Bahia vs Atletico-MG Previsão

Serie A · Regular Season - 38

02 Dec 2026, 21:00

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Atletico-MG

Away

Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Bahia

54%

25%

21%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Bahia x Atletico-MG: O Sportiko estima 54% de probabilidade de vitória para o Bahia, 21% para o Atletico-MG e 25% de empate. Atualizado 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Bahia

LWWWW

Atletico-MG

DWLLW

Last 3 meetings Bahia · 1W 1D 1L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

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Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

21%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atletico-MG goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	7	3	1
1	13	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Bahia goals · most likely 1–0 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Bahia

Luciano Juba 9 gls

Atletico-MG

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Draw

25%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

25%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	7.0%	3.3%	1.0%	0.2%
1	12.6%	11.7%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.4%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	5.8%	5.4%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.4%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bahia	Draw	Atletico-MG
Bahia	21.5%	9.8%	8.4%
Draw	22.6%	10.2%	8.8%
Atletico-MG	10.1%	4.6%	4.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bahia vs Atletico-MG

1 Bahia Wins

1 Draws

1 Atletico-MG Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Jul 2026	Atletico-MG	1 - 1	Bahia
05 Nov 2025	Atletico-MG	3 - 0	Bahia
12 Jul 2025	Bahia	2 - 1	Atletico-MG

Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Bahia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Paranaense	L	2 - 1
14 Sep	H Remo	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A RB Bragantino	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Internacional	W	3 - 2
23 Aug	A Vitoria	W	0 - 2

Atletico-MG — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Chapecoense-sc	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H Fluminense	W	3 - 1
09 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 0
05 Sep	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 0
02 Sep	H Cruzeiro	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.