Metz vs Toulouse Previsão

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

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Toulouse

Away

Stade Saint-Symphorien, Longeville-lès-Metz

Chamada de IA Toulouse ou empate

17%

38%

46%

Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Metz x Toulouse: O Sportiko estima 17% de probabilidade de vitória para o Metz, 46% para o Toulouse e 38% de empate. Atualizado 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência

Toulouse ou empate

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Metz

DLWDD

Toulouse

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Metz · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on March 15, 2026, Metz will host Toulouse at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz has struggled for consistency this season, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, with a home win rate of only 30%. Conversely, Toulouse has shown more resilience, particularly in away fixtures, winning 45% of their matches on the road. Key players to watch will be Metz's forward, who has scored 8 goals this season, against Toulouse's midfield engine, contributing both goals and assists. This match could be pivotal for Metz in their relegation battle, while Toulouse aims to secure a mid-table position.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

10%

Draw

38%

45%

Away

46%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	27	24	11	3	1
1	11	10	5	1
2	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Metz goals · most likely 0–0 (26.7%)

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Head to Head: Metz vs Toulouse

0 Metz Wins

0 Draws

3 Toulouse Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Oct 2025	Toulouse	4 - 0	Metz
14 Jan 2024	Metz	0 - 1	Toulouse
01 Oct 2023	Toulouse	3 - 0	Metz

Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74	29	+45	76
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66	35	+31	70
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52	37	+15	61
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53	40	+13	60
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63	45	+18	59
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59	50	+9	59
7	Monaco	34	16	6	12	60	54	+6	54
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58	47	+11	53
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3	45
10	Toulouse	33	12	8	13	47	46	+1	44
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3	44
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12	39
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19	36
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12	35
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	34
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23	32
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23	23
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44	17

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.