Senegal vs Iraq Predicție

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

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Iraq

Away

BMO Field, Toronto

Predicție AI Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Senegal

61%

29%

10%

Victorie gazdă Egal Victorie oaspeți

Predicție Senegal vs Iraq: Sportiko estimează o probabilitate de 61% pentru victoria lui Senegal, 10% pentru Iraq și 29% pentru egal. Ultima actualizare 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Echipa Gazdă Marchează 76%
Sub 2.5 goluri 71%

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Timeline

Habib Diarra assist: Abdoulaye Seck

4' ⚽ 1–0

🖵 12'

Rebin Sulaka Card upgrade

▮ 13'

Rebin Sulaka Red Card

⇄ 16'

Ahmed Qasem ⇄ Munaf Younus

Abdoulaye Seck Yellow Card

18' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Ahmed Basil ⇄ Jalal Hassan

Ismaïla Sarr assist: Lamine Camara

56' ⚽ 2–0

Lamine Camara ⇄ Nicolas Jackson

57' ⇄

Habib Diarra ⇄ Pape Gueye

57' ⇄

Ibrahim Mbaye ⇄ Iliman Ndiaye

57' ⇄

Abdoulaye Seck ⇄ Pathé Ismaël Ciss

58' ⇄

⇄ 58'

Ali Al-Hamadi ⇄ Ali Yousif

⇄ 58'

Ali Jasim ⇄ Ahmed Hasan Maknazi

Pape Gueye assist: Ismaïla Sarr

59' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 67'

Zidane Iqbal ⇄ Kevin Yakob

Pape Gueye assist: Iliman Ndiaye

71' ⚽ 4–0

▮ 75'

Amir Al-Ammari Yellow Card

Pape Gueye Yellow Card

81' ▮

Ismaïla Sarr ⇄ Assane Diao

81' ⇄

Iliman Ndiaye assist: Pape Gueye

82' ⚽ 5–0

▮ 90'

Merchas Doski Yellow Card

FT 5–0

Senegal

Match Stats

Iraq

69% Ball Possession 31%

3.01 Expected Goals (xG) 0.14

28 Total Shots 6

12 Shots on Goal 1

11 Shots off Goal 1

5 Blocked Shots 4

17 Shots insidebox 1

11 Shots outsidebox 5

12 Corner Kicks 3

1 Offsides 0

10 Fouls 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 1

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

590 Total passes 266

517 Passes accurate 184

88% Passes % 69%

-0.07 goals_prevented -0.07

Senegal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
26 Pape Gueye M	9.9	33'	2	1	4	48 (43%)	1
13 Iliman Ndiaye F	8.6	33'	1	1	2	22 (21%)	–
5 Idrissa Gana Gueye M	8.3	90'	–	–	1	94 (81%)	3
8 Lamine Camara M	8.2	57'	–	1	1	45 (36%)	–
18 Ismaïla Sarr F	7.7	81'	1	1	3	19 (14%)	–
21 Habib Diarra M	7.5	57'	1	–	2	17 (16%)	2
15 Krépin Diatta D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	66 (62%)	3
19 Moussa Niakhaté D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	72 (65%)	–
11 Nicolas Jackson F	7.2	33'	–	–	2	6 (4%)	1
23 Mory Diaw G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	–
10 Sadio Mané F	7.0	90'	–	–	3	43 (31%)	–
14 Ismail Jakobs D	6.9	90'	–	–	1	49 (47%)	1
4 Abdoulaye Seck D	6.9	58'	–	1	1	30 (26%)	–
7 Assane Diao F	6.7	9'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	1
20 Ibrahim Mbaye F	6.7	57'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	–
6 Pathé Ismaël Ciss M	6.6	32'	–	–	1	19 (18%)	–

Iraq

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
12 Jalal Hassan G	6.9	45'	–	–	–	13 (2%)	–
9 Ali Al-Hamadi F	6.9	58'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	1
13 Ali Yousif F	6.7	32'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	1
22 Ahmed Basil G	6.6	45'	–	–	–	22 (8%)	–
8 Ibrahim Bayesh M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	4
16 Amir Al-Ammari M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	31 (22%)	1
17 Ali Jasim M	6.2	58'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	–
15 Ahmed Hasan Maknazi D	6.2	32'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	3
11 Ahmed Qasem M	6.2	16'	–	–	–	2	–
14 Zidane Iqbal M	6.2	67'	–	–	–	33 (31%)	1
19 Kevin Yakob M	6.2	23'	–	–	1	12 (9%)	1
6 Munaf Younus D	5.9	74'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	1
5 Akam Hashem D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (17%)	1
23 Merchas Doski D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	26 (15%)	3
26 Frans Putros D	5.6	90'	–	–	–	22 (20%)	3
2 Rebin Sulaka D	3.0	13'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–

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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Analiza noastră

Victorie sau egal dificil pentru Senegal

Most likely score

1:0 · 20.7%

Both teams to score

28%

Over 2.5 goals

29%

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Senegal

LWLLD

Iraq

DLLLL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 26, 2026, Senegal will host Iraq, bringing together contrasting football styles. Senegal, known for their strong physical presence and pace, relies heavily on their attacking talents, including key players like Sadio Mané. They have a solid defensive record, having conceded only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. Iraq, while less heralded, has shown resilience and tactical discipline, often relying on a compact defense and quick counter-attacks. This match could hinge on Senegal’s ability to break down Iraq’s defensive setup, while Iraq will aim to exploit any gaps left in the Senegalese backline. Overall, Senegal enters as favorites, but Iraq's unpredictable nature could lead to a competitive encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Iraq goals →

	0	1	2
0	16	5	1
1	21	11	2
2	16	7	2
3	8	3	1
4	3	1
5	1

↑ Senegal goals · most likely 1–0 (20.7%)

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Players in form

Senegal

I. Sarr 4 gls

Iraq

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

29%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

29%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

96%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

72% BTTS No 28% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

28%

17%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.4%	5.4%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
1	20.7%	10.9%	2.1%	0.3%	0.0%
2	15.9%	7.0%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	7.7%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.8%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

78%

1.5

22%

95%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

43%

35%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Senegal	Draw	Iraq
Senegal	37.8%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	23.0%	22.1%	4.8%
Iraq	1.4%	2.6%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

64%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Senegal vs Iraq

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Senegal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Jul	A Belgium	L	3 - 2
26 Jun	H Iraq	W	5 - 0
23 Jun	A Norway	L	3 - 2
16 Jun	A France	L	3 - 1
09 Jun	A Saudi Arabia	D	0 - 0

Iraq — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Oman	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	A Senegal	L	5 - 0
22 Jun	A France	L	3 - 0
16 Jun	H Norway	L	1 - 4
10 Jun	H Venezuela	L	0 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Senegal

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Bouna Thiaw Pape

23 Diaw

14 Jakobs

19 Niakhate

4 Seck

15 Diatta

8 Camara

5 Gueye

21 Diarra

10 Mane

18 Sarr

20 Mbaye

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	M. Diaw	G
15	K. Diatta	D
4	A. Seck	D
19	M. Niakhate	D
14	I. Jakobs	D
21	H. Diarra	M
5	I. Gueye	M
8	L. Camara	M
20	I. Mbaye	F
18	I. Sarr	F
10	S. Mane	F

Substitutes

1	Y. Diouf	G
3	K. Koulibaly	D
11	N. Jackson	F
9	B. Dieng	F
24	A. Mendy	D
2	M. Sarr	D
7	A. Diao	F
12	C. Ndiaye	F
26	P. Gueye	M
6	P. Ciss	M
13	I. Ndiaye	F
17	P. M. Sarr	M
25	M. Diouf	D
22	B. Sapoko Ndiaye	M

Iraq

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Graham Arnold

22 Basil

23 Doski

5 Hashem

2 Sulaka

26 Putros

16 Ammari

14 Iqbal

8 Bayesh

17 Jasim

11 Qasem

9 Hamadi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	A. Basil	G
26	F. Putros	D
2	R. Sulaka	D
5	A. Hashem	D
23	M. Doski	D
14	Z. Iqbal	M
16	A. Al Ammari	M
11	A. Qasem	M
17	A. Jasim	M
8	I. Bayesh	M
9	A. Al Hamadi	F

Substitutes

12	J. Hassan	G
1	F. Talib	G
13	A. Yousif	F
3	H. Ali	D
21	M. Farji	M
4	Z. Tahseen	D
10	M. Ali	-
18	A. Hussein	F
19	K. Yakob	M
20	A. Sher	M
7	Y. Amyn	F
15	A. Maknzi	D
6	M. Younis	D
24	Z. Ismaeel	M
25	M. Saadoon	D