Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim Previsão

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Selhurst Park, London
Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do Crystal Palace
51%
24%
25%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Crystal Palace x 1899 Hoffenheim: O Sportiko estima 51% de probabilidade de vitória para o Crystal Palace, 25% para o 1899 Hoffenheim e 24% de empate. Atualizado 5 Nov 2026, 19:38.

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Match Report

Crystal Palace and Hoffenheim played out a tense 1–1 draw in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with the visitors taking an early advantage through Alexander Prass in the seventh minute. Hoffenheim controlled the first half and went into the break with their lead intact, though Palace's 55% possession across the match reflected their overall territorial dominance.

The second half was marked by a flurry of yellow cards — six were shown between the 58th and 68th minutes alone — before the match turned on a pivotal moment in the 77th minute when Crystal Palace's Adam Wharton was dismissed with a second booking, leaving the hosts to defend with ten men. Despite the numerical disadvantage, Palace found a late equaliser through Daichi Kamada in the 90th minute to rescue a point.

The xG figures slightly favoured Hoffenheim at 1.22 to 0.92, reflecting their clinical early goal and sustained threat throughout. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Crystal Palace win as the most likely outcome at 51%, though ultimately both sides had to settle for a share of the spoils.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 6'
Ozan Kabak Yellow Card
⚽ 0–1 7'
Alexander Prass assist: Tim Lemperle
▮ 25'
Wouter Burger Yellow Card
Jaydee Canvot Yellow Card
32' ▮
HT 0–1
Anan Khalaili ⇄ Óscar Mingueza
55' ⇄
Q. Timber ⇄ Eddie Nketiah
55' ⇄
Adam Wharton Yellow Card
58' ▮
Honest Ahanor Yellow Card
60' ▮
Yéremy Pino Yellow Card
62' ▮
Eddie Nketiah Yellow Card
65' ▮
▮ 68'
Andrej Kramarić Yellow Card
⇄ 70'
Tim Lemperle ⇄ Adam Daghim
Jean-Philippe Mateta ⇄ Darío Osorio
75' ⇄
Honest Ahanor ⇄ Dwight McNeil
75' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Alexander Prass ⇄ Bernardo
⇄ 76'
Fisnik Asllani ⇄ Cajetan Lenz
Adam Wharton Red Card
77' ▮
⇄ 87'
Wouter Burger ⇄ J. Fields
Daichi Kamada
90+1' ⚽ 1–1
FT 1–1
Crystal Palace

Match Stats

1899 Hoffenheim
55% Ball Possession 45%
0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 1.22
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 11
6 Shots outsidebox 3
4 Corner Kicks 5
2 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
509 Total passes 426
417 Passes accurate 333
15 Free Kicks 13
Crystal Palace
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
18 Daichi Kamada F 7.9 90' 1 – 2 37 (36%) –
1 Dean Henderson G 6.8 90' – – – 29 (18%) –
26 Chris Richards D 6.7 90' – – – 63 (59%) –
11 Dwight McNeil F 6.6 15' – – 1 7 (4%) 1
6 Jaydee Canvot D 6.6 90' – – – 54 (50%) 6
24 Darío Osorio M 6.5 15' – – 2 3 (2%) –
21 Honest Ahanor D 6.4 75' – – – 67 (63%) –
25 Anan Khalaili M 6.4 55' – – 1 30 (22%) –
10 Yéremy Pino F 6.3 90' – – 4 58 (38%) 2
20 Adam Wharton M 6.3 77' – – – 44 (39%) 1
23 Q. Timber M 6.2 55' – – – 31 (24%) 1
3 Tyrick Mitchell M 6.2 90' – – – 51 (38%) 1
9 Eddie Nketiah F 6.1 35' – – – 12 (7%) 1
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F 6.0 75' – – 3 7 (6%) –
30 Óscar Mingueza D 5.9 35' – – – 20 (13%) 2
1899 Hoffenheim
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
22 Alexander Prass M 8.2 76' 1 – 1 41 (33%) 2
19 Tim Lemperle F 7.2 70' – 1 1 22 (18%) 2
28 K. Machida D 7.1 90' – – – 39 (32%) 2
29 Natnael Abraha D 7.0 90' – – 1 26 (20%) 6
1 Oliver Baumann G 6.9 90' – – – 31 (19%) –
5 Ozan Kabak D 6.8 90' – – 3 38 (31%) 2
27 Andrej Kramarić M 6.8 90' – – 2 48 (34%) 1
14 Adam Daghim F 6.7 20' – – – 9 (9%) –
13 Bernardo D 6.6 14' – – – 4 (3%) 1
7 Leon Avdullahu M 6.6 90' – – – 59 (49%) 3
46 J. Fields F 6.6 3' – – – 1 (1%) 1
32 Cajetan Lenz M 6.5 14' – – – 7 (5%) –
18 Wouter Burger M 6.4 87' – – 3 35 (30%) 1
11 Fisnik Asllani F 6.4 76' – – 4 24 (18%) –
39 Mats Rots D 6.4 90' – – – 44 (33%) 2
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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do Crystal Palace
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Crystal Palace
DLWLD
1899 Hoffenheim
DLDWW

Live insights

90' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: 1899 Hoffenheim leads 0-1. Win probability: 77%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 23%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. 1899 Hoffenheim leads. Win probability: 59.4%. Over 0.5 more goals: 80%.

8' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. 1899 Hoffenheim win: 50.6%. BTTS: 83.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
51%
45%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
25%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Crystal Palace
Yeremy Pino 3 gls
1899 Hoffenheim

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H 1899 Hoffenheim D 1 - 1
31 Oct A Tottenham L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Fulham W 0 - 1
25 Oct H Newcastle L 0 - 2
22 Oct A Beşiktaş D 2 - 2

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Crystal Palace D 1 - 1
31 Oct A Werder Bremen L 2 - 0
28 Oct A Holstein Kiel D 1 - 1
25 Oct H Bayer Leverkusen W 3 - 0
22 Oct H Lyon W 3 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Crystal Palace

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: P. Sage
1 Henderson
21 Ahanor
26 Richards
6 Canvot
3 Mitchell
23 Timber
20 Wharton
25 Khalaili
10 Pino
14 Mateta
18 Kamada

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Henderson G
6 J. Canvot D
26 C. Richards D
21 H. Ahanor D
25 A. Khalaili M
20 A. Wharton M
23 Q. Timber M
3 T. Mitchell M
18 D. Kamada F
14 J. Mateta F
10 Yeremy Pino F

Substitutes

81 Lucca Benetton G
44 W. Benítez G
22 J. Strand Larsen F
11 D. McNeil F
30 Óscar Mingueza D
9 E. Nketiah F
24 D. Osorio M
43 S. Williams M
65 Nathanael James Kalembo M

1899 Hoffenheim

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: C. Ilzer
1 Baumann
39 Rots
28 Machida
5 Kabak
29 Abraha
22 Prass
7 Avdullahu
18 Burger
27 Kramarić
19 Lemperle
11 Asllani

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 O. Baumann G
29 Natnael Abraha D
5 O. Kabak D
28 K. Machida D
39 M. Rots D
27 A. Kramarić M
18 W. Burger M
7 L. Avdullahu M
22 A. Prass M
11 F. Asllani F
19 T. Lemperle F

Substitutes

13 Bernardo D
49 L. Wagenbach F
37 L. Philipp G
36 L. Petersson G
32 Cajetan Benjamin Lenz M
47 V. Lässig D
46 J. Fields F
4 Sean Dulic D
14 A. Daghim F
45 Juan Tiago Esteban Poller M

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