New York City FC vs Chicago Fire Previsão

Major League Soccer Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 17
FT
Post on X
Chamada de IA Muito equilibrado para definir
35%
29%
36%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite New York City FC x Chicago Fire: O Sportiko estima 35% de probabilidade de vitória para o New York City FC, 36% para o Chicago Fire e 29% de empate. Atualizado 26 Jul 2026, 01:39.

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
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Timeline

Nicolás Fernández
11' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 21'
Joel Waterman
Agustin Ojeda assist: Andrés Perea
29' ⚽ 2–1
Malachi Jones assist: Agustin Ojeda
41' ⚽ 3–1
HT 3–1
⇄ 46'
Maren Haile-Selassie ⇄ Robert Lewandowski
⇄ 46'
Leonardo Barroso ⇄ Jonathan Dean
▮ 51'
Dje Tah D'Avilla Yellow Card
Nicolás Fernández Yellow Card
62' ▮
⇄ 63'
Dje Tah D'Avilla ⇄ Mauricio Pineda
Malachi Jones ⇄ Bénie Traoré
69' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Viktor Radojević ⇄ Andrew Gutman
⇄ 71'
Robin Lod ⇄ Puso Dithejane
▮ 77'
Joel Waterman Yellow Card
▮ 80'
Puso Dithejane Yellow Card
Talles Magno ⇄ Hannes Wolf
85' ⇄
Jonathan Shore ⇄ Arnau Farnos
85' ⇄
Agustin Ojeda ⇄ Mitja Ilenič
90+2' ⇄
FT 3–1
New York City FC

Match Stats

Chicago Fire
47% Ball Possession 53%
1.31 Expected Goals (xG) 1.36
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 5
4 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Corner Kicks 2
5 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
416 Total passes 464
337 Passes accurate 376
81% Passes % 81%
-1.37 goals_prevented -1.37
New York City FC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Agustin Ojeda M 8.5 90' 1 1 1 13 (10%) 1
7 Nicolás Fernández M 8.2 90' 1 – 1 38 (32%) 1
49 Matthew Freese G 7.3 90' – – – 16 (10%) –
8 Andrés Perea M 7.3 90' – 1 – 45 (36%) 2
88 Malachi Jones M 7.3 69' 1 – 1 11 (8%) 2
24 Tayvon Gray D 7.0 90' – – 1 41 (36%) 4
13 Thiago Martins D 7.0 90' – – – 52 (49%) –
32 Jonathan Shore M 7.0 85' – – – 37 (30%) 4
2 Nico Cavallo D 6.9 90' – – – 44 (34%) 3
11 Talles Magno F 6.9 85' – – 1 27 (16%) –
9 Bénie Traoré F 6.5 21' – – 1 3 (3%) –
6 James Sands D 6.3 90' – – – 61 (50%) 3
87 Arnau Farnos F — 5' – – – 3 (2%) –
17 Hannes Wolf F — 5' – – – 2 (2%) 1
Chicago Fire
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Philip Zinckernagel M 7.5 90' – – – 30 (24%) 4
16 Joel Waterman D 7.3 90' 1 – 1 70 (62%) 2
24 Jonathan Dean D 7.2 45' – – – 17 (15%) –
6 Anton Salétros M 6.9 90' – – 2 52 (43%) 3
15 Andrew Gutman D 6.5 19' – – – 7 (5%) –
7 Maren Haile-Selassie F 6.5 45' – – – 10 (7%) –
9 Robert Lewandowski F 6.5 45' – – 1 10 (9%) –
3 Jack Elliott D 6.3 90' – – – 63 (51%) 2
19 Jonathan Bamba M 6.3 90' – – – 35 (28%) 2
22 Mauricio Pineda D 6.3 27' – – 1 28 (24%) –
12 Puso Dithejane F 6.3 19' – – 1 2 (1%) –
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M 6.2 63' – – – 39 (30%) 2
17 Robin Lod F 6.2 71' – – – 19 (11%) 1
14 Viktor Radojević D 6.0 71' – – – 21 (18%) 2
2 Leonardo Barroso D 5.9 45' – – – 22 (20%) 3
1 Chris Brady G 5.5 90' – – – 25 (18%) –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

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New York City FC
LWLDD
Chicago Fire
LLDDD

Match summary

In the upcoming MLS match, New York City FC will face Chicago Fire. NYCFC has shown strong form at home, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season. Conversely, Chicago Fire struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match. This matchup could hinge on NYCFC's ability to exploit defensive gaps in the Fire's backline while maintaining solid possession. If NYCFC can leverage their offensive capabilities effectively, they may secure a vital win.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
35%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
36%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

New York City FC
N. Fernández Mercau 15 gls
Chicago Fire
H. Cuypers 13 gls

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Head to Head: New York City FC vs Chicago Fire

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

New York City FC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H New York Red Bulls L 0 - 1
13 Sep A Real Salt Lake W 0 - 2
10 Sep H New England Revolution L 1 - 2
04 Sep H Nashville SC D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Toronto FC D 1 - 1

Chicago Fire — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Nashville SC L 3 - 0
13 Sep H New England Revolution L 1 - 2
10 Sep H Inter Miami D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Toronto FC D 4 - 4
29 Aug A Seattle Sounders D 2 - 2

Major League Soccer Standings

Eastern Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Nashville SC
26 17 6 3 +32 57
2
New England Revolution
26 14 4 8 +12 46
3
Inter Miami
26 12 10 4 +15 46
4
Charlotte
26 12 7 7 +10 43
5
Chicago Fire
25 11 6 8 +7 39
6
Philadelphia Union
26 10 6 10 +8 36
7
Orlando City SC
26 10 4 12 -14 34
8
New York Red Bulls
26 9 6 11 -14 33
9
FC Cincinnati
25 8 9 8 -7 33
10
New York City FC
26 8 8 10 +5 32
11
DC United
25 6 11 8 -8 29
12
Toronto FC
26 6 11 9 -10 29
13
Columbus Crew
26 7 5 14 -5 26
14
Atlanta United FC
26 7 5 14 -13 26
15
CF Montreal
26 5 6 15 -22 21

Western Conference

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 4 6 +33 49
2
Houston Dynamo
26 13 5 8 +4 44
3
St. Louis City
26 12 8 6 +9 44
4
FC Dallas
26 12 8 6 +7 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 6 8 +8 42
6
Los Angeles FC
27 11 8 8 +14 41
7
Colorado Rapids
26 11 3 12 +1 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 9 10 -8 33
9
Portland Timbers
26 9 5 12 -1 32
10
Seattle Sounders
25 8 8 9 -3 32
11
San Diego
26 8 7 11 0 31
12
Austin
26 7 9 10 -12 30
13
Real Salt Lake
26 8 5 13 -7 29
14
Minnesota United FC
26 7 8 11 -7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City
25 5 3 17 -34 18

New York City FC

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Pascal Jansen
49 Freese
2 Cavallo
6 Sands
13 Martins
24 Gray
32 Shore
88 Jones
8 Perea
7 Fernández
26 Ojeda
11 Magno

Starting XI

# Player Pos
49 Matthew Freese G
24 Tayvon Gray D
13 Thiago Martins D
6 James Sands D
2 Nico Cavallo D
32 Jonathan Shore M
26 Agustin Ojeda M
7 Nicolás Fernández M
8 Andrés Perea M
88 Malachi Jones M
11 Talles Magno F

Substitutes

30 Tomás Romero G
23 Max Murray D
35 Mitja Ilenič D
9 Bénie Traoré F
87 Arnau Farnos F
29 Máximo Carrizo M
17 Hannes Wolf F
15 Kevin Pierre M
99 Seymour Garfield-Reid F

Chicago Fire

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mario Barcena
1 Brady
14 Radojević
3 Elliott
16 Waterman
2 Barroso
17 Lod
42 D'Avilla
6 Salétros
19 Bamba
7 Haile-Selassie
11 Zinckernagel

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Chris Brady G
2 Leonardo Barroso D
16 Joel Waterman D
3 Jack Elliott D
14 Viktor Radojević D
6 Anton Salétros M
42 Dje Tah D'Avilla M
17 Robin Lod M
11 Philip Zinckernagel F
7 Maren Haile-Selassie F
19 Jonathan Bamba F

Substitutes

44 Josh Cohen G
24 Jonathan Dean D
15 Andrew Gutman D
5 Samuel Rogers D
35 Sergio Oregel M
22 Mauricio Pineda D
12 Puso Dithejane F
20 Jason Shokalook F
9 Robert Lewandowski F

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