Flamengo vs Fluminense Previsão
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Chamada de IA
Vitória ou empate difícil do Flamengo
63%
24%
14%
Vitória do Mandante
Empate
Vitória do Visitante
Palpite Flamengo x Fluminense: O Sportiko estima 63% de probabilidade de vitória para o Flamengo, 14% para o Fluminense e 24% de empate. Atualizado 11 Oct 2026, 22:34.
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Timeline
Erick Pulgar
Yellow Card
31'
▮
▮
39'
Luciano Acosta
Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Saúl Ñíguez
Yellow Card
49'
▮
▮
57'
Agustín Canobbio
Yellow Card
⇄
60'
Luciano Acosta
⇄ Ganso
⇄
60'
Yeferson Soteldo
⇄ Kevin Serna
Pedro
⇄ Bruno Henrique
64'
⇄
Saúl Ñíguez
⇄ Joaquin Freitas
64'
⇄
Jorge Carrascal
assist: Lucas Paquetá
65'
⚽
1–0
⇄
69'
Rodrigo Castillo
⇄ Hulk
⇄
69'
Agustín Canobbio
⇄ Jefferson Savarino
⇄
78'
Martinelli
⇄ Wesley Nata
Samuel Lino
⇄ Nicolás de la Cruz
79'
⇄
Lucas Paquetá
⇄ Gonzalo Plata
79'
⇄
▮
83'
Ignácio
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Guilherme Arana
Yellow Card
Jorge Carrascal
⇄ Danilo
90'
⇄
Joaquin Freitas
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
FT 1–0
Flamengo
Match Stats
Fluminense
43%
Ball Possession
57%
1.72
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
3
7
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
4
8
Shots insidebox
6
9
Shots outsidebox
5
4
Corner Kicks
2
21
Fouls
18
3
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5
426
Total passes
559
379
Passes accurate
498
18
Free Kicks
21
Flamengo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jorge Carrascal M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (24%) | – |
| 11 Lucas Paquetá M | 7.7 | 79' | – | 1 | 3 | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 3 Léo Ortiz D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (53%) | 1 |
| 4 Léo Pereira D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (49%) | 1 |
| 26 Alex Sandro D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | 4 |
| 2 Guillermo Varela D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (30%) | – |
| 5 Erick Pulgar M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (57%) | 4 |
| 1 Agustín Rossi G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 18 Nicolás de la Cruz M | 6.9 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 6 (5%) | 2 |
| 16 Samuel Lino M | 6.9 | 79' | – | – | 3 | 37 (31%) | 3 |
| 8 Saúl Ñíguez M | 6.7 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 28 (25%) | – |
| 19 Gonzalo Plata F | 6.6 | 11' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | – |
| 27 Bruno Henrique F | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 30 Joaquin Freitas F | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 9 Pedro F | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | 2 | 13 (10%) | 1 |
Fluminense
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fábio G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | – |
| 8 Martinelli M | 7.2 | 78' | – | – | 3 | 60 (57%) | 1 |
| 29 Julián Millán D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (55%) | 6 |
| 32 Luciano Acosta M | 7.0 | 60' | – | – | – | 31 (30%) | – |
| 10 Ganso M | 7.0 | 30' | – | – | – | 35 (33%) | – |
| 19 Rodrigo Castillo F | 6.8 | 69' | – | – | 4 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 30 Yeferson Soteldo M | 6.7 | 60' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 2 Samuel Xavier D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (61%) | 2 |
| 16 Nonato M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (55%) | 5 |
| 11 Jefferson Savarino F | 6.4 | 21' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 1 |
| 7 Hulk F | 6.4 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 5 (2%) | – |
| 90 Kevin Serna F | 6.3 | 30' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 34 Wesley Nata F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 17 Agustín Canobbio M | 6.2 | 69' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 1 |
| 13 Guilherme Arana D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (35%) | 2 |
| 4 Ignácio D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (59%) | – |
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Confidence
Medium (63%)
At a glance
Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Flamengo
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Flamengo
WWWWD
Fluminense
WWLWL
Last 3 meetings
Flamengo · 1W 1D 1L
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
63%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
14%
10%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Flamengo
Pedro
20 gls
Samuel Lino
12 gls
Fluminense
John Kennedy
9 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Flamengo vs Fluminense
1
Flamengo Wins
1
Draws
1
Fluminense Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Fluminense | 1 - 2 | Flamengo |
| 08 Mar 2026 | Fluminense | 0 - 0 | Flamengo |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Fluminense | 2 - 1 | Flamengo |
Flamengo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | H Gremio | W | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Oct | A Vasco DA Gama | W | 1 - 4 |
| 26 Oct | H Atletico-MG | W | 3 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A Bahia | W | 0 - 3 |
| 16 Oct | A Estudiantes L.P. | D | 0 - 0 |
Fluminense — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Vitoria | W | 0 - 3 |
| 28 Oct | H Internacional | W | 2 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | A Chapecoense-sc | L | 2 - 1 |
| 22 Oct | A Palmeiras | W | 0 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Santos | L | 1 - 2 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Flamengo
|
34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71 | 29 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |
Palmeiras
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62 | 23 | +39 | 73 |
| 3 |
Cruzeiro
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 48 | +7 | 60 |
| 4 |
Fluminense
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 42 | +13 | 57 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 43 | +8 | 54 |
| 6 |
Bahia
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 45 | +5 | 53 |
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
|
34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44 | 40 | +4 | 50 |
| 8 |
RB Bragantino
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | +5 | 47 |
| 9 |
Santos
|
34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50 | 49 | +1 | 47 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo
|
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 44 |
| 11 |
Botafogo
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 12 |
Coritiba
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |
Mirassol
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 40 |
| 15 |
Vitoria
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 38 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 38 |
| 17 |
Corinthians
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 37 |
| 18 |
Gremio
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 37 |
| 19 |
Remo
|
34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 29 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense B
|
20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
| 20 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 21 |
Fluminense
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Marcão
1
Fábio
13
Arana
29
Millán
4
Ignacio
2
Xavier
8
Martinelli
16
Nonato
30
Soteldo
32
Acosta
17
Canobbio
19
Castillo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fábio | G |
| 2 | Samuel Xavier | D |
| 4 | Ignacio | D |
| 29 | J. Millán | D |
| 13 | Guilherme Arana | D |
| 16 | Nonato | M |
| 8 | Martinelli | M |
| 17 | A. Canobbio | M |
| 32 | L. Acosta | M |
| 30 | Y. Soteldo | M |
| 19 | R. Castillo | F |
Substitutes
| 3 | Thiago Silva | D |
| 22 | J. Freytes | D |
| 94 | Otávio | M |
| 35 | Hércules | M |
| 21 | Igor Rabello | D |
| 23 | Guga | D |
| 11 | J. Savarino | F |
| 90 | K. Serna | F |
| 7 | Hulk | F |
| 34 | Wesley Nata | F |
| 98 | Vitor Eudes | G |
| 10 | PH Ganso | M |
Flamengo
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
1
Rossi
26
Sandro
4
Pereira
3
Ortiz
2
Varela
8
Saúl
5
Pulgar
16
Lino
11
Paquetá
15
Carrascal
9
Pedro
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Rossi | G |
| 2 | G. Varela | D |
| 3 | Léo Ortiz | D |
| 4 | Léo Pereira | D |
| 26 | Alex Sandro | D |
| 5 | E. Pulgar | M |
| 8 | Saúl | M |
| 15 | J. Carrascal | M |
| 11 | Lucas Paquetá | M |
| 16 | Samuel Lino | M |
| 9 | Pedro | F |
Substitutes
| 22 | Emerson Royal | D |
| 30 | J. Freitas | F |
| 77 | Johnny Góes | D |
| 27 | Bruno Henrique | F |
| 19 | G. Plata | F |
| 14 | A. Valencia | F |
| 44 | Vitão | D |
| 42 | Andrew | G |
| 13 | Danilo | D |
| 7 | Luiz Araújo | F |
| 18 | N. de la Cruz | M |
| 49 | Dyogo | G |