Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol Predicție

UEFA Europa League · 1st Qualifying Round

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Sheriff Tiraspol

Away

Predicție AI Sheriff Tiraspol sau egal

32%

33%

35%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 32% pentru victoria lui Aluminij, 35% pentru Sheriff Tiraspol și 33% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Match Report

Sheriff Tiraspol secured a narrow but decisive 1–0 victory over Aluminij in the UEFA Europa League first qualifying round, with the winning goal arriving as early as the fifth minute. That early strike proved to be the difference between the two sides, as Sheriff carried their lead into half-time and ultimately protected it for the full 90 minutes.

The match was not without its flashpoints, with three yellow cards shown across both halves — two of them coming in quick succession in the 61st minute, suggesting a period of heightened tension midway through the second half. Both managers were active in their use of substitutions, particularly after the hour mark, as each side sought to influence the outcome.

Aluminij were unable to find a way back into the contest despite the changes made, and Sheriff held firm to claim a clean sheet and a one-goal advantage heading into the next round. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Sheriff win as the most likely outcome at 35%, a call that proved correct on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

Yellow Card

23' ▮

Yellow Card

34' ▮

HT 0–1

⇄ 56'

▮ 61'

Yellow Card

61' ▮

65' ⇄

66' ⇄

⇄ 76'

80' ⇄

88' ⇄

⇄ 90+5'

FT 0–1

Aluminij

Match Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

Ball Possession

Expected Goals (xG)

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Shots off Goal

Blocked Shots

Shots insidebox

Shots outsidebox

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

Goalkeeper Saves

Total passes

Passes accurate

Passes %

goals_prevented

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Confidence Low (35%)

At a glance

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Sheriff Tiraspol sau egal

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Aluminij

DWDLL

Sheriff Tiraspol

WWDLW

Last 1 meetings Aluminij · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this UEFA Europa League clash, Aluminij will face Sheriff Tiraspol. Historically, Sheriff has been more successful in European competitions, showcasing a solid defensive record and a higher win ratio in recent matches. Aluminij will need to leverage their attacking capabilities, particularly focusing on set pieces and counter-attacks, while Sheriff’s experience in Europe may give them an edge in composure under pressure. The match promises to be competitive, with tactical battles likely determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sheriff Tiraspol goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	11	7	3	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	6	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Aluminij goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Draw

33%

Home Win

32%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

35%

Draw

33%

Home Win

32%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals 32% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

36%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.7%	11.3%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
1	10.5%	15.2%	7.4%	2.7%	0.8%
2	6.3%	7.0%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.2%	2.4%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Aluminij	Draw	Sheriff Tiraspol
Aluminij	18.1%	4.1%	1.5%
Draw	13.2%	22.6%	14.1%
Sheriff Tiraspol	1.5%	4.3%	20.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Aluminij vs Sheriff Tiraspol

0 Aluminij Wins

1 Draws

0 Sheriff Tiraspol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Jul 2026	Sheriff Tiraspol	0 - 0	Aluminij

Aluminij — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Maribor	D	2 - 2
13 Sep	A Mura	W	1 - 6
05 Sep	H Bravo	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	H Celje	L	0 - 2
28 Aug	H Koper	L	0 - 1

Sheriff Tiraspol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H CSF Bălți	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A Milsami Orhei	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Petrocub	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Zimbru	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H Politehnica UTM	W	4 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Sheriff Tiraspol

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Victor Mihailov

1 Tîmbur

6 Lopes

35 Bourama

15 Ciss

76 Pergjoni

99 Koné

26 Klas

24 Forov

42 Loukou

19 Asprilla

7 Fratea

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Emil Tîmbur	G
15	Baye Assane Ciss	D
35	Fomba Bourama	D
6	Rai Lopes	D
24	Danila Forov	M
26	Dhoraso Moreo Klas	M
99	Samba Koné	M
76	Arli Pergjoni	M
7	Vladimir Fratea	M
19	Jayder Asprilla	F
42	Konan Jaures-Ulrich Loukou	M

Substitutes

11	Sapata	M
12	Renat Josan	G
4	Natus Jamel Swen	D
22	Miguel Mota	D
29	Soumaila Magassouba	D
37	Jair Modelo	D
10	Zé Flores	M
17	Vsevolod Nihaev	M
27	Veaceslav Cozma	M
70	Egor Ivanov	M
77	Juanca Pineda	M
9	Vlad Lupasco	F

Aluminij

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: Jure Arsic

31 Raduha

4 Schaubach

5 Boben

6 Šimunić

32 Težak

13 Vrbanec

14 Jagić

7 Taylor

42 Koderman

25 Bajraj

45 Susso

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
31	Florijan Raduha	G
6	Dino Šimunić	D
5	Matija Boben	D
4	Rok Schaubach	D
42	Vid Koderman	M
7	Eric Taylor	M
14	Tomislav Jagić	M
13	Matic Vrbanec	M
32	Vito Težak	D
45	Bamba Susso	F
25	Murat Bajraj	F

Substitutes

1	Anej Mrežar	G
16	Lukas Šeliga	G
21	Lan Drevenšek	D
33	Domen Zajšek	D
80	Hanus Sørensen	D
11	Bede Amarachi Osuji	M
18	Simon Rogina	M
23	Enej Kramberger	M
27	Maj Blažič	M
44	Petar Petriško	M
77	Josip Pejić	M
9	Adriano Bloudek	F