RB Bragantino vs Bahia Previsão

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

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RB Bragantino

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2 : 3

HT 2 - 2

Bahia

Away

Chamada de IA RB Bragantino ou empate

43%

28%

29%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite RB Bragantino x Bahia: O Sportiko estima 43% de probabilidade de vitória para o RB Bragantino, 29% para o Bahia e 28% de empate. Atualizado 5 Sep 2026, 21:07.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Visitante Marca 71%
Menos de 3,5 Gols 70%

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Timeline

Lucas Barbosa assist: Wallace Yan

14' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 34'

Luciano Juba Penalty

⚽ 1–2 38'

Alejo Véliz assist: Rodrigo Nestor

Fernando Yellow Card

43' ▮

Santiago Ramos Mingo Own Goal

45+1' ⚽ 2–2

HT 2–2

⚽ 2–3 50'

Erick assist: Rodrigo Nestor

▮ 51'

Erick Yellow Card

▮ 62'

Luciano Juba Yellow Card

⇄ 68'

Erick ⇄ Jean Lucas

⇄ 68'

Erick Pulga ⇄ Ademir

José Herrera ⇄ Henry Mosquera

68' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Rodrigo Nestor ⇄ Michel Araújo

⇄ 78'

Nicolás Acevedo ⇄ Caio Alexandre

⇄ 82'

Alejo Véliz ⇄ Willian José

Lucas Barbosa

82' ⇄

José Andrés Hurtado ⇄ Ryan Augusto

82' ⇄

Wallace Yan ⇄ Vinicinho

82' ⇄

Rodriguinho ⇄ Gustavo Neves

90+4' ⇄

FT 2–3

RB Bragantino

Match Stats

Bahia

51% Ball Possession 49%

24 Total Shots 11

10 Shots on Goal 5

8 Shots off Goal 5

6 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 10

12 Shots outsidebox 1

10 Corner Kicks 8

1 Offsides 0

11 Fouls 17

1 Yellow Cards 2

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 9

390 Total passes 378

326 Passes accurate 311

16 Free Kicks 10

RB Bragantino

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Lucas Barbosa M	8.0	82'	1	–	5	23 (18%)	2
47 Wallace Yan M	7.7	82'	–	1	3	26 (20%)	2
16 Gustavo Marques D	6.9	90'	–	–	2	43 (37%)	2
20 Rodriguinho M	6.8	94'	–	–	4	30 (26%)	2
17 Vinicinho F	6.7	8'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
34 José Andrés Hurtado D	6.6	82'	–	–	–	37 (31%)	2
4 Alix Vinicius D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	36 (32%)	3
29 Juninho Capixaba D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	50 (42%)	2
Seamus Maughan	6.4	8'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
11 Fernando F	6.4	90'	–	–	3	21 (16%)	1
30 Henry Mosquera F	6.4	22'	–	–	2	9 (8%)	–
32 José Herrera M	6.2	68'	–	–	3	21 (17%)	–
5 Fabinho M	6.2	90'	–	–	–	62 (51%)	1
52 Ryan Augusto D	6.1	8'	–	–	1	8 (8%)	–
18 Tiago Volpi G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	–

Bahia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Ronaldo G	8.6	90'	–	–	–	38 (28%)	–
11 Rodrigo Nestor M	8.3	78'	–	2	1	20 (16%)	–
9 Alejo Véliz F	8.0	82'	1	–	4	10 (7%)	–
14 Erick M	7.3	68'	1	–	2	16 (12%)	5
46 Luciano Juba D	6.9	90'	1	–	1	39 (33%)	4
33 David Duarte D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	50 (44%)	–
7 Ademir F	6.6	22'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	1
16 Erick Pulga F	6.5	68'	–	–	2	22 (17%)	–
12 Willian José F	6.4	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
5 Nicolás Acevedo M	6.3	78'	–	–	–	37 (32%)	1
99 Cristian Olivera F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–
31 Román Gómez D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	41 (33%)	–
6 Jean Lucas M	6.1	22'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	2
8 Caio Alexandre M	6.0	12'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
15 Michel Araújo M	5.9	12'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	52 (47%)	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

RB Bragantino ou empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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RB Bragantino

LDLLW

Bahia

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings RB Bragantino · 0W 0D 3L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

29%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bahia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	6	5	2	1
1	8	13	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5		1

↑ RB Bragantino goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

RB Bragantino

No scorer data.

Bahia

Luciano Juba 9 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Away Win

29%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	6.1%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
1	8.1%	13.5%	7.3%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.2%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.9%	4.8%	2.9%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.5%	1.9%	1.1%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	RB Bragantino	Draw	Bahia
RB Bragantino	29.6%	5.2%	2.0%
Draw	12.9%	17.1%	10.9%
Bahia	1.8%	3.9%	16.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: RB Bragantino vs Bahia

0 RB Bragantino Wins

0 Draws

3 Bahia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Mar 2026	Bahia	2 - 0	RB Bragantino
02 Nov 2025	Bahia	2 - 1	RB Bragantino
12 Jun 2025	RB Bragantino	0 - 3	Bahia

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RB Bragantino — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Flamengo	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Botafogo	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Bahia	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A Sao Paulo	L	2 - 1
23 Aug	H Gremio	W	1 - 0

Bahia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Paranaense	L	2 - 1
14 Sep	H Remo	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A RB Bragantino	W	2 - 3
30 Aug	H Internacional	W	3 - 2
23 Aug	A Vitoria	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Bahia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Rogério Ceni

1 Ronaldo

46 Juba

21 Ramos

33 Duarte

31 Gomez

11 Nestor

5 Acevedo

14 Erick

16 Pulga

9 Véliz

99 Olivera

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ronaldo	G
31	Roman Gomez	D
33	David Duarte	D
21	S. Ramos	D
46	Luciano Juba	D
14	Erick	M
5	N. Acevedo	M
11	Rodrigo Nestor	M
99	C. Olivera	F
9	A. Véliz	F
16	Erick Pulga	F

Substitutes

66	Zé Guilherme	D
7	Ademir	F
8	Caio Alexandre	M
12	Willian José	F
77	Ruan Pablo	F
15	M. Araújo	M
44	Marcos Victor	D
57	Çağatay Yılmaz	F
4	Kanu	D
6	Jean Lucas	M
17	G. Herrera	G
10	Éverton Ribeiro	M

RB Bragantino

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou

18 Volpi

29 Capixaba

16 Marques

4 Alix

34 Hurtado

20 Rodriguinho

5 Fabinho

47 Wallace

21 Barbosa

32 Herrera

11 Fernando

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Tiago Volpi	G
34	J. Hurtado	D
4	Alix	D
16	Gustavo Marques	D
29	Juninho Capixaba	D
5	Fabinho	M
20	Rodriguinho	M
32	J. Herrera	M
21	Lucas Barbosa	M
47	Wallace	M
11	Fernando	F

Substitutes

1	Cleiton	G
17	Vinicius	F
52	Ryan Tavares	D
2	Guzmán Rodríguez	D
14	Pedro Henrique	D
30	Henry Mosquera	F
35	Matheus Fernandes	M
51	Cauê Nascimento Santos	D
7	Eric Ramires	M
6	Gabriel	M
22	Gustavinho	M
67	Jhuan Nunes Coelho	F