Barcelona vs Aston Villa Previsão
Palpite Barcelona x Aston Villa: O Sportiko estima 69% de probabilidade de vitória para o Barcelona, 14% para o Aston Villa e 16% de empate. Atualizado 3 Nov 2026, 21:55.
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Match Report
Barcelona were dominant from the outset at the Estadi Olímpic, with Lamine Yamal breaking the deadlock as early as the seventh minute to set the tone for a commanding Champions League victory. Villa struggled to contain the hosts' attacking threat, and a flurry of yellow cards before half-time — shown to Maatsen, Buendía, Jackson, and Raphinha — reflected the mounting tension. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Barcelona win most likely at 69%, and the match quickly bore that out.
The second half brought further misery for Aston Villa as Raphinha took centre stage, netting twice in quick succession in the 52nd and 64th minutes to put the result beyond doubt. The Brazilian's double capped a fine individual display before he was withdrawn as part of a wave of substitutions from both sides.
The underlying numbers told the full story of Barcelona's control: they registered eight shots on target to Villa's one, and their expected goals figure of 2.00 comfortably outstripped the visitors' 0.77, making the 3–0 scoreline a fair reflection of proceedings.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Barcelona
Match Stats
Barcelona
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Raphinha F | 8.8 | 70' | 2 | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 2 João Cancelo D | 8.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 52 (50%) | 1 |
| 10 Lamine Yamal M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 35 (25%) | 2 |
| 7 Fermín López M | 7.7 | 70' | – | 1 | 4 | 36 (32%) | 3 |
| 16 Rodri M | 7.6 | 46' | – | – | – | 50 (46%) | 1 |
| 5 Pau Cubarsí D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 93 (87%) | – |
| 18 Gerard Martín D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 74 (72%) | 1 |
| 1 Joan García G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 19 (19%) | 1 |
| 22 Marc Bernal M | 7.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 30 (28%) | 3 |
| 4 Brian Fariñas D | 7.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 62 (60%) | 1 |
| 8 Pedri M | 7.1 | 70' | – | – | – | 43 (39%) | – |
| 3 Alejandro Balde D | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 6 Pablo Gavi M | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | 1 |
| 21 F. de Jong M | 6.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 16 (15%) | – |
| 9 Gabriel Jesus F | 6.8 | 20' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 17 Anthony Gordon M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 36 (30%) | 1 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Zion Suzuki G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (27%) | – |
| 19 Ibrahim Mbaye F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 18 Tammy Abraham F | 6.5 | 13' | – | – | 1 | 2 | – |
| 14 Pau Torres D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (41%) | 1 |
| 47 Alysson F | 6.4 | 13' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | 1 |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (35%) | 1 |
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 6.3 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 10 Emiliano Buendía M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 9 (6%) | 5 |
| 8 Boubacar Kamara M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (22%) | 4 |
| 2 Matty Cash D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (29%) | 1 |
| 35 João Gomes M | 6.1 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | 4 |
| 27 Leon Goretzka M | 6.0 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
| 6 Ross Barkley M | 5.8 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 22 Ian Maatsen D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (30%) | 1 |
| 44 Johan Manzambi M | 5.7 | 62' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 7 John McGinn M | 5.1 | 77' | – | – | – | 20 (11%) | – |
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At a glance
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Upgrade NowLive insights
Min 75: Barcelona leads 3-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.
Barcelona now leads 3-0 with 99.5% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 62%.
Barcelona now leads 2-0 with 93.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 75.6%.
Half-time: 1-0. Barcelona leads. Win probability: 76.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.7%.
Goal! Score now 1-0. Barcelona win: 74.5%. BTTS: 73.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Raphinha
4 gls
Lamine Yamal
3 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Barcelona vs Aston Villa
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Barcelona — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | H Aston Villa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Alaves | W | 6 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Real Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
| 20 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 4 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Real Betis | W | 2 - 5 |
Aston Villa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | A Barcelona | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Manchester City | W | 2 - 1 |
| 21 Oct | H Viking | W | 3 - 1 |
UEFA Champions League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 5 | +15 | 12 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 3 |
Arsenal
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |
Como
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | +13 | 9 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 9 |
| 6 |
Aston Villa
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |
Manchester City
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 |
| 8 |
Liverpool
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 |
Club Brugge KV
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 10 |
Sporting CP
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 8 |
| 14 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 15 |
Inter
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 6 |
| 16 |
Lask Linz
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 |
| 17 |
Manchester United
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 |
Galatasaray
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 |
AS Roma
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4 |
| 21 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 |
Viking
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 4 |
| 23 |
Atletico Madrid
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
| 24 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 25 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 26 |
FC Porto
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
| 28 |
Villarreal
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3 |
| 29 |
AEK Athens FC
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 30 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
| 31 |
Sabah FA
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 32 |
Feyenoord
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 33 |
Lens
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 16 | -12 | 3 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
| 35 |
Lille
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 1 |
| 36 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 17 | -16 | 0 |
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Unai Emery
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Suzuki | G |
| 2 | M. Cash | D |
| 3 | V. Lindelöf | D |
| 14 | Pau Torres | D |
| 22 | I. Maatsen | D |
| 35 | João Gomes | M |
| 8 | B. Kamara | M |
| 7 | J. McGinn | M |
| 44 | J. Manzambi | M |
| 10 | E. Buendía | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | F |
Substitutes
| 47 | Alysson Edward | F |
| 42 | J. Wright | G |
| 6 | R. Barkley | M |
| 40 | M. Bizot | G |
| 17 | A. Garnacho | F |
| 27 | L. Goretzka | M |
| 4 | T. Harwood-Bellis | D |
| 53 | George Hemmings | M |
| 19 | I. Mbaye | F |
| 5 | T. Mings | D |
| 18 | T. Abraham | F |
Barcelona
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: H. Flick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joan García | G |
| 4 | B. Farinas | D |
| 5 | Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D |
| 18 | Gerard Martín | D |
| 2 | João Cancelo | D |
| 16 | Rodri | M |
| 8 | Pedri | M |
| 10 | Lamine Yamal | M |
| 7 | Fermín | M |
| 17 | A. Gordon | M |
| 11 | Raphinha | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | K. Adeyemi | F |
| 3 | Alejandro Balde | D |
| 22 | Marc Bernal | M |
| 41 | A. Campos | D |
| 32 | O. Goren | M |
| 25 | D. Livaković | G |
| 6 | Gavi | M |
| 29 | H. Abdelkarim | F |
| 13 | W. Szczęsny | G |
| 40 | Guillem Víctor | D |
| 9 | Gabriel Jesus | F |
| 21 | F. de Jong | M |