Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna Predicție

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
Estadio La Rosaleda, Málaga
Predicție AI Malaga sau egal
39%
32%
29%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 39% pentru victoria lui Malaga, 29% pentru Deportivo La Coruna și 32% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 24 Aug 2026, 21:25.

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Match Report

Malaga and Deportivo La Coruna played out a 1–1 draw in the second round of La Liga, with both goals arriving in a lively first half. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang broke the deadlock in the 21st minute with a well-taken effort, only for Deportivo to level four minutes later through a Chupete penalty, leaving the scoreline level at the interval.

The second half produced little in the way of further goals despite a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with managers making a combined ten changes after the break. Discipline was also a talking point, as five yellow cards were distributed across the ninety minutes. Malaga dominated possession at 55% and generated an expected goals figure of 1.93 compared to Deportivo's 1.11, suggesting the hosts were the more threatening side without finding a winner.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Malaga win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that reflected the hosts' overall superiority on the night, even if they were ultimately unable to convert that dominance into all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 21'
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang assist: Luismi Cruz
▮ 25'
Mario Soriano Yellow Card
Chupete Penalty
34' ⚽ 1–1
HT 1–1
Juan Cruz ⇄ David Larrubia
56' ⇄
▮ 57'
Giacomo Quagliata Yellow Card
David Larrubia Yellow Card
61' ▮
⇄ 62'
Adrià Altimira ⇄ David Mella
⇄ 62'
Jonathan Asp Jensen ⇄ Diego Villares
Joaquín Muñoz ⇄ Haitam Abaida
73' ⇄
Carlos Dotor ⇄ Rafa Rodriguez
73' ⇄
⇄ 73'
Luismi Cruz ⇄ Yeremay Hernández
⇄ 74'
Miguel Loureiro ⇄ Bright Ede
▮ 79'
Ximo Navarro Yellow Card
⇄ 85'
Mario Soriano ⇄ Bil Nsongo
Izan Merino ⇄ Julen Lobete
85' ⇄
Dani Lorenzo ⇄ Ramón Enríquez
85' ⇄
▮ 89'
Bil Nsongo Yellow Card
FT 1–1
Malaga

Match Stats

Deportivo La Coruna
55% Ball Possession 45%
1.93 Expected Goals (xG) 1.11
12 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 1
4 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 2
11 Fouls 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
509 Total passes 421
457 Passes accurate 379
90% Passes % 90%
0.73 goals_prevented 0.73
Malaga
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Carlos Dotor M 7.5 73' – – 1 45 (37%) 1
10 David Larrubia F 7.3 34' – – – 15 (9%) 6
9 Chupete F 7.3 90' 1 – 3 12 (8%) 1
31 Rafa Garrido D 7.0 90' – – – 39 (34%) 2
22 Dani Lorenzo M 7.0 85' – – – 70 (66%) 2
1 Alfonso Herrero G 6.9 90' – – – 31 (28%) –
3 Carlos Puga D 6.9 90' – – 1 58 (50%) 4
4 Einar Galilea D 6.9 90' – – – 69 (66%) –
23 Izan Merino M 6.9 85' – – 1 70 (67%) 1
7 Haitam Abaida F 6.9 17' – – 1 2 (1%) –
19 Juan Cruz M 6.5 56' – – 1 11 (11%) –
15 Ángel Recio D 6.3 90' – – – 59 (56%) –
11 Joaquín Muñoz M 6.3 73' – – – 19 (17%) 2
14 Rafa Rodriguez M 6.3 17' – – 1 3 (3%) –
6 Ramón Enríquez M — 5' – – – 5 (3%) –
24 Julen Lobete F — 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
Deportivo La Coruna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Leo Román G 7.5 90' – – – 40 (38%) –
7 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F 7.3 90' 1 – 3 12 (7%) –
16 Lorenzo Amatucci M 7.0 90' – – – 57 (55%) 3
19 Luismi Cruz M 6.9 73' – 1 1 20 (16%) 2
8 Diego Villares M 6.9 28' – – – 21 (19%) 2
23 Ximo Navarro D 6.7 90' – – – 37 (36%) 2
4 Lucas Noubi D 6.7 90' – – – 41 (37%) 3
2 Adrià Altimira M 6.5 62' – – – 11 (10%) 1
10 Yeremay Hernández F 6.5 17' – – – 5 (3%) –
22 Bright Ede D 6.3 16' – – – 20 (18%) –
12 Giacomo Quagliata D 6.3 90' – – – 28 (24%) 1
21 Mario Soriano M 6.3 85' – – – 46 (42%) 2
15 Miguel Loureiro D 6.3 74' – – – 63 (59%) 1
11 David Mella F 6.3 28' – – – 3 (3%) –
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen M 6.2 62' – – 1 14 (11%) –
32 Bil Nsongo F — 5' – – – 3 (1%) 1
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Deblochează analiza completă AI pentru Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

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Malaga sau egal
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Malaga
LLDDL
Deportivo La Coruna
DLDWW
Last 3 meetings Malaga · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga match, Malaga will face Deportivo La Coruna. Both teams have shown variable form, with Malaga recently averaging 1.2 goals per match while conceding 1.5, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Deportivo La Coruna, on the other hand, has a slightly better goal difference, scoring 1.4 goals per game but also allowing 1.3. Key players to watch will be Malaga's leading scorer, who has netted 5 goals this season, and Deportivo's playmaker, contributing significantly to their attacking play. This matchup could hinge on which side can better exploit defensive lapses, making it a competitive encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
39%
10%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
29%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Malaga

No scorer data.

Deportivo La Coruna
P. Aubameyang 5 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Deportivo La Coruna

1 Malaga Wins
0 Draws
2 Deportivo La Coruna Wins
Date Home Score Away
06 Apr 2018 Deportivo La Coruna 3 - 2 Malaga
19 Nov 2017 Malaga 3 - 2 Deportivo La Coruna
15 Apr 2017 Deportivo La Coruna 2 - 0 Malaga
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Malaga — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Getafe L 1 - 0
17 Sep H Villarreal L 1 - 3
13 Sep A Celta Vigo D 1 - 1
06 Sep H Levante D 0 - 0
30 Aug A Real Madrid L 4 - 0

Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Real Betis D 1 - 1
16 Sep H Sevilla L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Getafe D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Villarreal W 2 - 3
30 Aug H Valencia W 3 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Malaga

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Juan Funes
1 Herrero
31 Garrido
4 Galilea
15 Recio
3 Puga
23 Merino
22 Lorenzo
11 Muñoz
8 Dotor
19 Cruz
9 Chupete

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Alfonso Herrero G
3 Carlos Puga D
15 Ángel Recio D
4 Einar Galilea D
31 Rafa Garrido D
22 Dani Lorenzo M
23 Izan Merino M
19 Juan Cruz M
8 Carlos Dotor M
11 Joaquín Muñoz M
9 Chupete F

Substitutes

13 Carlos Lopez G
5 Álex Pastor D
12 Jose Salinas D
10 David Larrubia F
28 Joseph Otunenche M
14 Rafa Rodriguez M
6 Ramón Enríquez M
18 Pablo Martínez M
32 Juan Fernandéz F
24 Julen Lobete F
7 Haitam Abaida F
17 Eneko Jauregi F

Deportivo La Coruna

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Antonio Hidalgo
13 Román
12 Quagliata
15 Loureiro
4 Noubi
23 Navarro
21 Soriano
16 Amatucci
18 Jensen
19 Cruz
2 Altimira
7 Aubameyang

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 Leo Román G
23 Ximo Navarro D
4 Lucas Noubi D
15 Miguel Loureiro D
12 Giacomo Quagliata D
16 Lorenzo Amatucci M
21 Mario Soriano M
2 Adrià Altimira M
19 Luismi Cruz M
18 Jonathan Asp Jensen M
7 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F

Substitutes

25 Álvaro Ferllo G
1 Germán Parreño G
3 Arnau Comas D
22 Bright Ede D
14 Riki Rodríguez M
11 David Mella F
34 Teun Gijselhart M
8 Diego Villares M
24 Angeliño D
9 Zakaria Eddahchouri F
10 Yeremay Hernández F
32 Bil Nsongo F

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