Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas Predicție

Liga MX Liga MX · Apertura - 3
FT
Post on X
Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla
Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Guadalajara Chivas
22%
28%
50%
Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 22% pentru victoria lui Puebla, 50% pentru Guadalajara Chivas și 28% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 1 Aug 2026, 02:54.

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Timeline

Eduardo Mustre
26' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
⚽ 1–1 63'
Roberto Alvarado assist: Efrain Alvarez
⇄ 63'
Fernando González ⇄ Efrain Alvarez
⇄ 63'
Jordan Carrillo ⇄ Omar Govea
Eduardo Mustre ⇄ Luifer Hernández
71' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Armando González ⇄ Ángel Sepúlveda
Carlos Baltazar ⇄ Mathías Tomás
71' ⇄
⇄ 77'
Brian Gutiérrez ⇄ Kevin Castañeda
⇄ 77'
Richard Ledezma ⇄ Ricardo Marín
Alejandro Organista ⇄ Óscar Villa
79' ⇄
Emiliano Gómez ⇄ Omar Moreno
90+1' ⇄
FT 1–1
Puebla

Match Stats

Guadalajara Chivas
35% Ball Possession 65%
0.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.87
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Goal 8
3 Shots off Goal 14
1 Blocked Shots 2
1 Shots insidebox 16
5 Shots outsidebox 8
1 Corner Kicks 7
Offsides
7 Fouls 12
Yellow Cards
Red Cards
7 Goalkeeper Saves 1
348 Total passes 630
285 Passes accurate 565
82% Passes % 90%
-0.25 goals_prevented -0.25
Puebla
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Daniel Gutierrez G 8.3 91' – – – 34 (18%) –
29 Eduardo Mustre F 7.3 71' 1 – 1 17 (10%) 1
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D 7.2 91' – – – 31 (27%) 2
26 Kevin Velasco M 7.2 91' – – 2 35 (32%) 1
12 Iker Moreno D 6.9 91' – – – 35 (31%) –
11 Emiliano Gómez M 6.9 91' – – – 20 (18%) –
10 Mathías Tomás M 6.9 20' – – – 12 (9%) 1
22 Carlos Baltazar M 6.9 71' – – – 20 (18%) 1
9 Luifer Hernández F 6.7 20' – – – 5 (4%) –
5 Facundo Almada D 6.6 91' – – 1 38 (30%) –
24 Alejandro Organista M 6.6 79' – – – 38 (37%) –
15 Óscar Villa D 6.5 12' – – – 2 (2%) –
7 Fernando Monarrez D 6.3 91' – – 1 31 (27%) 2
21 Sergio Sanabria M 6.0 91' – – – 30 (22%) 4
Guadalajara Chivas
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Roberto Alvarado F 8.7 91' 1 – 4 64 (59%) 1
5 Bryan González M 7.5 91' – – 2 47 (41%) 2
33 Jordan Carrillo M 7.5 63' – – 2 47 (42%) –
37 Richard Ledezma M 7.3 77' – – 1 52 (45%) –
11 Brian Gutiérrez M 7.2 77' – – 1 48 (43%) 3
7 Luis Romo D 7.2 91' – – – 81 (75%) 3
2 José Castillo D 7.2 91' – – – 60 (55%) 2
10 Efrain Alvarez F 7.2 28' – 1 1 17 (13%) –
23 Daniel Aguirre D 7.0 91' – – 2 76 (67%) –
6 Omar Govea M 6.9 28' – – 1 18 (17%) 1
28 Fernando González M 6.9 63' – – 2 64 (58%) –
19 Kevin Castañeda M 6.9 14' – – – 12 (11%) –
9 Ángel Sepúlveda F 6.6 20' – – 1 3 (3%) 1
17 Ricardo Marín F 6.6 14' – – 1 1 –
34 Armando González F 6.5 71' – – 4 13 (10%) –
1 Raúl Rangel G 6.2 91' – – – 27 (26%) –
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Confidence Medium (50%)

At a glance

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Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Guadalajara Chivas
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Puebla
DLWLW
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWDW
Last 2 meetings Puebla · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

Puebla faces Guadalajara Chivas in a Liga MX clash, with both teams looking to secure vital points early in the season. Puebla's home form has been generally solid, while Guadalajara has demonstrated a strong attacking prowess, having scored an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. Defensively, Puebla will need to be vigilant against Chivas' fast breaks, as they have been successful in exploiting defensive lapses. This matchup promises to be competitive, with both teams aiming to establish early momentum in the league.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
22%
10%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
50%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Puebla
E. Mustre 3 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
R. Alvarado 3 gls

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Head to Head: Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas

0 Puebla Wins
0 Draws
2 Guadalajara Chivas Wins
Date Home Score Away
19 Apr 2026 Guadalajara Chivas 5 - 0 Puebla
27 Sep 2025 Puebla 0 - 2 Guadalajara Chivas

Puebla — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Atlante FC D 1 - 1
16 Sep H Toluca L 0 - 1
12 Sep A Necaxa W 0 - 1
30 Aug A Club America L 2 - 0
23 Aug H Santos Laguna W 3 - 2

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Club America D 2 - 2
14 Sep H U.N.A.M. - Pumas W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Atletico San Luis W 0 - 3
29 Aug A CF Pachuca D 1 - 1
22 Aug H Club Tijuana W 5 - 2

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toluca
9 6 1 2 +11 19
2
Guadalajara Chivas
9 5 3 1 +9 18
3
Club America
8 5 2 1 +9 17
4
Cruz Azul
9 5 0 4 +1 15
5
Club Queretaro
8 4 2 2 +3 14
6
Club Tijuana
8 4 2 2 +2 14
7
Leon
9 4 2 3 +2 14
8
Puebla
9 4 2 3 0 14
9
Atlas
9 4 2 3 -2 14
10
Monterrey
8 4 1 3 +4 13
11
CF Pachuca
9 3 3 3 +5 12
12
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Atletico San Luis
9 2 3 4 -5 9
14
Atlante FC
9 1 5 3 -5 8
15
Necaxa
9 2 2 5 -6 8
16
Tigres UANL
9 1 4 4 -4 7
17
Santos Laguna
9 2 1 6 -6 7
18
FC Juarez
9 1 0 8 -17 3

Guadalajara Chivas

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: G. Milito
1 Rangel
2 Castillo
7 Romo
23 Aguirre
28 González
5 González
33 Carrillo
11 Gutiérrez
37 Ledezma
34 González
25 Alvarado

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Raúl Rangel G
23 Daniel Aguirre D
7 Luis Romo D
2 José Castillo D
28 Fernando González M
37 Richard Ledezma M
11 Brian Gutiérrez M
33 Jordan Carrillo M
5 Bryan González M
25 Roberto Alvarado F
34 Armando González F

Substitutes

6 Omar Govea M
10 Efrain Alvarez F
9 Ángel Sepúlveda F
13 Óscar Whalley G
3 Diego Campillo D
24 Miguel Gómez D
19 Kevin Castañeda M
18 Jonathan Perez M
16 Luis Gabriel Rey D
17 Ricardo Marín F

Puebla

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gerardo Espinoza
28 Gutierrez
7 Monarrez
4 Vargas
5 Almada
12 Moreno
21 Sanabria
24 Organista
11 Gómez
22 Baltazar
26 Velasco
29 Mustre

Starting XI

# Player Pos
28 Daniel Gutierrez G
12 Iker Moreno D
5 Facundo Almada D
4 Juan Pablo Vargas D
7 Fernando Monarrez D
24 Alejandro Organista M
21 Sergio Sanabria M
26 Kevin Velasco M
22 Carlos Baltazar M
11 Emiliano Gómez M
29 Eduardo Mustre F

Substitutes

10 Mathías Tomás M
9 Luifer Hernández F
33 Jesús Rodríguez G
2 Angel Leyva D
15 Óscar Villa D
3 Alberto Herrera M
34 Lucas Camilo M
16 Alonso Ramirez M
8 Omar Moreno F
27 Brayan Garnica F

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