HNK Rijeka vs Derry City Predicție

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

Post on X

Derry City

Away

Predicție AI HNK Rijeka câștigă

79%

15%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție HNK Rijeka vs Derry City: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 79% pentru victoria lui HNK Rijeka, 6% pentru Derry City și 15% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 23 Jul 2026, 20:39.

Selecții Premium

Premium

2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

Membrii Premium au avut aceste selecții înainte de startul meciului. Vezi predicțiile Premium

Match Report

HNK Rijeka secured a narrow but deserved 1–0 victory over Derry City in the first leg of their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round tie. The opening half was goalless and largely uneventful, with a yellow card the only notable incident before the break.

Rijeka broke the deadlock seven minutes into the second half when Toni Fruk converted to give the Croatian side the advantage. Derry responded by making a triple substitution on the hour mark, introducing Liam Boyce among others in an attempt to find an equaliser, with further changes following as the game progressed. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rijeka win as the most likely outcome at 79%, a call that proved accurate. Despite the flurry of late activity from the visitors, including the introductions of Brooklyn Lyons-Foster and James Olayinka, Derry could not find a way through.

Fruk was withdrawn in stoppage time, having done his job, as Rijeka managed the closing stages comfortably. The Croatian hosts now hold a one-goal advantage heading into the second leg.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

7' ▮

HT 0–0

Toni Fruk

52' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

60' ▮

⇄ 62'

Liam Boyce ⇄ James Clarke

⇄ 62'

⇄ Adam O'Reilly

⇄ 62'

⇄ Cameron Dummigan

69' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Brooklyn Lyons-Foster ⇄ Conor Barr

79' ⇄

⇄ 80'

James Olayinka

Toni Fruk

90+1' ⇄

FT 1–0

Premium

Deblochează analiza completă AI pentru HNK Rijeka vs Derry City

Toate cele 70+ piețe de probabilitate
Raport de meci Analiză Aprofundată AI
Avantaj de Valoare — model vs. piață
Tipuri de selecții alese de tine

Treci la Premium

Confidence High (79%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

HNK Rijeka câștigă

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.9%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

HNK Rijeka

WWDWD

Derry City

WDWWD

Last 1 meetings HNK Rijeka · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League clash, HNK Rijeka faces Derry City. Rijeka has demonstrated a solid home record in European competitions, with a strong emphasis on possession and attacking football, averaging 1.8 goals per match in their last five home fixtures. Conversely, Derry City will rely on their disciplined defensive structure, having conceded just 0.8 goals per away game in recent matches. The outcome may hinge on Rijeka's ability to break down Derry's defense while Derry seeks opportunities on the counter-attack. This matchup promises to be a test of tactical execution and efficiency in front of goal.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Derry City goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	3	1
1	17	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	11	5	1
4	5	2	1
5	2	1

↑ HNK Rijeka goals · most likely 2–0 (16.9%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

De ce această selecție? · Premium Analiză Aprofundată AI · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	3.4%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	16.7%	9.7%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%
2	16.9%	8.1%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.7%	5.2%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	5.1%	2.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HNK Rijeka	Draw	Derry City
HNK Rijeka	45.8%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	24.1%	15.8%	3.9%
Derry City	1.7%	2.2%	3.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

62%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

83%

0.5

17%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: HNK Rijeka vs Derry City

1 HNK Rijeka Wins

0 Draws

0 Derry City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Derry City	0 - 1	HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H HNK Hajduk Split	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	A Vrbovec	W	0 - 6
12 Sep	A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H NK Osijek	W	4 - 1
31 Aug	A HNK Gorica	D	0 - 0

Derry City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Galway United	W	1 - 0
14 Sep	A Waterford	D	2 - 2
11 Sep	A Shelbourne	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Dundalk	W	4 - 2
30 Aug	H Shamrock Rovers	D	3 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

HNK Rijeka

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mohammed Adil Erradi

99 Todorović

34 Devetak

5 Barco

45 Majstorović

22 Oreč

26 Dantas

6 Pavić

4 Janković

10 Fruk

14 Gojak

18 Adu-Adjei

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Aleksa Todorović	G
22	Ante Oreč	D
45	Ante Majstorović	D
5	Alfonso Barco	M
34	Mladen Devetak	D
6	Branko Pavić	M
26	Tiago Dantas	M
14	Amer Gojak	M
10	Toni Fruk	M
4	Niko Janković	M
18	Daniel Adu-Adjei	F

Substitutes

77	Ante Matej Jurić	F
11	Gabriel Rukavina	M
1	Vito Kovač	G
31	Dávid Nwolokor	G
3	Moreno Živković	D
23	Justas Lasickas	D
51	Anel Husić	D
91	Noel Bodetić	D
19	Samuele Vignato	M
30	Simon Cletus Karshe	M
15	Goran Grulović	F
37	Cherno Saho	F

Derry City

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Tiernan Lynch

1 Maher

19 Fleming

3 McClean

4 Stott

24 Lyons-Foster

17 Twisk

7 Duffy

14 Chapman

28 Olayinka

2 Cotter

27 Boyce

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Brian Maher	G
24	Brooklyn Lyons-Foster	D
4	Jamie Stott	D
3	Patrick McClean	D
19	Brandon Fleming	M
17	Nick Twisk	M
2	Barry Cotter	M
28	James Olayinka	M
14	Ellis Chapman	M
7	Michael Duffy	M
27	Liam Boyce	F

Substitutes

23	Cameron Dummigan	D
8	Adam O'Reilly	M
15	James Clarke	M
22	Conor Barr	D
12	Darragh Burns	M
13	Tom Norcott	G
6	Robert Slevin	D
25	Christy Grogan	D
16	James McClean	M
35	Liam Kelly	F
32	Terence Doherty	F