | – | – | – | 42 (35%) | 1 |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Phillip Tietz F | 9.4 | 90' | 2 | – | 4 | 28 (20%) | – |
| 23 Sheraldo Becker F | 9.0 | 68' | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 (8%) | – |
| 2 Phillipp Mwene M | 8.6 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 (18%) | 4 |
| 6 Kaishu Sano M | 7.7 | 88' | – | 1 | – | 27 (24%) | 2 |
| 7 Jae-sung Lee M | 7.5 | 88' | – | 1 | – | 28 (21%) | 1 |
| 11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F | 7.5 | 22' | 1 | – | 2 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 4 Stefan Posch D | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 35 (31%) | – |
| 3 F. Gruber D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 35 (29%) | – |
| 48 Kacper Potulski D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexander Schwolow G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (15%) | – |
| 10 Nadiem Amiri M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 43 (33%) | 1 |
| 21 Danny da Costa D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 15 Lennard Maloney M | 6.5 | 2' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 47 R. Nakuzola D | 6.4 | 2' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 19 Anthony Caci M | 6.3 | 81' | – | – | – | 34 (24%) | 3 |
| 20 O. Ruoppi M | 6.1 | 2' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
P. Tietz
4 gls
S. Becker
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1 - 1 | Hamburger SV |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Hamburger SV | 4 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 03 Mar 2018 | Hamburger SV | 0 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H 1. FC Köln | W | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A RB Leipzig | L | 5 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H FSV Mainz 05 | L | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Verl | W | 0 - 3 |
FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Hamburger SV | W | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | H SC Paderborn 07 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Krieschow | W | 0 - 9 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
FSV Mainz 05
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: U. Fischer
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Schwolow | G |
| 4 | S. Posch | D |
| 3 | F. Gruber | D |
| 48 | K. Potulski | D |
| 19 | A. Caci | M |
| 7 | Lee Jae-Sung | M |
| 6 | K. Sano | M |
| 10 | N. Amiri | M |
| 2 | P. Mwene | M |
| 9 | P. Tietz | F |
| 23 | S. Becker | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | D. da Costa | D |
| 17 | B. Hollerbach | F |
| 24 | S. Kawasaki | M |
| 40 | M. Kinzig | G |
| 11 | R. Königsdörffer | F |
| 15 | L. Maloney | M |
| 47 | R. Nakuzola | D |
| 20 | O. Ruoppi | M |
| 16 | S. Bell | D |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Polzin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | D |
| 33 | S. Bornauw | D |
| 23 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 7 | Z. El Ouahdi | M |
| 4 | B. Nadir | M |
| 21 | N. Remberg | M |
| 3 | D. Møller Wolfe | M |
| 5 | M. Adeline | M |
| 11 | A. Grønbæk | M |
| 9 | T. Moffi | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M |
| 27 | P. Daka | F |
| 18 | B. Jatta | M |
| 37 | L. Lemke | D |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
| 19 | Otto Emerson Stange | F |
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
| 20 | Fábio Vieira | M |