Napoli vs Lazio Previsão

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 33
FT
Post on X
Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Napoli
58%
21%
21%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Napoli x Lazio: O Sportiko estima 58% de probabilidade de vitória para o Napoli, 21% para o Lazio e 21% de empate. Atualizado 27 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Lazio claimed a commanding 2-0 victory at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, inflicting a damaging home defeat on Napoli in Matchday 33 of Serie A. Matteo Cancellieri struck early, finding the net in the sixth minute to give the visitors a lead they would never relinquish, and Lazio headed into half-time with their advantage intact.

The second half brought more of the same, with Toma Bašić doubling Lazio's lead on 57 minutes to effectively settle the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Napoli win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. The hosts struggled to impose themselves throughout, managing zero corners across the entire match while Lazio generated 12, though the away side's clinical efficiency was reflected in their finishing rather than their expected goals figure of just 0.51 compared to Napoli's 2.27.

Despite the xG numbers favouring the home side, Napoli failed to convert any of their seven shots on target, leaving their afternoon one of deep frustration. Lazio's disciplined defensive structure and early control of possession — 67% across the 90 minutes — proved decisive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 6'
Matteo Cancellieri assist: Kenneth Taylor
Stanislav Lobotka Yellow Card
29'
33'
Danilo Cataldi Yellow Card
HT 0–1
Kevin De Bruyne ⇄ Eljif Elmas
46'
Frank Anguissa ⇄ Alisson Santos
46'
0–2 57'
Toma Bašić assist: Matteo Cancellieri
60'
Kenneth Taylor Yellow Card
61'
Danilo Cataldi ⇄ Patric
61'
Mattia Zaccagni ⇄ Boulaye Dia
61'
⇄ Oliver Provstgaard
Leonardo Spinazzola ⇄ Miguel Gutiérrez
63'
Stanislav Lobotka ⇄ Giovane
63'
71'
Toma Bašić ⇄ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
Matteo Politano ⇄ Pasquale Mazzocchi
72'
82'
Manuel Lazzari ⇄ Elseid Hysaj
90+1'
Boulaye Dia Yellow Card
FT 0–2
Napoli

Match Stats

Lazio
67% Ball Possession 33%
0.51 Expected Goals (xG) 2.27
12 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Goal 7
8 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 9
4 Shots outsidebox 5
12 Corner Kicks 0
2 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 0
648 Total passes 334
599 Passes accurate 274
92% Passes % 82%
0.00 goals_prevented 0.00
Napoli
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
17 Mathías Olivera D 7.3 90' 1 105 (96%) 5
32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G 7.2 90' 22 (19%)
8 Scott McTominay F 7.0 90' 46 (41%) 1
4 Alessandro Buongiorno D 6.9 90' 103 (102%) 1
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D 6.9 27' 14 (13%)
27 Alisson Santos F 6.9 45' 1 23 (20%)
21 Matteo Politano M 6.9 72' 1 35 (30%)
37 Leonardo Spinazzola M 6.7 63' 33 (29%)
20 Eljif Elmas M 6.7 45' 1 24 (24%) 1
31 Sam Beukema D 6.7 90' 1 94 (91%) 2
30 Pasquale Mazzocchi D 6.7 18' 13 (13%)
11 Kevin De Bruyne F 6.5 45' 1 22 (17%)
99 Frank Anguissa M 6.5 45' 1 30 (25%)
68 Stanislav Lobotka M 6.3 63' 69 (65%)
19 Rasmus Højlund F 6.3 90' 1 8 (8%)
23 Giovane F 6.2 27' 7 (6%)
Lazio
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Matteo Cancellieri F 7.9 90' 1 1 2 19 (14%) 2
14 Tijjani Noslin F 7.7 90' 3 22 (12%) 1
13 Alessio Romagnoli D 7.3 90' 24 (23%)
24 Kenneth Taylor M 7.3 90' 1 1 27 (23%)
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D 7.3 61' 32 (28%) 1
26 Toma Bašić M 7.2 71' 1 2 27 (25%)
40 Edoardo Motta G 7.0 90' 29 (18%)
29 Manuel Lazzari D 7.0 82' 1 27 (24%) 1
25 Oliver Provstgaard D 6.9 29' 7 (6%)
17 Nuno Tavares D 6.9 90' 2 37 (31%) 4
32 Danilo Cataldi M 6.9 61' 25 (20%)
4 Patric D 6.9 29' 14 (13%)
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M 6.7 19' 3 (3%)
23 Elseid Hysaj D 6.7 8' 2 (1%)
10 Mattia Zaccagni F 6.7 61' 2 32 (27%) 1
19 Boulaye Dia F 6.5 29' 7 (6%)
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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Napoli
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Napoli
DWLLL
Lazio
WDWWW
Last 3 meetings Napoli · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash on April 19, 2026, Napoli will host Lazio at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Napoli has shown strong home form, averaging 2.3 goals per game this season, bolstered by a potent attacking line featuring key players. Conversely, Lazio's defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match away from home, which could be a critical factor. Both teams have a strong midfield presence, but Napoli's home advantage and attacking prowess may tip the scales in their favor. Expect a high-tempo match with significant implications for both teams' standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Napoli

No scorer data.

Lazio
D. Frattesi 3 gls

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Head to Head: Napoli vs Lazio

1 Napoli Wins
1 Draws
1 Lazio Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Jan 2026 Lazio 0 - 2 Napoli
15 Feb 2025 Lazio 2 - 2 Napoli
08 Dec 2024 Napoli 0 - 1 Lazio
Ver todos os 10 confrontos — Premium

Napoli — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Fiorentina D 1 - 1
13 Sep H Bologna W 1 - 0
09 Sep H Arsenal L 0 - 1
05 Sep A Inter L 3 - 2
30 Aug H Como L 1 - 2

Lazio — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Venezia W 0 - 2
12 Sep H AC Milan D 2 - 2
07 Sep A Udinese W 1 - 2
30 Aug H Genoa W 1 - 0
24 Aug A Bologna W 0 - 1

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Maurizio Sarri
40 Motta
17 Tavares
13 Romagnoli
34 Gila
29 Lazzari
24 Taylor
32 Cataldi
26 Basic
10 Zaccagni
14 Noslin
22 Cancellieri

Starting XI

# Player Pos
40 E. Motta G
29 M. Lazzari D
34 M. Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
17 N. Tavares D
26 T. Basic M
32 D. Cataldi M
24 K. Taylor M
22 M. Cancellieri F
14 T. Noslin F
10 M. Zaccagni F

Substitutes

99 G. Giacomone G
72 N. Pannozzo G
9 Pedro F
23 E. Hysaj D
3 L. Pellegrini D
4 Patric D
18 G. Isaksen F
7 F. Dele-Bashiru M
19 B. Dia F
27 D. Maldini F
25 O. Provstgaard D
20 P. Ratkov F
21 R. Belahyane M
28 A. Przyborek M

Napoli

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Antonio Conte
32 Milinkovic-Savic
17 Olivera
4 Buongiorno
31 Beukema
37 Spinazzola
68 Lobotka
99 Anguissa
21 Politano
8 McTominay
11 Bruyne
19 Hojlund

Starting XI

# Player Pos
32 V. Milinkovic-Savic G
31 S. Beukema D
4 A. Buongiorno D
17 M. Olivera D
21 M. Politano M
99 F. Anguissa M
68 S. Lobotka M
37 L. Spinazzola M
11 K. De Bruyne F
8 S. McTominay F
19 R. Hojlund F

Substitutes

1 A. Meret G
14 N. Contini G
5 Juan Jesus D
30 P. Mazzocchi D
20 E. Elmas M
3 M. Gutierrez D
23 Giovane F
13 A. Rrahmani D
6 B. Gilmour M
27 Alisson Santos F

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