Sao Paulo vs Corinthians Previsão

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 34
FT
Post on X
Chamada de IA Sao Paulo ou empate
46%
29%
25%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Sao Paulo x Corinthians: O Sportiko estima 46% de probabilidade de vitória para o Sao Paulo, 25% para o Corinthians e 29% de empate. Atualizado 5 Nov 2026, 02:32.

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  • Mandante ou Empate 75%
  • Mais de 1,5 Gols 70%
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Timeline

Djhordney Ferreira Yellow Card
31' ▮
▮ 31'
Matheus Pereira Red Card
⇄ 41'
Rodrigo Garro ⇄ Vitinho
▮ 45+1'
André Ramalho Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Artur ⇄ Jonathan Calleri
46' ⇄
Djhordney Ferreira ⇄ Pablo Maia
46' ⇄
▮ 52'
Pedro Milans Yellow Card
Pedro Lima Yellow Card
60' ▮
Newton Yellow Card
61' ▮
⇄ 62'
Kaio César ⇄ M. Depay
⇄ 62'
André Ramalho ⇄ André Carrillo
▮ 67'
M. Depay Yellow Card
Luciano Yellow Card
67' ▮
Lucas Moura ⇄ Ferreirinha
71' ⇄
▮ 82'
Yuri Alberto Red Card
Luciano ⇄ Gustavo Santana
85' ⇄
Damián Bobadilla ⇄ Pedro Ferreira
86' ⇄
Ferreirinha Yellow Card
89' ▮
FT 0–0
Sao Paulo

Match Stats

Corinthians
52% Ball Possession 48%
1.72 Expected Goals (xG) 1.24
16 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 8
12 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 9
6 Corner Kicks 8
3 Offsides 1
12 Fouls 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 2
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
354 Total passes 336
288 Passes accurate 262
81% Passes % 78%
0.68 goals_prevented 0.68
Sao Paulo
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Rafael G 7.9 88' – – – 25 (15%) –
32 Pedro Lima D 7.5 88' – – 3 19 (16%) 2
16 Damián Bobadilla M 7.3 86' – – – 44 (40%) 2
12 Iago Borduchi D 7.3 88' – – – 35 (24%) 3
7 Lucas Moura M 7.3 71' – – 1 16 (9%) 2
11 Ferreirinha F 7.2 17' – – 1 12 (10%) –
5 Robert Arboleda D 7.0 88' – – 1 41 (35%) 1
2 Rafael Tolói D 7.0 88' – – – 52 (44%) 1
29 Pablo Maia M 6.7 43' – – – 24 (22%) 1
48 Djhordney Ferreira M 6.7 45' – – – 19 (16%) 2
37 Artur M 6.6 45' – – 2 6 (4%) –
10 Luciano F 6.6 85' – – 5 12 (11%) –
9 Jonathan Calleri F 6.5 43' – – 1 6 (4%) –
28 Newton M 6.3 88' – – 1 42 (37%) 1
43 Gustavo Santana F — 3' – – – – –
46 Pedro Ferreira M — 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
Corinthians
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 André Ramalho D 7.5 88' – – – 55 (48%) 3
1 Hugo Souza G 7.3 88' – – – 25 (18%) –
13 Gustavo Henrique D 7.2 88' – – 1 39 (37%) 1
7 Breno Bidon M 7.2 84' – – – 36 (30%) 2
26 Fabrizio Angileri D 7.2 88' – – – 26 (16%) –
37 Kaio César M 6.9 62' – – – 21 (16%) 3
8 Rodrigo Garro M 6.9 41' – – 1 11 (10%) –
20 Pedro Milans D 6.7 84' – – 1 41 (32%) 2
19 André Carrillo M 6.7 26' – – – 9 (9%) –
11 Vitinho F 6.7 47' – – 2 24 (16%) –
49 André Luiz M 6.5 62' – – 2 14 (9%) 1
10 M. Depay F 6.3 26' – – – 8 (3%) –
21 Matheus Bidu M 6.3 88' – – 1 12 (7%) 2
9 Yuri Alberto F 6.3 82' – – 2 15 (11%) –
4 João Pedro Tchoca D — 4' – – – – –
35 Charles M — 4' – – – – –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Sao Paulo ou empate
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Sao Paulo
DLDWW
Corinthians
DWLDL
Last 3 meetings Sao Paulo · 1W 0D 2L

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 72.7%. Late goal chance: 29%.

63' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Corinthians win: 65.1%. BTTS: 39.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 66.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 31.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
45%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Sao Paulo
J. Calleri 10 gls
Luciano 9 gls
Corinthians

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Sao Paulo vs Corinthians

1 Sao Paulo Wins
0 Draws
2 Corinthians Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 May 2026 Corinthians 3 - 2 Sao Paulo
20 Nov 2025 Corinthians 3 - 1 Sao Paulo
19 Jul 2025 Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Corinthians
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Sao Paulo — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Corinthians D 0 - 0
29 Oct A Bahia L 3 - 2
24 Oct A Mirassol D 1 - 1
18 Oct H Vasco DA Gama W 1 - 0
11 Oct H Vitoria W 2 - 1

Corinthians — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Sao Paulo D 0 - 0
30 Oct H Mirassol W 2 - 0
24 Oct A Vasco DA Gama L 3 - 2
19 Oct H Vitoria D 1 - 1
11 Oct A Palmeiras L 4 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Flamengo
34 23 7 4 +42 76
2
Palmeiras
34 21 10 3 +39 73
3
Cruzeiro
34 18 6 10 +7 60
4
Fluminense
34 16 9 9 +13 57
5
Atletico Paranaense
34 15 9 10 +8 54
6
Bahia
34 14 11 9 +5 53
7
Atletico-MG
34 14 8 12 +4 50
8
RB Bragantino
34 13 8 13 +5 47
9
Santos
34 12 11 11 +1 47
10
Sao Paulo
34 12 8 14 0 44
11
Botafogo
34 11 9 14 -7 42
12
Coritiba
34 11 9 14 -11 42
13
Vasco DA Gama
33 11 8 14 -7 41
14
Mirassol
34 10 10 14 -9 40
15
Vitoria
34 10 8 16 -16 38
16
Internacional
34 9 11 14 -4 38
17
Corinthians
34 9 10 15 -6 37
18
Gremio
34 9 10 15 -9 37
19
Remo
34 6 11 17 -20 29
20
Chapecoense B
20 1 7 12 -22 10
20
Chapecoense-sc
33 4 9 20 -35 21

Sao Paulo

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
23 Rafael
2 Tolói
5 Arboleda
28 Newton
12 Borduchi
48 Djhordney
16 Bobadilla
32 Lima
7 Moura
37 Artur
10 Luciano

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Rafael G
28 Newton D
5 Robert Arboleda D
2 Rafael Tolói D
32 Pedro Lima M
16 Damián Bobadilla M
48 Djhordney M
12 Iago Borduchi M
37 Artur F
7 Lucas Moura F
10 Luciano F

Substitutes

31 Carlos Coronel G
54 Luis Osorio D
19 Lucas Ramon D
18 Wendell D
27 Victor Sá F
94 Danielzinho M
11 Ferreirinha F
29 Pablo Maia M
46 Pedro Ferreira M
45 Lucca F
9 Jonathan Calleri F
43 Gustavo Santana F

Corinthians

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Souza
26 Angileri
13 Henrique
5 Ramalho
20 Milans
21 Bidu
49 Luiz
7 Bidon
8 Garro
37 César
9 Alberto

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Hugo Souza G
20 Pedro Milans D
5 André Ramalho D
13 Gustavo Henrique D
26 Fabrizio Angileri D
49 André Luiz M
21 Matheus Bidu M
37 Kaio César M
8 Rodrigo Garro M
7 Breno Bidon M
9 Yuri Alberto F

Substitutes

51 Kauê Camargo G
46 Hugo D
4 João Pedro Tchoca D
35 Charles M
29 Allan M
23 Matheus Pereira M
61 Dieguinho M
19 André Carrillo M
18 Pedro Raul F
11 Vitinho F
10 Memphis Depay F
56 Gui Negão F

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