Riga vs FK Jablonec Previsão
Palpite Riga x FK Jablonec: O Sportiko estima 39% de probabilidade de vitória para o Riga, 33% para o FK Jablonec e 29% de empate. Atualizado 5 Nov 2026, 21:52.
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Match Report
Riga claimed a hard-fought point at home in the UEFA Europa Conference League league stage, drawing 1–1 with FK Jablonec in a match that swung dramatically either side of half-time. The hosts took the lead through a Reginaldo Ramires penalty on 34 minutes, and that advantage held through to the break despite Riga's dominance in possession at 59%.
Jablonec levelled almost immediately after the restart, with Sebastian Nebyla equalising on 49 minutes to reset the contest. The visitors then had a goal disallowed via VAR on 52 minutes for a foul, a pivotal moment that prevented them from taking the lead. Both sides received yellow cards in a feisty second half, with Dušan Pavlović, Jiří Sláma, and Maksims Tonisevs all booked across the 90 minutes.
The final scoreline reflected a closely contested affair, with Jablonec edging Riga on shots on target despite the home side generating the higher expected goals figure of 1.11. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Riga win as the most likely outcome at 39%, a call that proved correct as the hosts were the stronger side overall without finding a winner.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Riga
Match Stats
Riga
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Reginaldo Ramires F | 7.5 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 40 A. Ankrah M | 7.3 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 55 (49%) | 7 |
| 18 Salah Oulad M'Hand M | 7.3 | 87' | – | – | – | 60 (40%) | 4 |
| 8 Iago Siqueira Augusto M | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 56 (48%) | 3 |
| 5 K. Wassom D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 73 (70%) | – |
| 21 B. Musah D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 52 (49%) | – |
| 13 R. Jurkovskis D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 44 (34%) | 2 |
| 6 Coli Saco M | 6.9 | 10' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 19 M. Badamosi F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 12 Kenan Pirić G | 6.7 | 88' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
| 11 Caio M | 6.5 | 18' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 22 M. Diop M | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 2 |
| 23 Maksims Tonisevs D | 6.5 | 88' | – | – | – | 39 (28%) | – |
| 7 Raki Aouani M | 6.3 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 40 (34%) | – |
| 15 Samuel Pedro F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
FK Jablonec
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sebastian Nebyla M | 7.9 | 88' | 1 | – | 3 | 30 (23%) | – |
| 7 Vakhtang Chanturishvili D | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 38 (28%) | 2 |
| 13 Richard Sedláček M | 7.0 | 88' | – | – | – | 46 (43%) | 1 |
| 36 Garang Kuol M | 6.9 | 43' | – | – | – | 8 (4%) | 3 |
| 18 Martin Cedidla D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 30 (22%) | 1 |
| 15 Dušan Pavlović D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 30 (25%) | 1 |
| 24 Dominik Hollý M | 6.7 | 76' | – | 1 | 3 | 17 (10%) | 2 |
| 6 Nelson Okeke M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 17 Saidou Alioum Moubarak F | 6.6 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 44 Lamin Jawo F | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 14 Daniel Souček D | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (2%) | – |
| 20 Jiří Sláma D | 6.3 | 84' | – | – | – | 42 (27%) | 1 |
| 21 Matěj Polidar F | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | – |
| 9 Antonín Růsek F | 6.3 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 17 (10%) | 1 |
| 99 Klemen Mihelak G | 6.0 | 88' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
| 57 Filip Novák D | — | 4' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 67.4%. Late goal chance: 36.4%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. Riga win: 74.6%. BTTS: 100%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 43.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-0. Riga leads. Win probability: 73%. Over 0.5 more goals: 73.3%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Riga win: 71.2%. BTTS: 55.1%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Riga vs FK Jablonec
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Riga — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H FK Jablonec | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Ogre United | D | 0 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | A Grobiņa | W | 2 - 5 |
| 22 Oct | A Pafos | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Super Nova | W | 2 - 1 |
FK Jablonec — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Riga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H Slavia Praha | L | 0 - 5 |
| 25 Oct | A Hradec Králové | W | 1 - 2 |
| 22 Oct | H Brighton | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Plzen | L | 2 - 3 |
UEFA Europa Conference League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Lugano
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 9 |
| 2 |
Panathinaikos
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 3 |
Twente
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 9 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
Brann
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
FC Copenhagen
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Universitatea Craiova
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 7 |
| 9 |
Mjallby AIF
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 10 |
St. Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ajax
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
| 12 |
Trabzonspor
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 13 |
HNK Hajduk Split
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |
SC Freiburg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Atalanta
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 |
SC Braga
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Gent
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Riga
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 |
FC Thun
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 |
Borac Banja Luka
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Lincoln Red Imps FC
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 23 |
FK Jablonec
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| 24 |
Aarhus
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 2 |
| 25 |
FC Nordsjaelland
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 26 |
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 27 |
Kairat Almaty
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
| 28 |
CSKA Sofia
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 |
FC Iberia 1999
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 |
| 30 |
Pafos
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 31 |
Getafe
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
| 32 |
Heart Of Midlothian
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 33 |
KuPS
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
FC Midtjylland
|
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 35 |
Inter Club d'Escaldes
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 0 |
| 36 |
Kauno Žalgiris
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 |
Riga
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kenan Pirić | G |
| 23 | Maksims Tonisevs | D |
| 21 | Baba Musah | D |
| 5 | Karl Gameni Wassom | D |
| 13 | Raivis Jurkovskis | D |
| 40 | Ahmed Ankrah | M |
| 8 | Iago Siqueira | M |
| 22 | Meïssa Diop | M |
| 18 | Salah Oulad M'Hand | M |
| 7 | Raki Aouani | M |
| 10 | Reginaldo Ramires | F |
Substitutes
| 44 | Marcis Kazainis | G |
| 91 | Frenks Orols | G |
| 34 | Antonijs Černomordijs | D |
| 6 | Coli Saco | M |
| 11 | Caio Ferreira | M |
| 15 | Samuel Pedro | F |
| 19 | Muhammed Badamosi | F |
| 25 | Abdulrahman Taiwo | F |
FK Jablonec
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Seong-jae Kim
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Klemen Mihelak | G |
| 7 | Vakhtang Chanturishvili | D |
| 18 | Martin Cedidla | D |
| 15 | Dušan Pavlović | D |
| 20 | Jiří Sláma | D |
| 24 | Dominik Hollý | M |
| 13 | Richard Sedláček | M |
| 25 | Sebastian Nebyla | M |
| 17 | Saidou Alioum Moubarak | F |
| 9 | Antonín Růsek | F |
| 21 | Matěj Polidar | F |
Substitutes
| 36 | Garang Kuol | M |
| 33 | Michal Kukučka | G |
| 40 | Vojtěch Reiner | G |
| 57 | Filip Novák | D |
| 6 | Nelson Okeke | M |
| 8 | Filip Zorvan | M |
| 12 | David Nykrin | D |
| 14 | Daniel Souček | D |
| 10 | Jan Suchan | M |
| 19 | Jan Chramosta | F |
| 44 | Lamin Jawo | F |