Alaves vs Real Sociedad Predicție

La Liga · Regular Season - 19

10 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Real Sociedad

Away

Predicție AI Alaves câștigă

78%

17%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Alaves vs Real Sociedad: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 78% pentru victoria lui Alaves, 5% pentru Real Sociedad și 17% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

2:0 · 18.4%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Alaves

DLLWW

Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings Alaves · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Alaves will face Real Sociedad. Alaves has struggled with consistency, currently sitting mid-table, while Real Sociedad is vying for a European position, demonstrating stronger form with a solid defensive record. Key to the match will be Alaves' ability to break down Sociedad's organized defense, which has conceded only a modest number of goals this season. Conversely, Sociedad’s attacking unit, featuring dynamic forwards, poses a significant threat. Expect a tactical battle where midfield control could be pivotal in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

78%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	16	7	1
2	18	7	1
3	14	5	1
4	8	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Alaves goals · most likely 2–0 (18.4%)

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Players in form

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

78%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.7%	7.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.4%	7.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	13.7%	5.5%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.6%	3.1%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
Alaves	57.6%	2.2%	0.3%
Draw	20.7%	12.1%	2.4%
Real Sociedad	1.2%	1.5%	2.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

67%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alaves vs Real Sociedad

2 Alaves Wins

1 Draws

0 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Apr 2026	Real Sociedad	3 - 3	Alaves
06 Dec 2025	Alaves	1 - 0	Real Sociedad
23 Apr 2025	Alaves	1 - 0	Real Sociedad

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Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.