Cruzeiro vs Flamengo Previsão

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

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Cruzeiro

Home

2 : 1

HT 0 - 1

Flamengo

Away

Chamada de IA Flamengo ou empate

25%

27%

48%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Cruzeiro x Flamengo: O Sportiko estima 25% de probabilidade de vitória para o Cruzeiro, 48% para o Flamengo e 27% de empate. Atualizado 23 Aug 2026, 01:28.

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Empate ou Visitante 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

Fabrício Bruno Yellow Card

20' ▮

⚽ 0–1 22'

Pedro assist: Giorgian de Arrascaeta

João Marcelo Yellow Card

36' ▮

HT 0–1

João Costa ⇄ Wesley

46' ⇄

Keny Arroyo assist: Matheus Henrique

55' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 63'

Giorgian de Arrascaeta ⇄ Jorginho

⇄ 63'

Samuel Lino ⇄ Gonzalo Plata

⇄ 72'

Erick Pulgar ⇄ Evertton Araujo

⇄ 72'

Lucas Paquetá ⇄ Bruno Henrique

Lucas Romero ⇄ Gerson

75' ⇄

Keny Arroyo ⇄ Kaique Kenji

75' ⇄

Kaio Jorge ⇄ Néiser Villarreal

75' ⇄

▮ 82'

Bruno Henrique Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

Pedro ⇄ Luiz Araújo

Wesley Yellow Card

86' ▮

Matheus Henrique ⇄ Zé Lucas

86' ⇄

Matheus Pereira assist: Lucas Villalba

90+6' ⚽ 2–1

FT 2–1

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Flamengo ou empate

Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Cruzeiro

WLWLL

Flamengo

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Cruzeiro · 0W 1D 2L

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

25%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

48%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Flamengo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	10	7	3	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Cruzeiro goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Cruzeiro

Matheus Pereira 9 gls

Flamengo

Pedro 16 gls

Samuel Lino 9 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

27%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

48%

Draw

27%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	9.7%	10.5%	6.6%	3.2%
1	4.2%	12.0%	10.1%	6.4%	3.0%
2	2.7%	5.1%	4.8%	3.1%	1.5%
3	0.9%	1.6%	1.6%	1.0%	0.5%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruzeiro	Draw	Flamengo
Cruzeiro	9.6%	3.9%	2.8%
Draw	7.1%	15.3%	19.7%
Flamengo	1.2%	3.8%	36.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

11%

Away Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

0 Cruzeiro Wins

1 Draws

2 Flamengo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Aug 2026	Flamengo	2 - 1	Cruzeiro
12 Mar 2026	Flamengo	2 - 0	Cruzeiro
02 Oct 2025	Flamengo	0 - 0	Cruzeiro

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Cruzeiro — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Vitoria	W	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Santos	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Atletico Paranaense	W	3 - 1
02 Sep	A Atletico-MG	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	A Vasco DA Gama	L	3 - 1

Flamengo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Bragantino	W	2 - 1
18 Sep	H Independiente del Valle	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Corinthians	W	2 - 1
11 Sep	A Independiente del Valle	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Remo	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	18	6	4	55	23	+32	60
2	Palmeiras	28	16	9	3	47	21	+26	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	7	7	43	32	+11	49
4	Fluminense	28	13	9	6	44	36	+8	48
5	Bahia	28	12	10	6	43	35	+8	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42	40	+2	45
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	7	9	36	32	+4	40
8	Santos	27	10	8	9	41	40	+1	38
9	Coritiba	28	10	8	10	37	43	-6	38
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	6	11	33	31	+2	36
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	6	11	32	30	+2	36
12	Botafogo	28	9	8	11	41	45	-4	35
13	Vitoria	28	9	6	13	28	42	-14	33
14	Corinthians	28	8	8	12	29	32	-3	32
15	Mirassol	28	8	8	12	33	42	-9	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	8	7	12	34	41	-7	31
17	Gremio	28	7	8	13	30	38	-8	29
18	Internacional	28	6	10	12	30	36	-6	28
19	Remo	28	5	8	15	32	47	-15	23
20	Chapecoense B	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22	10
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	9	15	29	53	-24	18

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.