Sturm Graz vs Marseille Previsão

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3
FT
Post on X
Merkur Arena, Graz
Chamada de IA Marseille ou empate
31%
27%
42%
Vitória do Mandante Empate Vitória do Visitante

Palpite Sturm Graz x Marseille: O Sportiko estima 31% de probabilidade de vitória para o Sturm Graz, 42% para o Marseille e 27% de empate. Atualizado 22 Oct 2026, 18:38.

Match Report

Sturm Graz claimed a hard-fought 1–0 victory over Marseille in the UEFA Europa League league stage, with Oumar Diakité's 13th-minute strike proving the decisive moment of the contest. The Austrian side defended their lead for the remainder of the match, going into half-time with their advantage intact despite Marseille enjoying the lion's share of possession throughout.

The second half saw Marseille push hard to find an equaliser, and the statistics reflected their dominance — the visitors generated an expected goals figure of 1.47 compared to Sturm's 0.62, and registered five shots on target to the hosts' one. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that ultimately did not materialise. A flurry of substitutions and yellow cards punctuated the closing stages, with five bookings handed out across both sides, but Sturm's defensive resolve held firm.

The result is a significant one for Sturm Graz, who secured all three points despite being outplayed for long periods. Marseille will be frustrated to leave empty-handed given the chances they created, with their inability to convert proving costly.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Oumar Diakité assist: Luca Weinhandl
13' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 24'
Angel Gomes Yellow Card
Oumar Diakité Yellow Card
32' ▮
⇄ 45'
Angel Gomes ⇄ Himad Abdelli
⇄ 45'
Neal Maupay ⇄ Igor Paixão
Oumar Diakité ⇄ Belmin Beganović
45' ⇄
HT 1–0
Luca Weinhandl Yellow Card
63' ▮
⇄ 65'
Geoffrey Kondogbia ⇄ Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
⇄ 65'
Nayef Aguerd ⇄ Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley
▮ 80'
Amine Gouiri Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
K. Bezahaf ⇄ Tim Weah
Arjan Malić Yellow Card
84' ▮
Jacob Hödl ⇄ Albert Vallci
87' ⇄
Valmir Matoshi ⇄ Julian Halwachs
90' ⇄
▮ 90+1'
Bamo Meïté Yellow Card
FT 1–0
Sturm Graz

Match Stats

Marseille
29% Ball Possession 71%
1.47 Expected Goals (xG) 0.62
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 8
3 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 1
23 Fouls 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
274 Total passes 663
185 Passes accurate 585
8 Free Kicks 22
Sturm Graz
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Oumar Diakité F 7.6 46' 1 – 2 7 (7%) –
39 Luca Weinhandl M 7.4 90' – 1 1 26 (18%) 3
2 Joshua Quarshie D 7.2 90' – – – 24 (20%) –
5 Albert Vallci D 7.0 3' – – – – –
78 Valmir Matoshi M 6.9 90' – – 2 22 (14%) 1
30 Paul Koller D 6.8 90' – – 1 32 (19%) –
23 Arjan Malić D 6.7 90' – – – 44 (31%) 3
4 Jon Gorenc Stanković M 6.6 90' – – 1 24 (20%) –
26 Belmin Beganović F 6.6 44' – – 2 13 (10%) 1
22 Ammar Helac G 6.5 90' – – – 25 (13%) –
19 Simon Seidl F 6.4 90' – – 2 23 (15%) 1
27 L. Balbo M 6.4 90' – – 1 16 (9%) 2
43 Jacob Hödl M 6.2 87' – – 1 17 (8%) 1
Marseille
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
25 Ulisses Garcia D 7.3 90' – – – 62 (58%) 7
12 Jeffrey de Lange G 7.3 90' – – – 60 (46%) –
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M 7.0 25' – – – 36 (34%) –
21 Nayef Aguerd D 7.0 65' – – 1 76 (69%) 1
4 Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley D 6.8 25' – – – 30 (29%) 1
8 Himad Abdelli M 6.7 44' – – – 39 (35%) –
14 Igor Paixão F 6.6 44' – – 4 27 (25%) –
9 Amine Gouiri M 6.5 90' – – 1 28 (25%) 3
19 Geoffrey Kondogbia M 6.5 65' – – 1 41 (37%) 1
22 Tim Weah F 6.3 7' – – – 10 (9%) –
11 Neal Maupay F 6.3 46' – – 2 16 (10%) –
18 Bamo Meïté D 6.2 90' – – – 76 (74%) 1
7 Angel Gomes M 6.2 46' – – 1 12 (9%) –
74 K. Bezahaf D 6.1 83' – – – 58 (52%) 2
48 Keyliane Abdallah M 5.9 90' – – 3 49 (39%) 1
Premium

Desbloqueie a análise completa da IA para Sturm Graz vs Marseille

  • Todos os 70+ mercados de probabilidade
  • Relatório de partida — Análise Profunda IA
  • Tipos de escolha que você define
Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Nossa tendência
Marseille ou empate
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now
Sturm Graz
LDLDW
Marseille
WWWLW
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
31%
45%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
42%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Sturm Graz
O. Diakité 3 gls
Marseille

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Sturm Graz vs Marseille

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Sturm Graz — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov H Celje L 2 - 3
01 Nov A Wolfsberger AC D 1 - 1
29 Oct A Austria Lustenau L 3 - 2
25 Oct H Ried D 2 - 2
22 Oct H Marseille W 1 - 0

Marseille — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Bayer Leverkusen W 0 - 1
01 Nov H Toulouse W 2 - 0
25 Oct H Le Havre W 4 - 3
22 Oct A Sturm Graz L 1 - 0
18 Oct A Angers W 2 - 5

UEFA Europa League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Benfica
4 4 0 0 +10 12
2
Bournemouth
4 4 0 0 +9 12
3
Ferencvarosi TC
4 4 0 0 +8 12
4
Union St. Gilloise
4 3 1 0 +8 10
5
Juventus
4 3 1 0 +7 10
6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4 3 1 0 +3 10
7
Bayer Leverkusen
4 3 0 1 +7 9
8
Beşiktaş
4 2 1 1 +3 7
9
Dinamo Zagreb
4 2 1 1 +1 7
10
Levski Sofia
4 2 1 1 +1 7
11
Sunderland
4 2 1 1 0 7
12
NEC Nijmegen
4 2 1 1 -1 7
13
Lyon
4 2 1 1 -1 7
14
AZ Alkmaar
4 2 0 2 +3 6
15
Anderlecht
4 2 0 2 +3 6
16
OFI
4 2 0 2 +1 6
17
Rennes
4 1 3 0 +1 6
18
Omonia Nicosia
4 2 0 2 -1 6
19
Torreense
4 2 0 2 -2 6
20
Real Sociedad
4 1 2 1 +5 5
21
Crystal Palace
4 1 2 1 +3 5
22
Sparta Praha
4 1 1 2 0 4
23
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 1 2 0 4
24
Sturm Graz
4 1 1 2 -3 4
25
Celje
4 1 1 2 -4 4
26
Red Bull Salzburg
4 1 1 2 -5 4
27
Celta Vigo
4 1 0 3 -2 3
28
AC Milan
4 1 0 3 -3 3
29
Jagiellonia
4 1 0 3 -3 3
30
Plzen
4 1 0 3 -4 3
31
Marseille
4 1 0 3 -4 3
32
Celtic
4 1 0 3 -5 3
33
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4 0 1 3 -7 1
34
Lillestrom
4 0 1 3 -8 1
35
Lech Poznan
4 0 1 3 -10 1
36
Ararat-Armenia
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Marseille

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Bruno Genesio
12 Lange
25 Garcia
21 Aguerd
18 Meité
74 Bezahaf
19 Kondogbia
42 Kamissoko
9 Gouiri
7 Gomes
48 Abdallah
11 Maupay

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 J. de Lange G
74 K. Bezahaf D
18 B. Meité D
21 N. Aguerd D
25 U. Garcia D
42 Nouhoum Kamissoko M
19 G. Kondogbia M
48 K. Abdallah M
7 A. Gomes M
9 A. Gouiri M
11 N. Maupay F

Substitutes

23 P. Højbjerg M
43 T. Mmadi F
6 T. Nnadi M
14 Igor Paixão F
22 T. Weah F
44 Antoine Valero F
8 H. Abdelli M
77 A. Harit M
33 Emerson D
4 C. Egan-Riley D
41 Ibrahim Gomis G
40 J. Van Neck G

Sturm Graz

Formation: 3-4-1-2 Coach: F. Ingolitsch
22 Helac
30 Koller
2 Quarshie
23 Malic
27 Balbo
78 Matoshi
4 Stankovič
43 Hödl
39 Weinhandl
14 Diakité
19 Seidl

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 A. Helac G
23 A. Malic D
2 J. Quarshie D
30 P. Koller D
43 Jacob Peter Hödl M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
78 V. Matoshi M
27 L. Balbo M
39 Luca Weinhandl M
19 S. Seidl F
14 O. Diakité F

Substitutes

26 B. Beganović F
25 M. Grgic M
40 J. Halwachs M
11 A. Kayombo F
41 E. Lorenz G
21 P. Petrović D
5 A. Vallci D
32 C. Wiener-Pucher G

Assistente Sportiko

Funcionalidades, o desafio ou futebol

Cadastre-se grátis para conversar com o Assistente Sportiko — pergunte sobre previsões, o torneio, qualquer coisa sobre futebol.

Cadastre-se grátis Já tem uma conta? Entre