Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia Previsão

FT
Post on X
Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza
Chamada de IA Independ. Rivadavia ou empate
29%
31%
39%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Gimnasia M. x Independ. Rivadavia: O Sportiko estima 29% de probabilidade de vitória para o Gimnasia M., 39% para o Independ. Rivadavia e 31% de empate. Atualizado 7 Nov 2026, 19:59.

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  • Visitante Marca 72%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
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Timeline

▮ 17'
José Florentín Red Card
▮ 20'
Emmanuel Gómez Riga Yellow Card
Fermin Antonini Yellow Card
21' ▮
▮ 21'
Matías Fernández Yellow Card
Germán Guiffrey assist: Facundo Lencioni
45' ⚽ 1–0
Fermin Antonini ⇄ Tomás O'Connor
45' ⇄
Germán Guiffrey ⇄ Luciano Cingolani
45' ⇄
Luciano Paredes Goal confirmed
45+1' 🖵
Cesar Rigamonti Yellow Card
45+5' ▮
HT 1–0
⇄ 56'
Gonzalo Ríos ⇄ Matías Fernández
Luciano Paredes Yellow Card
59' ▮
Luciano Cingolani Yellow Card
61' ▮
▮ 62'
Alex Arce Yellow Card
⇄ 72'
Tomas Bottari ⇄ Luis Sequeira
⇄ 72'
Alex Vigo ⇄ Matias Reali
Esteban Fernández ⇄ Matías Vargas
79' ⇄
⇄ 81'
Leonel Bucca ⇄ L. Díaz
⇄ 81'
Fabrizio Sartori ⇄ Stefano Moreyra
Luciano Cingolani Red Card
84' ▮
Tomás O'Connor Yellow Card
89' ▮
Facundo Lencioni ⇄ Juan Franco
90' ⇄
Agustín Modica ⇄ Nicolás Romano
90+2' ⇄
⚽ 1–1 90+5'
L. Díaz
FT 1–1
Gimnasia M.

Match Stats

Independ. Rivadavia
59% Ball Possession 41%
0.52 Expected Goals (xG) 0.34
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
0 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 3
17 Fouls 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 1
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
334 Total passes 236
243 Passes accurate 115
10 Free Kicks 17
Gimnasia M.
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
26 Facundo Lencioni M 7.7 90' – 1 – 26 (20%) 1
4 Ezequiel Muñoz D 7.6 90' – – 1 46 (36%) 2
16 Germán Guiffrey D 7.4 46' 1 – 1 26 (19%) 2
23 Cesar Rigamonti G 6.9 90' – – – 22 (14%) –
28 Tomás O'Connor M 6.9 44' – – – 26 (24%) 1
21 Fermin Antonini M 6.7 46' – – – 29 (23%) 1
3 Matias Recalde D 6.6 90' – – – 38 (27%) 1
30 Esteban Fernández M 6.5 79' – – 1 33 (29%) 4
8 Matías Vargas M 6.5 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
17 Ignacio Sabatini F 6.4 90' – – 2 8 (4%) –
9 Agustín Modica F 6.4 92' – – 4 8 (3%) –
42 Lautaro Carrera D 6.3 90' – – – 39 (21%) –
32 Luciano Paredes D 6.2 90' – – 1 21 (14%) 3
7 Luciano Cingolani F 5.8 38' – – – 3 (3%) –
Independ. Rivadavia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 L. Díaz F 8.2 9' 1 – 1 4 (2%) –
80 Matias Reali F 6.7 18' – – 1 1 –
30 Nicolás Bolcato G 6.7 90' – – – 31 (9%) –
40 Iván Villalba D 6.6 90' – – – 15 (8%) 5
28 Alex Vigo D 6.5 72' – – 1 13 (7%) –
43 Fabrizio Sartori F 6.4 81' – – 1 12 (6%) 1
77 Luis Sequeira M 6.4 18' – – 1 9 (7%) –
8 Leonel Bucca M 6.3 81' – – – 12 (6%) 5
11 Gonzalo Ríos M 6.2 56' – – – 13 (4%) 1
5 Tomas Bottari M 6.2 72' – – – 21 (14%) 4
34 Stefano Moreyra M 6.1 9' – – – 8 (4%) –
10 Matías Fernández M 6.1 34' – – 1 11 (7%) –
3 Juan Manuel Elordi D 5.9 90' – – 2 25 (13%) –
13 Alejo Osella D 5.8 90' – – 2 33 (17%) 2
9 Alex Arce F 5.7 90' – – 1 23 (8%) 1
25 José Florentín M 5.5 17' – – – 4 (3%) –
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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Independ. Rivadavia ou empate
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Gimnasia M.
DDLLW
Independ. Rivadavia
DWLDL
Last 1 meetings Gimnasia M. · 0W 0D 1L

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Gimnasia M. leads 1-0. Win probability: 87.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.2%.

45' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Gimnasia M. win: 76.3%. BTTS: 37.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Gimnasia M. leads. Win probability: 76.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 62.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
29%
45%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
39%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Gimnasia M.
A. Módica 14 gls
Independ. Rivadavia
J. Florentín 9 gls
A. Arce 9 gls
F. Sartori 8 gls

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Head to Head: Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia

0 Gimnasia M. Wins
0 Draws
1 Independ. Rivadavia Wins
Date Home Score Away
26 Apr 2026 Independ. Rivadavia 5 - 1 Gimnasia M.

Gimnasia M. — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Independ. Rivadavia D 1 - 1
01 Nov A Lanus D 1 - 1
23 Oct H Platense L 1 - 2
17 Oct A Velez Sarsfield L 1 - 0
12 Oct H Newells Old Boys W 1 - 0

Independ. Rivadavia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Gimnasia M. D 1 - 1
03 Nov H Banfield W 3 - 1
27 Oct A Argentinos JRS L 1 - 0
17 Oct H Tigre D 2 - 2
11 Oct A Rosario Central L 5 - 0

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

Clausura - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Instituto Cordoba
16 10 4 2 +11 34
2
Boca Juniors
16 9 6 1 +10 33
3
Velez Sarsfield
16 7 7 2 +8 28
4
Defensa Y Justicia
16 8 4 4 +6 28
5
Lanus
15 7 4 4 +7 25
6
Newells Old Boys
16 5 8 3 +3 23
7
Independiente
16 6 5 5 -1 23
8
Gimnasia M.
16 6 4 6 +1 22
9
Union Santa Fe
16 6 3 7 0 21
10
Platense
16 5 5 6 -2 20
11
San Lorenzo
16 5 4 7 -7 19
12
Estudiantes L.P.
16 4 4 8 -1 16
13
Talleres Cordoba
16 3 4 9 -6 13
14
Deportivo Riestra
16 2 6 8 -8 12
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago
15 2 4 9 -14 10

Clausura - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rosario Central
16 10 4 2 +14 34
2
Argentinos JRS
16 9 4 3 +6 31
3
Gimnasia L.P.
16 9 4 3 +5 31
4
River Plate
16 8 2 6 +7 26
5
Barracas Central
16 7 5 4 +4 26
6
Belgrano Cordoba
16 6 5 5 +2 23
7
Independ. Rivadavia
16 6 5 5 -3 23
8
Huracan
16 6 4 6 -2 22
9
Sarmiento Junin
16 6 3 7 -1 21
10
Tigre
16 5 4 7 0 19
11
Atletico Tucuman
16 4 6 6 -1 18
12
Banfield
16 3 6 7 -7 15
13
Racing Club
16 4 3 9 -8 15
14
Aldosivi
16 3 2 11 -10 11
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 2 3 11 -13 9

Independ. Rivadavia

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: A. Berti
30 Bolcato
3 Elordi
13 Osella
40 Villalba
28 Vigo
8 Bucca
25 Florentín
5 Bottari
11 Ríos
9 Arce
43 Sartori

Starting XI

# Player Pos
30 Nicolás Bolcato G
28 A. Vigo D
40 I. Villalba D
13 A. Osella D
3 J. Elordi D
11 G. Ríos M
5 T. Bottari M
25 J. Florentín M
8 L. Bucca M
43 F. Sartori F
9 A. Arce F

Substitutes

36 E. Bonifacio D
27 D. Crego M
23 L. Díaz F
10 M. Fernández M
21 Emmanuel Gómez G
34 S. Moreyra M
7 V. Ramis F
80 M. Reali F
77 L. Sequeira M
42 S. Studer D
32 K. Vázquez M
19 R. Atencio F

Gimnasia M.

Formation: 5-3-2 Coach: D. Franco
23 Rigamonti
3 Recalde
16 Guiffrey
4 Muñoz
42 Carrera
32 Paredes
26 Lencioni
21 Antonini
30 Fernández
9 Módica
17 Sabatini

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 C. Rigamonti G
32 L. Paredes D
42 L. Carrera D
4 E. Muñoz D
16 G. Guiffrey D
3 M. Recalde D
30 E. Fernández M
21 F. Antonini M
26 F. Lencioni M
17 I. Sabatini F
9 A. Módica F

Substitutes

5 N. Barboza M
33 B. Andrada F
7 L. Cingolani F
22 J. Franco D
28 T. O'Connor M
31 L. Petruchi G
11 S. Rodríguez F
10 N. Romano F
15 U. Sánchez M
25 M. Ubeda D
8 M. Vargas M
41 G. Patritti D

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