AC Milan vs Atalanta Previsão
Palpite AC Milan x Atalanta: O Sportiko estima 65% de probabilidade de vitória para o AC Milan, 14% para o Atalanta e 22% de empate. Atualizado 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
AC Milan suffered a damaging home defeat to Atalanta at San Siro, going down 2-0 at the break despite dominating possession. Éderson opened the scoring in the seventh minute before Davide Zappacosta doubled the advantage on 29 minutes, with Rafael Leão also picking up a yellow card before half-time. The scoreline flattered the visitors, who managed just nine total shots to Milan's 20, with the hosts posting an expected goals figure of 2.21 against Atalanta's 1.38.
The second half brought further misery when Giacomo Raspadori extended Atalanta's lead to three shortly after the restart, effectively killing the contest. Milan's late rally produced two goals — Strahinja Pavlović pulling one back on 88 minutes before Christopher Nkunku converted a stoppage-time penalty — but it proved too little, too late.
Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 65%, a call that did not hold up. The result leaves Milan's Serie A campaign under significant pressure, while Atalanta claimed a composed and clinical victory on the road.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AC Milan
Match Stats
AC Milan
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Christopher Nkunku F | 8.5 | 45' | 1 | – | 4 | 20 (19%) | – |
| 4 Samuele Ricci M | 7.6 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 51 (48%) | 2 |
| 31 Strahinja Pavlović D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 74 (70%) | 2 |
| 2 Pervis Estupiñán D | 7.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 7 Santiago Giménez F | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 56 Alexis Saelemaekers M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (31%) | 2 |
| 12 Adrien Rabiot M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 42 (39%) | 1 |
| 24 Zachary Athekame D | 6.9 | 32' | – | – | 1 | 15 (12%) | – |
| 19 Youssouf Fofana M | 6.7 | 32' | – | – | – | 20 (15%) | – |
| 46 Matteo Gabbia D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (62%) | 3 |
| 10 Rafael Leão F | 6.6 | 58' | – | – | 3 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 9 Niclas Füllkrug F | 6.6 | 32' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M | 6.5 | 45' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | – |
| 16 Mike Maignan G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 33 Davide Bartesaghi M | 6.2 | 80' | – | – | – | 41 (34%) | – |
| 5 Koni De Winter D | 6.0 | 58' | – | – | – | 65 (56%) | 1 |
Atalanta
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Marco Carnesecchi G | 8.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (19%) | – |
| 13 Éderson M | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 40 (37%) | 2 |
| 18 Giacomo Raspadori F | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (22%) | 2 |
| 77 Davide Zappacosta M | 7.2 | 55' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 4 Isak Hien D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | 4 |
| 42 Giorgio Scalvini D | 6.9 | 48' | – | – | – | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 17 Charles De Ketelaere F | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 40 (32%) | 1 |
| 59 Nicola Zalewski M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (26%) | 1 |
| 3 Odilon Kossounou D | 6.6 | 15' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | – |
| 8 Mario Pašalić M | 6.6 | 27' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (36%) | 3 |
| 16 Raoul Bellanova D | 6.2 | 35' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 69 Honest Ahanor D | 6.2 | 27' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 23 Sead Kolašinac D | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (38%) | 1 |
| 90 Nikola Krstović F | 6.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 20 (17%) | 1 |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Diego Moreira
3 gls
A. Rabiot
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AC Milan vs Atalanta
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | Atalanta | 1 - 1 | AC Milan |
| 20 Apr 2025 | AC Milan | 0 - 1 | Atalanta |
| 06 Dec 2024 | Atalanta | 2 - 1 | AC Milan |
AC Milan — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lecce | W | 3 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | H Benfica | L | 0 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lazio | D | 2 - 2 |
| 06 Sep | A Juventus | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Venezia | W | 2 - 0 |
Atalanta — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Cagliari | L | 1 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | A Hapoel Tel Aviv | W | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AC Milan
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | M. Maignan | G |
| 5 | K. De Winter | D |
| 46 | M. Gabbia | D |
| 31 | S. Pavlovic | D |
| 56 | A. Saelemaekers | M |
| 8 | R. Loftus-Cheek | M |
| 4 | S. Ricci | M |
| 12 | A. Rabiot | M |
| 33 | D. Bartesaghi | M |
| 7 | S. Gimenez | F |
| 10 | R. Leao | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | P. Terracciano | G |
| 37 | M. Pittarella | G |
| 18 | C. Nkunku | F |
| 2 | P. Estupinan | D |
| 24 | Z. Athekame | D |
| 9 | N. Fullkrug | F |
| 19 | Y. Fofana | M |
| 30 | A. Jashari | M |
| 27 | D. Odogu | D |
Atalanta
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Raffaele Palladino
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | M. Carnesecchi | G |
| 42 | G. Scalvini | D |
| 4 | I. Hien | D |
| 23 | S. Kolasinac | D |
| 77 | D. Zappacosta | M |
| 15 | M. De Roon | M |
| 13 | Ederson | M |
| 59 | N. Zalewski | M |
| 17 | C. De Ketelaere | F |
| 18 | G. Raspadori | F |
| 90 | N. Krstovic | F |
Substitutes
| 57 | M. Sportiello | G |
| 31 | F. Rossi | G |
| 16 | R. Bellanova | D |
| 6 | Y. Musah | M |
| 7 | K. Sulemana | F |
| 45 | D. Vavassori | F |
| 40 | R. Obric | D |
| 69 | H. Ahanor | D |
| 8 | M. Pasalic | M |
| 9 | G. Scamacca | F |
| 5 | M. Bakker | D |
| 3 | O. Kossounou | D |
| 10 | L. Samardzic | M |