Falkirk vs ST Mirren Predicție

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 1
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Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Falkirk
56%
24%
20%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Falkirk vs ST Mirren: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 56% pentru victoria lui Falkirk, 20% pentru ST Mirren și 24% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 1 Aug 2026, 15:52.

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'
Killian Phillips assist: Henry Fieldson
HT 0–1
Joseph Charles Gardner ⇄ A. Doherty
59' ⇄
⇄ 63'
Eseosa Sule ⇄ Jake Young
▮ 66'
R. Carr Yellow Card
R. MacIver ⇄ Ben Parkinson
70' ⇄
J. McMillan ⇄ Ethan Ross
70' ⇄
Ben Parkinson Goal Disallowed - handball
70' 🖵
⇄ 76'
Samuel Ramos ⇄ L. Thomas
⇄ 76'
R. Carr ⇄ Liam Donnelly
Scott Tanser ⇄ Leon McCann
79' ⇄
Ethan Laidlaw ⇄ P. McGovern
79' ⇄
▮ 80'
Henry Fieldson Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
C. Mochrie ⇄ Roland Idowu
⚽ 0–2 87'
Killian Phillips assist: Roland Idowu
▮ 88'
Killian Phillips Yellow Card
▮ 90+1'
L. Thomas Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Falkirk

Match Stats

ST Mirren
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.75 Expected Goals (xG) 1.49
10 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Goal 5
3 Shots off Goal 7
6 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Corner Kicks 6
3 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
433 Total passes 321
344 Passes accurate 242
79% Passes % 75%
0.28 goals_prevented 0.28
Falkirk
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Scott Bain G 7.3 94' – – – 44 (32%) –
22 Ryan Strain D 7.3 94' – – – 41 (36%) 5
5 Liam Henderson D 7.0 94' – – – 55 (48%) 1
10 Craig Sibbald M 7.0 94' – – – 56 (46%) 3
4 J. McMillan M 7.0 70' – – 1 32 (27%) 3
14 Finn Yeats M 6.9 94' – – 1 25 (19%) 4
9 R. MacIver F 6.9 70' – – 1 15 (9%) 2
47 A. Doherty F 6.7 35' – – – 12 (9%) 1
23 Ethan Ross F 6.6 24' – – – 5 (5%) 1
3 Leon McCann D 6.5 15' – – – 5 (5%) 1
17 Scott Tanser D 6.3 79' – – – 35 (23%) –
18 Joseph Charles Gardner M 6.3 59' – – 1 15 (12%) –
7 Ben Parkinson F 6.2 24' – – – 7 (4%) –
11 P. McGovern F 6.2 15' – – – 1 (1%) –
21 D. Meļņiks D 6.0 94' – – – 63 (54%) 1
12 Ethan Laidlaw M 6.0 79' – – – 22 (14%) 1
ST Mirren
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
88 Killian Phillips M 9.2 94' 2 – 5 25 (19%) 2
22 M. Fraser D 7.7 94' – – – 26 (21%) 3
53 Henry Fieldson D 7.3 94' – 1 1 24 (15%) 5
1 J. Chapman G 7.3 94' – – – 35 (20%) –
2 Jayden Richardson D 7.2 94' – – – 30 (21%) 5
4 Liam Donnelly M 6.9 18' – – – 4 (3%) 1
13 Alexander Gogić D 6.9 94' – – 1 39 (33%) 2
7 Roland Idowu M 6.9 11' – 1 – 3 (3%) –
20 Jake Young F 6.9 31' – – – 3 (3%) –
23 C. Mochrie M 6.9 83' – – – 21 (17%) 1
16 L. Thomas M 6.9 18' – – – 7 (7%) 2
48 P. Nsio M 6.7 94' – – 1 35 (25%) 5
9 Eseosa Sule F 6.6 63' – – 3 12 (7%) –
8 R. Carr M 6.5 76' – – – 33 (28%) 1
10 Samuel Ramos M 6.5 76' – – 1 24 (20%) –
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră
Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Falkirk
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Falkirk
DWDLL
ST Mirren
LLLWD
Last 3 meetings Falkirk · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Falkirk faces St. Mirren in an intriguing Premiership clash. Falkirk's recent form shows a solid attack with an average of 1.8 goals per match over the last five games, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals per game. St. Mirren enters the match with a slightly stronger defensive record, allowing only 0.8 goals per match in their last five outings. Both teams will look to capitalize on set pieces, as they have been pivotal in their scoring strategies. The match promises to be tightly contested, with both sides eager to secure crucial points early in the season.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Falkirk

No scorer data.

ST Mirren
K. Phillips 3 gls
Samu 1 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Falkirk vs ST Mirren

1 Falkirk Wins
0 Draws
2 ST Mirren Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Falkirk 1 - 2 ST Mirren
10 Jan 2026 ST Mirren 0 - 2 Falkirk
13 Sep 2025 Falkirk 1 - 2 ST Mirren

Falkirk — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A ST Johnstone D 1 - 1
15 Sep H Heart Of Midlothian W 2 - 1
05 Sep A Dundee Utd D 1 - 1
02 Sep H Rangers L 1 - 2
29 Aug A Celtic L 2 - 1

ST Mirren — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Dundee Utd L 0 - 3
09 Sep A Rangers L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Celtic L 1 - 2
02 Sep A Kilmarnock W 0 - 1
30 Aug H Motherwell D 3 - 3

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

ST Mirren

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Craig McLeish
1 Chapman
53 Fieldson
22 Fraser
13 Gogić
2 Richardson
48 Nsio
8 Carr
23 Mochrie
88 Phillips
10 Ramos
9 Sule

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Jacob Chapman G
2 Jayden Richardson D
13 Alexander Gogić D
22 Marcus Fraser D
53 Henry Fieldson D
8 Ryan Carr M
48 Paul Nsio M
10 Samuel Ramos M
88 Killian Phillips M
23 Chris Mochrie M
9 Eseosa Sule F

Substitutes

20 Jake Young F
4 Liam Donnelly M
16 Luke Thomas M
27 Peter Urminsky G
5 Richard King D
37 Carrick McEvoy M
30 Fraser Taylor M
7 Roland Idowu M
32 Luke Douglas F

Falkirk

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: John McGlynn
19 Bain
17 Tanser
5 Henderson
21 Melniks
22 Strain
10 Sibbald
4 McMillan
12 Laidlaw
14 Yeats
18 Gardner
9 Maclver

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 Scott Bain G
22 Ryan Strain D
21 Deniss Melniks D
5 Liam Henderson D
17 Scott Tanser D
4 Jack McMillan M
10 Craig Sibbald M
18 Joe Gardner M
14 Finn Yeats M
12 Ethan Laidlaw M
9 Ross Maclver F

Substitutes

47 Aodhan Doherty F
7 Ben Parkinson F
23 Ethan Ross F
1 Nicky Hogarth G
15 Lewis Neilson D
6 Coll Donaldson D
20 Connor Allan D
3 Leon McCann D
11 Paul McGovern F

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