Bournemouth vs AC Milan Previsão

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
Chamada de IA Bournemouth ou empate
47%
27%
26%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Bournemouth x AC Milan: O Sportiko estima 47% de probabilidade de vitória para o Bournemouth, 26% para o AC Milan e 27% de empate. Atualizado 22 Oct 2026, 20:56.

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Match Report

Bournemouth produced a dominant Europa League performance at the Vitality Stadium, dismantling AC Milan 3–0 in a contest that was effectively settled before the half-hour mark. Justin Kluivert opened the scoring from the spot in the eighth minute after a VAR-confirmed penalty, and the tie was transformed beyond recognition when Milan goalkeeper Mike Maignan was shown a red card in the 27th minute. Marcus Tavernier immediately capitalised, converting a second penalty on 32 minutes to send Bournemouth into the break with a commanding 2–0 lead.

The numerical advantage allowed Bournemouth to control proceedings entirely in the second half, a dominance reflected in a remarkable expected goals figure of 3.18 to just 0.17 and seven shots on target to Milan's none. Our pre-match AI model had flagged a Bournemouth win as the most likely outcome at 47%, and the hosts duly delivered. Amine Adli added a third goal in the 84th minute to complete a thoroughly convincing victory.

The result represents a significant statement from Bournemouth in their debut European campaign, while Milan's evening was defined by individual errors and a numerical disadvantage that proved insurmountable.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Evanilson Penalty confirmed
6' 🖵
J. Kluivert Penalty
8' ⚽ 1–0
Bafodé Diakité Yellow Card
16' ▮
▮ 27'
Mike Maignan Red Card
Tyler Adams Yellow Card
29' ▮
Marcus Tavernier Penalty
32' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 32'
Omari Hutchinson ⇄ Lorenzo Torriani
▮ 35'
Pervis Estupiñán Yellow Card
⇄ 45'
Pervis Estupiñán ⇄ Davide Bartesaghi
⇄ 45'
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ⇄ Adrien Rabiot
HT 2–0
Tyler Adams ⇄ Lewis Cook
61' ⇄
Marcus Tavernier ⇄ Rayan
62' ⇄
J. Kluivert ⇄ Alex Tóth
62' ⇄
▮ 63'
Fikayo Tomori Yellow Card
Evanilson ⇄ Álvaro Rodriguez
66' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Fikayo Tomori ⇄ Sankhoun Diawara
⇄ 76'
Diego Moreira ⇄ Christian Comotto
Alex Tóth ⇄ Amine Adli
77' ⇄
▮ 81'
Koni De Winter Yellow Card
Amine Adli
84' ⚽ 3–0
FT 3–0
Bournemouth

Match Stats

AC Milan
64% Ball Possession 36%
3.18 Expected Goals (xG) 0.17
20 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Goal 0
9 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 2
9 Shots outsidebox 1
6 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 1
18 Fouls 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
507 Total passes 286
452 Passes accurate 226
14 Free Kicks 16
Bournemouth
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 António Silva D 8.0 90' – – 1 97 (94%) 1
5 James Hill D 7.7 90' – – 1 66 (57%) 4
3 Adrien Truffert D 7.7 90' – – 2 57 (50%) 3
16 Marcus Tavernier M 7.4 62' 1 – 2 22 (18%) –
21 Amine Adli F 7.4 13' 1 – 1 8 (7%) 1
10 Ryan Christie M 7.2 90' – – 4 49 (45%) 3
4 Lewis Cook M 7.2 29' – – – 21 (19%) –
19 J. Kluivert F 7.1 62' 1 – 2 15 (13%) –
9 Evanilson F 7.0 66' – – 2 12 (10%) 3
18 Bafodé Diakité D 6.9 90' – – – 59 (54%) 1
20 Michele Di Gregorio G 6.8 90' – – – 15 (13%) –
27 Alex Tóth M 6.8 15' – – 1 6 (5%) –
12 Tyler Adams M 6.7 61' – – – 37 (34%) –
11 Ben Gannon-Doak M 6.7 90' – – 2 23 (17%) 3
37 Rayan F 6.6 28' – – 2 14 (11%) 1
30 Álvaro Rodriguez F 6.4 24' – – – 4 (3%) –
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Koni De Winter D 6.4 90' – – 1 32 (28%) 4
31 Strahinja Pavlović D 6.4 90' – – 1 34 (32%) 1
22 Diego Moreira M 6.2 76' – – – 12 (9%) 2
80 Yunus Musah M 6.2 90' – – 1 22 (22%) 2
12 Adrien Rabiot M 6.0 44' – – – 11 (6%) 1
70 Alphadjo Cissè F 6.0 90' – – – 15 (11%) –
30 Ardon Jashari M 5.9 90' – – – 42 (33%) 1
13 Sankhoun Diawara D 5.9 24' – – – 2 (1%) –
28 Christian Comotto M 5.8 14' – – – 2 (2%) –
33 Davide Bartesaghi D 5.7 44' – – – 10 (6%) –
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek M 5.7 46' – – – 10 (7%) –
2 Pervis Estupiñán M 5.6 46' – – – 17 (14%) 3
23 Fikayo Tomori D 5.6 66' – – – 19 (15%) 2
20 Omari Hutchinson M 5.5 32' – – – 11 (9%) –
16 Mike Maignan G 4.8 27' – – – 12 (9%) –
96 Lorenzo Torriani G 4.6 58' – – – 29 (18%) –
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Confidence Low (47%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Bournemouth ou empate
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Bournemouth
WWWWW
AC Milan
LWLWL
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
47%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
26%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Bournemouth
Rayan 3 gls
AC Milan
A. Cissè 3 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Bournemouth vs AC Milan

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Sparta Praha W 1 - 3
31 Oct H Leeds W 2 - 0
28 Oct H Aston Villa W 3 - 0
25 Oct A Manchester United W 0 - 3
22 Oct H AC Milan W 3 - 0

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Ferencvarosi TC L 0 - 2
31 Oct H Inter W 3 - 1
28 Oct H Bologna L 2 - 4
25 Oct A Udinese W 0 - 2
22 Oct A Bournemouth L 3 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Bournemouth

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: M. Rose
20 Gregorio
3 Truffert
14 Silva
18 Diakité
5 Hill
16 Tavernier
12 Adams
10 Christie
11 Doak
9 Evanilson
19 Kluivert

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 M. Di Gregorio G
5 J. Hill D
18 B. Diakité D
14 António Silva D
3 A. Truffert D
11 B. Doak M
10 R. Christie M
12 T. Adams M
16 M. Tavernier M
19 J. Kluivert F
9 Evanilson F

Substitutes

55 M. Allan G
7 D. Brooks M
4 L. Cook M
21 A. Adli F
1 Đ. Petrović G
37 Rayan F
30 Á. Rodríguez F
15 A. Smith D
6 J. Soler D
27 A. Tóth M

AC Milan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim
16 Maignan
31 Pavlović
5 Winter
23 Tomori
2 Estupiñán
30 Jashari
80 Musah
22 Moreira
8 Loftus-Cheek
20 Hutchinson
70 Cissè

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 M. Maignan G
23 F. Tomori D
5 K. De Winter D
31 S. Pavlović D
22 Diego Moreira M
80 Y. Musah M
30 A. Jashari M
2 P. Estupiñán M
20 O. Hutchinson M
8 R. Loftus-Cheek M
70 A. Cissè F

Substitutes

41 L. P. Bouyer G
73 F. Camarda F
28 C. Comotto M
13 S. Bocoum D
34 Mario Gila D
14 L. Modrić M
11 C. Pulišić M
12 A. Rabiot M
96 L. Torriani G
35 V. Vladimirov D
33 D. Bartesaghi D

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