AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC Previsão

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
FT
Post on X
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
Chamada de IA Vitória ou empate difícil do AC Milan
62%
21%
16%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite AC Milan x Ferencvarosi TC: O Sportiko estima 62% de probabilidade de vitória para o AC Milan, 16% para o Ferencvarosi TC e 21% de empate. Atualizado 5 Nov 2026, 19:40.

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  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Match Report

AC Milan dominated possession at San Siro but were unable to convert their territorial advantage into goals, as the first half ended goalless despite the hosts controlling 70% of the ball. Ferencvaros, disciplined and compact, offered little in attack before the break but posed a consistent threat on the counter.

The second half told a very different story. Lenny Joseph broke the deadlock six minutes after the restart, and the Hungarian side's expected goals figure of 3.13 — dwarfing Milan's 1.03 — reflected how clinical they were on limited opportunities. Joseph doubled his tally on 66 minutes to put the result beyond doubt, completing a brace before being substituted moments later. Milan's evening worsened further when Yusuf Bamidele received a red card on 77 minutes following a VAR review that upgraded his initial booking.

The result was a significant upset in the Europa League league stage. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Ferencvaros claimed a composed and deserved victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Alphadjo Cissè Yellow Card
32' ▮
Alphadjo Cissè ⇄ Christian Pulišić
45' ⇄
Sankhoun Diawara ⇄ Mario Gila Fuentes
45' ⇄
Yunus Musah ⇄ Diego Moreira
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
Koni De Winter Yellow Card
51' ▮
⚽ 0–1 52'
Lenny Joseph assist: Kristoffer Zachariassen
Ardon Jashari ⇄ Luka Modrić
63' ⇄
⚽ 0–2 66'
Lenny Joseph assist: Kristoffer Zachariassen
⇄ 67'
M. Bero
⇄ 67'
Lenny Joseph ⇄ Yusuf Bamidele
Davide Bartesaghi ⇄ Francesco Camarda
67' ⇄
▮ 77'
Yusuf Bamidele Red Card
🖵 77'
Yusuf Bamidele Card upgrade confirmed
⇄ 86'
Kristoffer Zachariassen ⇄ H. Maïga
⇄ 86'
Veljko Birmančević ⇄ Jonathan Levi
⇄ 90+2'
Marius Corbu ⇄ Daniel Arzani
▮ 90+4'
Ádám Nagy Yellow Card
FT 0–2
AC Milan

Match Stats

Ferencvarosi TC
70% Ball Possession 30%
1.03 Expected Goals (xG) 3.13
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 8
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Corner Kicks 4
1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
675 Total passes 289
595 Passes accurate 206
12 Free Kicks 9
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
96 Lorenzo Torriani G 7.3 90' – – – 42 (33%) –
14 Luka Modrić M 7.0 27' – – – 48 (45%) –
11 Christian Pulišić M 6.9 44' – – 1 31 (29%) –
42 Filippo Terracciano D 6.9 90' – – – 72 (62%) 2
13 Sankhoun Diawara D 6.8 46' – – – 46 (41%) 2
80 Yunus Musah M 6.7 46' – – – 29 (27%) 3
20 Omari Hutchinson M 6.7 90' – – 5 61 (54%) –
30 Ardon Jashari M 6.6 63' – – – 58 (54%) –
9 Gonçalo Ramos F 6.6 90' – – 2 15 (15%) –
22 Diego Moreira F 6.5 44' – – 3 29 (27%) –
73 Francesco Camarda F 6.4 23' – – 2 1 –
5 Koni De Winter D 6.3 90' – – – 85 (79%) 1
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D 6.3 44' – – – 44 (38%) –
12 Adrien Rabiot M 6.2 90' – – – 56 (45%) 2
33 Davide Bartesaghi D 6.1 67' – – – 37 (31%) 1
70 Alphadjo Cissè M 6.0 46' – – 1 14 (9%) –
Ferencvarosi TC
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Kristoffer Zachariassen M 8.6 86' – 2 2 25 (10%) 3
75 Lenny Joseph F 8.4 67' 2 – 7 6 (4%) 2
80 H. Maïga M 7.3 4' – – – – 1
28 Toon Raemaekers D 7.2 90' – – – 38 (31%) 2
14 Attila Osváth D 7.2 90' – – – 33 (25%) 3
20 Cadu D 7.0 90' – – – 26 (20%) –
4 Mariano Gómez D 6.9 90' – – 1 26 (19%) –
22 M. Bero M 6.9 67' – – – 31 (25%) 1
90 Dénes Dibusz G 6.8 90' – – – 20 (10%) –
10 Jonathan Levi F 6.7 4' – – – – 1
17 Marius Corbu M 6.7 92' – – – 30 (23%) 2
Seamus Maughan 6.6 23' – – 1 5 (3%) –
7 Veljko Birmančević M 6.5 86' – – 1 13 (9%) 3
6 Ádám Nagy M 6.4 90' – – – 34 (26%) 1
11 Yusuf Bamidele F 5.7 10' – – – 1 (1%) –
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Confidence Medium (62%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Vitória ou empate difícil do AC Milan
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AC Milan
WLWLW
Ferencvarosi TC
WWWWW

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Ferencvarosi TC leads 0-2. Win probability: 97.9%. Comeback chance: 2.1%.

67' Goal 85% sure

Ferencvarosi TC now leads 0-2 with 95.4% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 55.4%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Ferencvarosi TC win: 71.4%. BTTS: 48.6%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 78.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 50%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

AC Milan
A. Cissè 3 gls
Ferencvarosi TC
L. Joseph 4 gls
K. Zachariassen 3 gls
B. Yusuf 2 gls

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov A Genoa W 0 - 2
05 Nov H Ferencvarosi TC L 0 - 2
31 Oct H Inter W 3 - 1
28 Oct H Bologna L 2 - 4
25 Oct A Udinese W 0 - 2

Ferencvarosi TC — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A AC Milan W 0 - 2
01 Nov H Paks W 2 - 0
28 Oct A Bicskei W 1 - 4
25 Oct H MTK Budapest W 5 - 0
22 Oct H Torreense W 4 - 1

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

AC Milan

Formation: 4-4-1-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim
96 Torriani
33 Bartesaghi
13 Bocoum
5 Winter
42 Terracciano
70 Cissè
80 Musah
30 Jashari
20 Hutchinson
12 Rabiot
9 Ramos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
96 L. Torriani G
42 F. Terracciano D
5 K. De Winter D
13 S. Bocoum D
33 D. Bartesaghi D
20 O. Hutchinson M
30 A. Jashari M
80 Y. Musah M
70 A. Cissè M
12 A. Rabiot M
9 Gonçalo Ramos F

Substitutes

41 L. P. Bouyer G
35 V. Vladimirov D
11 C. Pulišić M
37 M. Pittarella G
22 Diego Moreira F
14 L. Modrić M
34 Mario Gila D
2 P. Estupiñán D
28 C. Comotto M
73 F. Camarda F

Ferencvarosi TC

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: B. Borbely
90 Dibusz
20 Cadu
4 Gómez
28 Raemaekers
14 Osváth
17 Corbu
6 Nagy
7 Birmančević
22 Bero
16 Zachariassen
75 Joseph

Starting XI

# Player Pos
90 D. Dibusz G
14 A. Osváth D
28 T. Raemaekers D
4 M. Gómez D
20 Cadu D
6 Á. Nagy M
17 M. Corbu M
16 K. Zachariassen M
22 M. Bero M
7 V. Birmančević M
75 L. Joseph F

Substitutes

5 G. Zohoré D
15 D. Arzani F
18 Á. Bagi F
11 B. Yusuf F
8 N. Keïta M
10 J. Levi F
72 Ádám Madarász M
80 H. Maïga M
54 O. Nagy D
88 P. Rommens M
1 Á. Varga G
68 Z. Varga F

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