Mariehamn vs AC Oulu Predicție

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 17

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AC Oulu

Away

Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru AC Oulu

13%

22%

65%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Mariehamn vs AC Oulu: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 13% pentru victoria lui Mariehamn, 65% pentru AC Oulu și 22% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 25 Jul 2026, 15:21.

Timeline

A. Larsson assist: A. Stroud

14' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 36'

O. Kemppainen Yellow Card

A. Larsson Missed Penalty

38' ✗

⇄ 45'

O. Kemppainen

HT 1–0

A. Soiniemi Yellow Card

52' ▮

▮ 55'

M. Ojala Yellow Card

⇄ 64'

M. Ojala ⇄ N. Jokelainen

A. Stroud

74' ⇄

▮ 75'

Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 78'

E. Kallio

▮ 88'

J. Pirinen Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Mariehamn

Match Stats

AC Oulu

44% Ball Possession 56%

18 Total Shots 17

6 Shots on Goal 7

7 Shots off Goal 8

5 Blocked Shots 2

14 Shots insidebox 14

4 Shots outsidebox 3

7 Corner Kicks 9

1 Offsides 4

9 Fouls 11

1 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

5 Goalkeeper Saves 5

362 Total passes 484

264 Passes accurate 396

11 Free Kicks 9

Mariehamn

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
7 A. Larsson F	7.8	90'	1	–	3	18 (12%)	1
18 A. Stroud F	7.7	74'	–	1	3	18 (11%)	1
28 J. Nissinen D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	3
11 J. Svedberg M	7.2	90'	–	–	4	34 (25%)	–
22 Rui Monteiro F	6.9	90'	–	–	2	39 (34%)	–
1 K. Lund G	6.8	90'	–	–	–	41 (13%)	–
8 J. van der Heyden M	6.8	90'	–	–	–	49 (45%)	2
20 E. Patut M	6.7	90'	–	–	1	44 (34%)	2
5 T. Koivisto D	6.4	90'	–	–	3	30 (24%)	–
3 A. Soiniemi D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	12 (7%)	5
19 F. Gyamfi D	6.2	90'	–	–	2	44 (30%)	–

AC Oulu

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
13 Miguel Santos G	7.8	90'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	–
27 E. Kallio M	7.5	90'	1	–	4	30 (22%)	1
14 N. Jokelainen M	6.9	26'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	1
7 R. Karjalainen F	6.7	90'	–	–	5	31 (22%)	2
18 Adramane Cassamá D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	24 (17%)	2
3 J. Lietsa D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	57 (48%)	–
11 L. Ghezali F	6.5	90'	–	–	–	24 (20%)	1
22 T. Kaukua M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	63 (51%)	3
16 O. Kemppainen D	6.3	46'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	–
66 J. Pirinen D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	59 (53%)	–
8 M. Ojala M	6.0	64'	–	–	–	49 (37%)	–

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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

Victorie sau egal dificil pentru AC Oulu

Most likely score

0:1 · 21.4%

Both teams to score

22%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Mariehamn

LWLWW

AC Oulu

LLLDW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Mariehamn faces AC Oulu. Mariehamn has struggled for consistency this season, currently sitting mid-table with a goal difference of -5. On the other hand, AC Oulu has shown resilience, often turning matches in their favor, and boasts a stronger away form with a goal difference of +3. Key players to watch include Mariehamn's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Oulu's midfield general, who is pivotal in their transition play. This matchup could hinge on Oulu's ability to exploit defensive lapses from Mariehamn.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

13%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

65%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Oulu goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	21	20	12	5	2
1	3	8	6	4	2	1
2	1	1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Mariehamn goals · most likely 0–1 (21.4%)

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Players in form

Mariehamn

No scorer data.

AC Oulu

J. Körkkö 2 gls

E. Kallio 2 gls

AI match tools

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Match Result

Away Win

65%

Draw

22%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

65%

Draw

22%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

74% Away Scores More 22% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

78% BTTS No 22% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.2%	21.4%	20.1%	12.0%	5.4%
1	2.8%	7.6%	6.0%	3.6%	1.6%
2	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Mariehamn	Draw	AC Oulu
Mariehamn	2.6%	1.9%	1.5%
Draw	2.3%	17.0%	27.7%
AC Oulu	0.1%	1.5%	45.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Mariehamn vs AC Oulu

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Mariehamn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SJK	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Turku PS	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Lahti	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H FF Jaro	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	A KuPS	W	2 - 4

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Inter Turku	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Gnistan	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A VPS	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H SJK	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	A FF Jaro	W	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

Mariehamn

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

1 Lund

3 Soiniemi

19 Gyamfi

5 Koivisto

28 Nissinen

11 Svedberg

8 Heyden

20 Patut

18 Stroud

7 Larsson

22 Monteiro

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	K. Lund	G
28	J. Nissinen	D
5	T. Koivisto	D
19	F. Gyamfi	D
3	A. Soiniemi	D
20	E. Patut	M
8	J. van der Heyden	M
11	J. Svedberg	M
22	Rui Monteiro	F
7	A. Larsson	F
18	A. Stroud	F

Substitutes

64	M. Hyvönen	M
9	W. Nuñez	F
43	L. Andersson	F
32	M. Riikonen	G
2	N. Nurmi	D
31	Samson Ngulube	D
16	A. Huttunen	M
14	Arvid Bergvik	M

AC Oulu

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: David Pagou

13 Santos

18 Cassamá

66 Pirinen

3 Lietsa

16 Kemppainen

7 Karjalainen

27 Kallio

8 Ojala

22 Kaukua

11 Ghezali

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
16	O. Kemppainen	D
3	J. Lietsa	D
66	J. Pirinen	D
18	Adramane Cassamá	D
22	T. Kaukua	M
8	M. Ojala	M
27	E. Kallio	M
7	R. Karjalainen	F
11	L. Ghezali	F

Substitutes

14	N. Jokelainen	M
5	M. Pitkänen	D
2	S. Sipola	D