ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska Predicție

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Sutjeska

Away

Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru ML Vitebsk

51%

27%

22%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 51% pentru victoria lui ML Vitebsk, 22% pentru Sutjeska și 27% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 23 Jul 2026, 18:52.

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Match Report

ML Vitebsk secured a commanding 3–0 victory over Sutjeska in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round first leg, putting themselves in a strong position to advance. The Belarusian side were dominant from the off, taking control early in the first half.

The decisive period came around the half-hour mark. Sutjeska were handed a let-off when a penalty was missed at the 31-minute mark, but Vitebsk made no mistake moments later, scoring immediately after to make it 1–0. A second goal followed swiftly in the 37th minute, sending the hosts into the break with a 2–0 advantage. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Vitebsk win as the most likely outcome at 51%, and the hosts duly delivered.

Sutjeska introduced fresh legs at half-time with three substitutions, but Vitebsk continued to press and added a third goal on 65 minutes to seal a comprehensive result. Both sides picked up yellow cards across the match, though the disciplinary incidents had little bearing on an evening that belonged firmly to Vitebsk.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

11' ▮

▮ 30'

Yellow Card

Missed Penalty

31' ✗

31' ⚽ 1–0

37' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

57' ▮

64' ⇄

65' ⚽ 3–0

78' ⇄

⇄ 78'

⇄ Milad Mohammadi

87' ⇄

⇄ 90'

FT 3–0

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

Victorie sau egal dificil pentru ML Vitebsk

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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ML Vitebsk

WDDDW

Sutjeska

WWWDW

Last 1 meetings ML Vitebsk · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup between ML Vitebsk and Sutjeska, both teams will be looking to secure valuable points. ML Vitebsk has demonstrated a solid defensive record in recent matches, allowing an average of 1 goal per game in their last five outings. Sutjeska, on the other hand, has shown a more aggressive attacking style, scoring an average of 2 goals per game in their last five fixtures. The tactical battle will likely center around Vitebsk's defense versus Sutjeska's offense, making set-pieces and counter-attacks crucial for both sides. Overall, the match promises to be competitive as both teams seek to establish a foothold in the group stage.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sutjeska goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	1
1	10	14	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ ML Vitebsk goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

27%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 28% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	6.0%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.1%	13.6%	6.2%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.3%	9.5%	4.9%	1.7%	0.4%
3	4.9%	5.1%	2.6%	0.9%	0.2%
4	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	ML Vitebsk	Draw	Sutjeska
ML Vitebsk	25.2%	3.5%	1.2%
Draw	21.4%	18.1%	9.6%
Sutjeska	3.3%	4.8%	13.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: ML Vitebsk vs Sutjeska

1 ML Vitebsk Wins

0 Draws

0 Sutjeska Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Sutjeska	1 - 2	ML Vitebsk

ML Vitebsk — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Arsenal	W	5 - 1
13 Sep	A FC Dnepr Mogilev	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Dinamo Minsk	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Belshina	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Dinamo Brest	W	1 - 3

Sutjeska — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Arsenal Tivat	W	0 - 2
13 Sep	H Dečić	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Mornar	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Petrovac	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	H Mladost DG	W	5 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

ML Vitebsk

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikhail Martinovich

1 Pavlyuchenko

22 Skibskiy

6 Gomanov

20 Volkov

23 Balanovich

27 Mesarović

15 Bocherov

55 Gromyko

12 Bosić

80 Kontsevoy

10 Cleonise

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Pavel Pavlyuchenko	G
23	Sergey Balanovich	M
20	Zakhar Volkov	D
6	Kirill Gomanov	D
22	Yan Skibskiy	M
55	Valeriy Gromyko	M
15	Valeriy Bocherov	M
27	Aleksandar Mesarović	M
10	Denilho Cleonise	M
80	Artem Kontsevoy	M
12	Radivoj Bosić	M

Substitutes

9	Bassekou Diabaté	F
30	Pavel Shcherbachenya	G
3	Nikita Baranok	D
5	Milad Mohammadi	D
45	Ilya Moskalenchik	D
8	Silas Gnaka	M
18	Vladislav Zhuk	M
7	Timur Ivanov	F
11	Shamar Nicholson	F
99	Mark Bulanov	F

Sutjeska

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Milorad Pekovic

1 Giljen

4 Vracar

72 Babić

15 Kopitović

2 Golubovic

77 Simun

6 Hočko

20 Čađenović

7 Boljević

55 Babić

11 Cavor

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Vladan Giljen	G
2	Aleksa Golubovic	D
15	Boris Kopitović	D
72	Anto Babić	D
4	Milos Vracar	D
20	Jovan Čađenović	M
6	Deni Hočko	M
77	Marko Simun	M
11	Vasilije Cavor	M
55	Slobodan Babić	F
7	Aleksandar Boljević	M

Substitutes

5	Igor Pajović	M
19	Aleksandar Šćekić	M
10	Balša Tošković	F
12	Tomas Durovic	G
23	Rados Dubljevic	G
25	Marko Đukanović	D
44	Rados Dedic	D
3	Mamadou Camara	M
9	Petar Anicic	M
14	Marko Brnovic	M
21	Danilo Cetkovic	M
30	Andrija Kecojević	M